ma blizzard Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Pretty sure we had school in Jan 2004 cancelled. I certainly remember districts cancelling because of cold. that friday was the only time i recall school being called for it being cold around here 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 29 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah it’s definitely worse timing up north. Down here it doesn’t really get bad until afternoon and even then, the real nasty stuff is prob not until after sunset…esp down in CT. Up in NNE it could be just starting to get bad in morning but it’s full-on dangerous by the time school is out. Agree... I would be recommending cancelations up north... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 3 hours ago, Sn0waddict said: Blizzard warning currently in northern Maine for 1 inch of snow lol Ever seen the potato fields there. Doesn't take much to cause a whiteout and they've had enough snow that the roadside piles are high, which leads to snow swirling in the roadway for even less visibility. The only total whiteouts in which I've been caught came on sunny days. The first was in January 1971 as I headed home to NNJ from a ski week in VT and crossed into NY at Crown Point. The wind was north, with a fetch that included Lake Champlain, and it was a mile of stark terror. Met one vehicle and fortunately we each were going <10 mph as our headlights became visible at about 10 yards. 2nd was in April while driving from Fort Kent to St.-Pamphile after the deck of woods bridge over the St. John had been pulled before ice-out. The SW wind was blowing straight downriver on the St. Lawrence and the NW-SE range roads approaching the Trans Canada were at right angles. Several road cuts were so blinded that had I hit something, I would've had to get out to see what it was - literally could not see the end of the pickup's hood. The TC was better, being elevated for most of the 40 miles I'd be on it. However, I found that the throttle was stuck, and my tapping the pedal trying to knock it loose merely floorboarded that pedal. The 40-mph headwind plus my small 6-cyl C-10 held velocity to 55-60 so I rode it to the St.-Jean-Port-Joli, the St.-P exit, where I turned off the engine, coasted to a parking lot and removed the crusted ice on the throttle cable. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 4 minutes ago, tunafish said: Agree. The real concern is that many students don't even have proper clothing for 20 degrees, let alone -20 wind chills. Will be dipping below zero then with that wind. Sure hope they are bundled up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 Euro looked a tad colder vs 0z. Boston pushing-10F at 12z Sat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Will be dipping below zero then with that wind. Sure hope they are bundled up. Given a full warning in place, most districts would be wary of bucking the strong wording in the warning. Opens the door for criticism if something bad happens... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 1 minute ago, wx2fish said: Euro looked a tad colder vs 0z. Boston pushing-10F at 12z Sat If it's -10, I'm out there in a speedo with the boiling water in a pot trick. Fisher can retweet that. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 1 hour ago, Sn0waddict said: Blizzard warning currently in northern Maine for 1 inch of snow lol Warning is for blowing snow. If you have ever been to the county you will know why. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: If it's -10, I'm out there in a speedo with the boiling water in a pot trick. Fisher can retweet that. -10 at Logan would be even colder than they got in 2016. I’ll take the over. Prob somewhere around -7 or -8. Still ridiculous for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: If it's -10, I'm out there in a speedo with the boiling water in a pot trick. Fisher can retweet that. Oh how we pray. No balls though. Anything on the water is tough to get that low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 Let's do this...I guess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: Let's do this...I guess. Are there any Peter Sinks like spots up there. I remember some -40 readings in VT many years ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: If it's -10, I'm out there in a speedo with the boiling water in a pot trick. Fisher can retweet that. then our friend will retweet it stating that you are wasting a valuable resource and likely to be causing future droughts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 48 minutes ago, tunafish said: You do realize that's about visibility, not about snow amounts, right? There roads up there are akin to South Dakota, not SNE. Yes, I do. You just don’t see that often is all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Are there any Peter Sinks like spots up there. I remember some -40 readings in VT many years ago. Won’t matter anyway. Wind will be too strong. It might decouple further west though like around SLK. Those would be the rad pits to look at Friday night/early Saturday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: -10 at Logan would be even colder than they got in 2016. I’ll take the over. Prob somewhere around -7 or -8. Still ridiculous for them. I was thinking -5 or -6 this morning. Still think 2m temps overdoing it, but I certainly am open to it being colder than what I said earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 Winds aloft are 45kts in the boundary layer. We aren't faking this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 Good to see the man cold visit up north. None of this foo foo clear and calm stuff. This is pure rip your Carhartt off and pull out the man bun type stuff. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 HRRR is consistently much quicker than other guidance with the big cold moving in 6-12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 Still hard to believe this is the entire regions greatest winter event. Sad but true 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I was thinking -5 or -6 this morning. Still think 2m temps overdoing it, but I certainly am open to it being colder than what I said earlier. I think if we had some snow pack and calm Conditions to radiate we’d see bigger numbers down here, but think we stay in the -5/-7 range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 1 minute ago, Modfan2 said: I think if we had some snow pack and calm Conditions to radiate we’d see bigger numbers down here, but think we stay in the -5/-7 range That doesn't have the same bite though. This will feel absolutely brutal with the wind. Like Star Wars cut open the Tauntauns for warmth type stuff. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 23 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: -10 at Logan would be even colder than they got in 2016. I’ll take the over. Prob somewhere around -7 or -8. Still ridiculous for them. Logan has gone below -5˚ 10 days, and half of those were Dec 1942 to Feb 1943. Anything below -5 is a once-in-a-decade occurrence (1942-3, 1957, 1980, 2004, 2016). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I was thinking -5 or -6 this morning. Still think 2m temps overdoing it, but I certainly am open to it being colder than what I said earlier. I am more inclined to believe the 2m temps in this type of setup vs the radiational cooling nights. The warmest 2m temps are the NAM right now which is your -5 to -6 range. GFS is maybe barely colder. Euro is wild with -10 or colder. I went back and looked at Vday 2016 and the Euro was going like -11 or -12 at BOS, so it ended up a couple degrees too cold, but not too far off. GFS was awful in that one....was like 5F too warm 36 hours out. Though I know the model has been upgraded since then. The MAV guidance was hilarious though....it was like 8-10F too warm. Too much climo on a 24 hour forecast i guess. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Still hard to believe this is the entire regions greatest winter event. Sad but true 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 The wind on the BUFKIT soundings looks even worse today. 50-60 knots at the top of the mixed layer. Man cold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 20 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Good to see the man cold visit up north. None of this foo foo clear and calm stuff. This is pure rip your Carhartt off and pull out the man bun type stuff. We love to see it. 12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Still hard to believe this is the entire regions greatest winter event. Sad but true Sucks, but it is what it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 Just now, CT Rain said: The wind on the BUFKIT soundings looks even worse today. 50-60 knots at the top of the mixed layer. Man cold. Do you think it’s possible we see WC values lower than -30? Do you know the CT record? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I am more inclined to believe the 2m temps in this type of setup vs the radiational cooling nights. The warmest 2m temps are the NAM right now which is your -5 to -6 range. GFS is maybe barely colder. Euro is wild with -10 or colder. I went back and looked at Vday 2016 and the Euro was going like -11 or -12 at BOS, so it ended up a couple degrees too cold, but not too far off. GFS was awful in that one....was like 5F too warm 36 hours out. Though I know the model has been upgraded since then. They amazing part is that we’ll be in the 40’s on Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 1 minute ago, Modfan2 said: They amazing part is that we’ll be in the 40’s on Sunday Very similar to Vday 2016 cold shot...its in and out in like 24-30 hours. We were in the 50s on that Monday after being below zero Sunday morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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