moneypitmike Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 On 1/30/2023 at 1:33 AM, weathafella said: Westborough may beat pit 2 on the water. Expand I don't think it will even be close. It's older there 90% of the time. And, they've got snow cover to boot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 I’m going to guess there will be some moderation in SNE from current numbers, especially without any snowpack to speak of 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 On 1/30/2023 at 2:39 AM, moneypitmike said: I don't think it will even be close. It's older there 90% of the time. And, they've got snow cover to boot. Expand Where exactly is pit 2? Incidentally MEX guidance has 0 for BOS-impressive for 6 days out. I’m seeing BGR -18. Gonna be special in ME for sure! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 lol euro is colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 On 1/30/2023 at 6:29 AM, dendrite said: lol euro is colder Expand EPS and NAEFS are both outside of their model climate, this is a less than once every 10 years event based on forecasts. 90th-10th range for PWM Sat is 12 to 0. Even a high colder than 10 hasn't happened since 2018. Some wild ranges for Sat night though. 25-35 degree spreads between 90th-10th. I'm leaning 10th though. WAA aloft setting the inversion early and winds calm. Feels like a classic model bust as it moves the air mass out too quickly at the surface. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 On 1/30/2023 at 6:24 AM, weathafella said: Where exactly is pit 2? Incidentally MEX guidance has 0 for BOS-impressive for 6 days out. I’m seeing BGR -18. Gonna be special in ME for sure! Expand It's on the Kennebec in Bath--midway between Route 1 and Merrymeeting Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 Got to think the Euro is over doing the cold, especially in SNE with no snow cover. I will take something closer to the GFS, 0/-5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 On 1/30/2023 at 12:48 PM, Modfan2 said: Got to think the Euro is over doing the cold, especially in SNE with no snow cover. I will take something closer to the GFS, 0/-5 Expand I don’t think the snow cover will mean a lot…maybe highs on Saturday. It’s coming straight out of ON/QB where there’s plenty of snow. 925 is ridiculously cold so even mixing down dry adiabatically from there is going to give you some extreme temps. Sure, the euro could be going overboard in general, but the extra vertical layers may be helping it see just how low the core of that cold gets. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 Just kill everything. I want it all dead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 5:04 PM, Go Kart Mozart said: I want to keep the February thread clean for all the impending snow storms. Expand A little early to be thinking of February 2024.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 On 1/30/2023 at 1:03 PM, dendrite said: I don’t think the snow cover will mean a lot…maybe highs on Saturday. It’s coming straight out of ON/QB where there’s plenty of snow. 925 is ridiculously cold so even mixing down dry adiabatically from there is going to give you some extreme temps. Sure, the euro could be going overboard in general, but the extra vertical layers may be helping it see just how low the core of that cold gets. Expand The snow cover line is not that far north of the pike either...it's not like this is advecting off of 200 miles of bare ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 Pretty bad downside risk here for my dogwood and my peaches. Gonna wrap them on Friday with burlap to see if that helps. With a 12+ snowpack, if the wind drops at the wrong time, -25 is a possibility. Not a fan of -20, but it is inevitable every 10 years or so up here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 On 1/30/2023 at 1:35 PM, ORH_wxman said: The snow cover line is not that far north of the pike either...it's not like this is advecting off of 200 miles of bare ground. Expand Meh, it’ll moderate, especially down here in the tropics. Snowpack is a good 100 miles north of here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 On 1/30/2023 at 1:43 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Meh, it’ll moderate, especially down here in the tropics. Snowpack is a good 100 miles north of here Expand Not gonna do shiat with offshore flow and CAA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 Under the radar, mid week will be pretty cold up here just to set the stage for late week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 On 1/30/2023 at 1:49 PM, dendrite said: Under the radar, mid week will be pretty cold up here just to set the stage for late week. Expand High builds across NNE at a good time Wed morning. Should be well below 0 at the rad pits atleast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 I love it. Let this epic cold be a memorial to our futility this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 On 1/30/2023 at 2:07 PM, WxWatcher007 said: I love it. Let this epic cold be a memorial to our futility this season. Expand Embrace it, maybe we can get a below zero Morning to end with a 40f afternoon rain . Tippy can opine about that for a paragraph or four . Just keep the closed lows to Baja coming . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 On 1/30/2023 at 1:43 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Meh, it’ll moderate, especially down here in the tropics. Snowpack is a good 100 miles north of here Expand There's snow on the ground at KASH, which is only about 50 miles. It only seems like there's no snow anywhere because there really hasn't been any south of the border all year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 On 1/30/2023 at 1:03 PM, dendrite said: I don’t think the snow cover will mean a lot…maybe highs on Saturday. It’s coming straight out of ON/QB where there’s plenty of snow. 925 is ridiculously cold so even mixing down dry adiabatically from there is going to give you some extreme temps. Sure, the euro could be going overboard in general, but the extra vertical layers may be helping it see just how low the core of that cold gets. Expand Yeah—anything close to this and we deep freeze lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 On 1/30/2023 at 1:36 PM, mahk_webstah said: Pretty bad downside risk here for my dogwood and my peaches. Gonna wrap them on Friday with burlap to see if that helps. With a 12+ snowpack, if the wind drops at the wrong time, -25 is a possibility. Not a fan of -20, but it is inevitable every 10 years or so up here. Expand Not sure what kind of tree it was, but in 2016 where I lived there was a backyard peach tree. No crop that summer (anywhere in New England). But in 2017 there were so many peaches the branches were on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 On 1/30/2023 at 1:43 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Meh, it’ll moderate, especially down here in the tropics. Snowpack is a good 100 miles north of here Expand What's your over/under for KTAN? I'm going with a -2F there for the low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 On 1/30/2023 at 2:32 PM, ariof said: Not sure what kind of tree it was, but in 2016 where I lived there was a backyard peach tree. No crop that summer (anywhere in New England). But in 2017 there were so many peaches the branches were on the ground. Expand at 15 below the trees won't bear fruit that year, but they'll live. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 BOX point n click wind chill temps of -33F for my area Saturday morning. Sweet!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 On 1/30/2023 at 2:33 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: What's your over/under for KTAN? I'm going with a -2F there for the low Expand I don’t think TAN will go below zero. I’d say 0 on the nose, would be my guess. Im north and radiate much better, my guess is I see -4 maybe -5? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris12WX Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 Hard pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 On 1/30/2023 at 1:35 PM, ORH_wxman said: The snow cover line is not that far north of the pike either...it's not like this is advecting off of 200 miles of bare ground. Expand ya plenty here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 On 1/30/2023 at 1:43 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Meh, it’ll moderate, especially down here in the tropics. Snowpack is a good 100 miles north of here Expand More like 45. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 On 1/30/2023 at 2:41 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I don’t think TAN will go below zero. I’d say 0 on the nose, would be my guess. Im north and radiate much better, my guess is I see -4 maybe -5? Expand That’s what I am thinking here as well; let’s see what happens with model runs the rest of the week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 Lol at the Euro -44F wind chill clown map for my house. Frost quakes anyone? At least the roof be a poppin' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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