George001 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said: Well, some on this forum would be happy during next couple weeks. Sorry Brooklyn:( I hope it’s right 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Just now, George001 said: I hope it’s right One of the only times I would be upset with 15! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 4 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Well, some on this forum would be happy during next couple weeks. Sorry Brooklyn:( Talk about clown maps 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 We could actually get some snow since tomorrow may be the first warmup this year that gets suppressed. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 6 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Well, some on this forum would be happy during next couple weeks. Sorry Brooklyn:( Why would people in Brooklyn be unhappy? That’s 3x more snow than they’ve had lol winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 4 minutes ago, bluewave said: We could actually get some snow since tomorrow may be the first warmup this year that gets suppressed. How does that logic work? Suppression now equals more suppressed storm down the line? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 44 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: If the two feet shown for Boston verifies, that would be a historic outcome. Boston has never had two feet of snow in March following a winter with less than 25" of snow through February. But warmer air holds more moisture, so if it's cold enough and there's a big storm, such an outcome can't be ruled out. Some quick statistics for March: Snowfall through February: < 15"; Snowiest March: 13.5", 2019 (0% of cases with 20" or more for March) Snowfall through February: < 20"; Snowiest March: 22.3", 1960 (6.5% of cases with 20" or more for March) Snowfall through February: < 25"; Snowiest March: 22.3", 1960 (4.5% of cases with 20" or more for March) This blocking period is crucial. All models show some snow for CPK. If the temps are as low as predicted in March and CPK gets up to 4, I would think it would take this winter out of the top 10 in full winter futility. On the other hand, if the Blocking fails an connects to the SER, I would imagine it's a top 5. Amazing what relatively small differences can change in a historical context. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 I'd still watch Saturday for something as well...it may end up more north but someone probably sees light snows 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Very surprised the SNE folks are so gungho about next week. If the 50/50 is even slightly weaker or displaced then the threat falls apart. Anyone south of VT/NH/ME should be skeptical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: Very surprised the SNE folks are so gungho about next week. If the 50/50 is even slightly weaker or displaced then the threat falls apart. Anyone south of VT/NH/ME should be skeptical With blocking that strong the 50/50 isn’t going anywhere. Unless the blocking weakens a lot I like our chances. The only model not on board now is the gfs. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 11 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: I'd still watch Saturday for something as well...it may end up more north but someone probably sees light snows Euro does give us a coating saturday. UKMET continues to be the model that's most impressed, giving a lot of the area around an inch of snow. Definitely worth watching since it will be cold enough saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Rain/sleet/ and big snow flakes falling now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 EPS made some good changes here slightly stronger 50/50, which leads to the block nudging further W slightly higher heights over the SW US - increases amplitude of the incoming S/W then there's also a stronger and more E lobe of vorticity N of MT that increases phasing potential the blossoming of riding in SE Canada north of the S/W is also indicative of a blocking regime... it can't gain latitude like that and is then forced to redevelop offshore. this is getting close to looking really damn good. give it a few more days this kind of setup favors New England, but potent Miller B setups can still deliver significant snow to the NYC metro. there are a bunch of <990mb members 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 9 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Very surprised the SNE folks are so gungho about next week. If the 50/50 is even slightly weaker or displaced then the threat falls apart. Anyone south of VT/NH/ME should be skeptical I’d like my chances for next week in SNE too. Here it’s more iffy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Sleet mixing in with the rain now. Temp is 42. We have 6 full days left of “winter” please let the snow chances die the way they have all season. Forsythias are blooming. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Rain/snow sleet in Syosset and Commack as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 29 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: How does that logic work? Suppression now equals more suppressed storm down the line? While the Euro looks overdone on the snowfall, the warmth staying south tomorrow indicates CAD is setting up. Probably favors places in New England. Suppression shouldn’t be an issue with the strong Southeast ridge and primary going near Buffalo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Moderate snow temp 32 0.6” at the stake. Roads becoming slushy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Very surprised the SNE folks are so gungho about next week. If the 50/50 is even slightly weaker or displaced then the threat falls apart. Anyone south of VT/NH/ME should be skeptical If I lived in New England, especially central and northern New England I’d be gung-ho about next week too 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 5 minutes ago, snowman19 said: If I lived in New England, especially central and northern New England I’d be gung-ho about next week too We have the NAO and AO in our favor this time around 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 5 minutes ago, MJO812 said: We have the NAO and AO in our favor this time around Good luck 1 1 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 13 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Good luck We seem to be stuck in no man's land. Probably a lot of days like today over the next month or so. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 1 hour ago, EastonSN+ said: Well, some on this forum would be happy during next couple weeks. Sorry Brooklyn:( I will believe it when it in the 5 day range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 48 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Good luck Thanks and don't post here if we get snow 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Stronger than I was expecting. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Good luck Yep. Given that setup, it would take an absolutely perfect, everything has to go exactly right, Miller B transfer to bring NYC a major snowstorm 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 10 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Yep. Given that setup, it would take an absolutely perfect, everything has to go exactly right, Miller B transfer to bring NYC a major snowstorm Doesn't have to be "major", most of us in the immediate NYC metro would be happy with a few inches. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 33 with moderate snow. Sticking to colder surfaces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 22, 2023 Author Share Posted February 22, 2023 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 12 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: I really hope this goes viral. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now