Stormlover74 Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 Somebody had to start the topic I guess. Godspeed. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 If we don't get anything in the Feb 1-7 period then odds of seeing nothing go up big time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 28, 2023 Author Share Posted January 28, 2023 Yay more rain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Can't we just fast forward to May. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 17 minutes ago, Dan76 said: Can't we just fast forward to May. Rain and 55 on Mem Day… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 +3 trace snow nyc 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 5 hours ago, Allsnow said: +3 trace snow nyc 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 For the record (not because I believe it though it will be interesting to follow), the 12Z Euro has -2 at LaGuardia at 168! That would be the coldest there since the -3 of 1/19/1994. But that's very likely going to verify too cold being that it is an extreme operational run at day 7 and there has been a cold bias with models overall. To show how extreme this run was, it had +10 there on the 0Z and low 20s on yesterday's 12Z. To compare for the 12Z runs, the UKMET has +6, GFS +18, CMC +19, and ICON +23. The 18Z GFS is much colder than its prior run and has +6. This extreme Euro run has -40C at 850 mb then in N ME, which would not be far from the coldest on record in the lower 48/just above the coldest in the Midwest for the 1/1985 extreme outbreak. The CMC also has -40C while the UKMET has -39C and the JMA has -37C. The 12Z GFS has it down "only" to ~-31C. Regardless of the likelihood that the 12Z Euro is overplaying the degree of cold at the surface, there may very well end up being the coldest air in a good number of years in the NE a week from now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 This time last year we were tracking a huge snowstorm 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 9 hours ago, MJO812 said: This time last year we were tracking a huge snowstorm I don't think NYC area ever approached -10F when I was a kid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 29, 2023 Author Share Posted January 29, 2023 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 29, 2023 Author Share Posted January 29, 2023 1 to 3" type event, more to the south. Let's see. At this point nam has nothing but rgem has been much better of late 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 This will likely be the deciding factor in succeeding where winters like 72/73, 97/98 failed. Can we get to phase 8 at a decent amplitude in time.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 29, 2023 Author Share Posted January 29, 2023 Gfs has a nice little event for Delaware 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: Gfs has a nice little event for Delaware They have been raking lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 I feel like DC is in a terrible location for snow in general. Last 10 years it seems to always snow north, south east and west of them lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 56 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: 1 to 3" type event, more to the south. Let's see. At this point nam has nothing but rgem has been much better of late Looks like our best chance so far this winter. Need to see some other models come aboard, but RGEM is definitely the model we want in our corner. It has been the model that has been down on every threat when the NAM has been hyping, so it's interesting to see it being the model that's giving us snow. Hopefully RGEM will score another victory. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 29, 2023 Author Share Posted January 29, 2023 3 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Looks like our best chance so far this winter. Need to see some other models come aboard, but RGEM is definitely the model we want in our corner. It has been the model that has been down on every threat when the NAM has been hyping, so it's interesting to see it being the model that's giving us snow. Hopefully RGEM will score another victory. Cmc too but further south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 29, 2023 Author Share Posted January 29, 2023 Ukie has a very light event mostly under an inch city on south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Ukie has a very light event mostly under an inch city on south Yeah I just noticed that too. Good to see another model showing some interest. Hopefully Euro will show something as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 For all those not alive or too young, this was 97/98. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 ~5th doesn't look so terrible for some kind of system. The vortex is lifting away from our lap. Leaving some cold available. We do get windows in those situations. Timing that right, that's another story. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 Snow mean on the eps less than an inch out until the end. After the 24 hour cold snap it’s back above normal and snowless. Looks like that will be it for winter (if you can call it that) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 We 2001-2002... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 10 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Snow mean on the eps less than an inch out until the end. After the 24 hour cold snap it’s back above normal and snowless. Looks like that will be it for winter (if you can call it that) I just wanna avoid the cold altogether. Nothing worse than bitter cold on top of the disaster that was this winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 45 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: I just wanna avoid the cold altogether. Nothing worse than bitter cold on top of the disaster that was this winter. the ecosystem needs it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 29, 2023 Author Share Posted January 29, 2023 Rgem went south for Wednesday. Under an inch for most Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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