Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,610
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    NH8550
    Newest Member
    NH8550
    Joined

February 2023 Obs/Discussion


Baroclinic Zone
 Share

Recommended Posts

2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Friday will be a true downslope dandy.

First nape day ?

Btw (you’ll love this) … today marks the end of the perennial solar minimum … begins the solar transition. It’s like saying it’s the first day of ‘sun spring’.  

Subtle at first will ensue a steadily increasing but noticeably warmer and warmer direct sun sensation. And yes .., exposed parked cars … even on cold days … will tend to toast inside. HAHA the best part!

I’ve noticed this many years ago as pretty coherent upon this time every February … Then upon later learning of the solar min/tran/max.  It was like a ‘whoa. right!’ moment. Made perfect sense. 

Anyway … it’s probably as good a date as any to designate the beginning of ‘nape season’. It’s when light wind sunny moments … even in comparably cold air gives that allusion …almost “protection” inside a fragile soothing bubble. And the car thing. Etc. I’ve walked down the street in calm, 33 F air under cobalt blue sky, immersed in mid February sun and could swear it must be much warmer. 

Actually ...Friday looks too breezy for the direct exposure aspect.
 

  • Like 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Fwinotw - the 12z NAM is about 5 to 10kts stronger with the wind max carving down the Rockies at 18 hours... I'm not on Pivotal or faster intake sites - relying on TT at the moment... but that "could" translate favorably along the EC out in time.  we'll see -

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

49 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Let em enjoy a couple warm days here and there…it won’t last. I’ll enjoy them too…but ya, we all would rather it be snowing at the snowiest time of the year. 

“couple warm days here and there”

Denial ain’t a river in Egypt.

I just make the best of what I can’t control. Misery is close otherwise.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

Ya..I think everybody knows the caveats and low chances.  But you’ll be here for 12z to see what the next cycle shows, and so will I. 

Yep...all the Tblizz's of the world will be dutifully clicking on the 12z runs regardless of what they say about it having no chance.

They like preaching to the choir though....as if 90+% of the posters here don't already know it's a long shot. :lol:

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

25 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

“Few warm days here and there”

Denial ain’t a river in Egypt.

I just make the best of what I can’t control. Misery is close otherwise.

Actually I believe the saying goes…Denial IS a River in Egypt. 
 

It’s been mild obviously, but the days haven’t been to warm or nice overall. It’s sucked actually. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

28 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

What are the chances of that in central Maine? Lol

 

Sounds like you are above normal YTD

See 2006.  Thru Jan 31 that winter we were 1" AN.   Feb 1 onward, 36" BN - FMA avg 44.3", 2006: 7.8", biggest storm (and only one 2"+) was 2.8".

Currently 7" AN YTD.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

12z GFS is the more likely solution for that thing...  which, not without sensitivity to the matter, is like a maleficent turn through a burn ward with a spritzer of rubbing alcohol ... oh well.

No other guidance is really even close to what the eps are selling.

 

good luck to the folks riding the euro 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...