CT Rain Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Time to start honking Ray’s 1956 ending. So funny - someone at work this morning asked me to figure out approximately when this picture was taken from the 50s. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Time to start honking Ray’s 1956 ending. I need it bc January was a bad miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I need it bc January was a bad miss. Do you think it’s possible that the window you anticipated would happen in Jan before a break and then big finish happens towards mid Feb instead before the polar vortex stuff takes over and gives us the big March? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 6 minutes ago, George001 said: Things are trending more favorably with the polar vortex. Not a guarantee and I would still say the odds are against us making up enough ground to end up above average snow for the winter. However, things look a lot better than they did even a week ago. It doesn’t happen every year, but in our snowy seasons we go on a run at some point with storm after storm. 2017-2018 was a 4 week run in March, 2010-2011 was a 4 week run from late Dec to late Jan, and 2014-2015 was a 4 week run from late Jan to late Feb. Most years that doesn’t happen, but when it does we make up for lost ground fast. All I need is enough to get back to climo for verification and I saw a clown Euro weekly map yesterday that did just that...30-40" region wide over 42 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 3 minutes ago, George001 said: Do you think it’s possible that the window you anticipated would happen in Jan before a break and then big finish happens towards mid Feb instead before the polar vortex stuff takes over and gives us the big March? Well, the January as I had portrayed was a miss. The blocking never redeveloped. However, we could still get lucky in Feb with a better source region as a segue into a nice March. I hinted at such an outcome in my last blog, even though it headlined a "Mild February". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 Do you think it’s possible that the window you anticipated would happen in Jan before a break and then big finish happens towards mid Feb instead before the polar vortex stuff takes over and gives us the big March? There is no guarantee of anything with the SPV, @coastalwx is right it’s voodoo and even if a SSW happens there’s no guarantee what it does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 Euro showed a nice “gradient storm” for CNE / Berks NW . High went bye bye faster than gfs for that modeled period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 Just now, snowman19 said: There is no guarantee of anything with the SPV, @coastalwx is right it’s voodoo and even if a SSW happens there’s no guarantee what it does No one is considering or referencing a SSW. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: No one is considering or referencing a SSW. Gummies? 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well, the January as I had portrayed was a miss. The blocking never redeveloped. However, we could still get lucky in Feb with a better source region as a segue into a nice March. I hinted at such an outcome in my last blog, even though it headlined a "Mild February". I’m expecting a wintry end to the season and I’ll go down with the ship if the geese continue to shat on me. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: Gummies? IDK what he's chewing on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: Gummies? They make one more enlightened, not dumber. I vote for beer instead. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: IDK what he's chewing on Chalk… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: IDK what he's chewing on twitter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 IDK what he's chewing onShrooms 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 It's almost bowling ball season... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 31 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Hahaha... let's not get carried away.. but I like the vibe Yeah I’ve been joking around about it with Scott and Ray. The Ashland coop near me had 72.5” after February 18th that season after limping to about 23” up to that point. Talk about a big turnaround…lol. But all honesty, I do think that semi-colder look has been been advertised at least somewhat for a while…that EPO ridge never really went away…it ebbed and flowed a bit but having it there always gave the milder mid-month pattern a temporary feel to it. I do think there will be some winter storm threats late month into early March. But a bunch of crappy close calls and other variables that prevent snow wouldn’t surprise me this winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Yeah I’ve been joking around about it with Scott and Ray. The Ashland coop near me had 72.5” after February 18th that season after limping to about 23” up to that point. Talk about a big turnaround…lol. But all honesty, I do think that semi-colder look has been been advertised at least somewhat for a while…that EPO ridge never really went away…it ebbed and flowed a bit but having it there always gave the milder mid-month pattern a temporary feel to it. I do think there will be some winter storm threats late month into early March. But a bunch of crappy close calls and other variables that prevent snow wouldn’t surprise me this winter. How about interior? Route 2 N MA VT NH? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 2 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: How about interior? Route 2 N MA VT NH? I know Reading COOP got croaked, too....don't have the data in front of me, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I know Reading COOP got croaked, too....don't have the data in front of me, though. Yeah, understood on '56. I was asking/ meant maybe the next 2-3 weeks or even March, sorry didn't reference that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 Winter of yore for the old timers that lived through this one. You know who you are. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 51 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: WTF?? What a stupid statement. We haven’t had blocking in years here, and have had some monsters the last decade. Then this December we had monster blocking and got skunked. Lol. he is from Rockland County, whereever that is-not in NE. he knows not of which he speaks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Winter of yore for the old timers that lived through this one. You know who you are. Sounds like Feb 2015. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Just got back, Little cold and blustery out there, 80 miles is enough for today. Sweet Sweet sled! I've never had a breakdown in any of the ski doos I've owned, and I've put on some serious miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 1 hour ago, Dan76 said: How's that sled holding up ? Their outboards sucked. Their sleds are A1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 There were a couple recent winters where big chunks of Cape Cod bay were frozen, but I couldn't tell you which ones - I'm not Will. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 54 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Their sleds are awesome…no issues. Super well made, great quality all around. I'm not sure I'd buy anything else. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 36 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: No one is considering or referencing a SSW. Why don't these guys actually look at a projection of the vortex from above instead of a stupid chart? You can gain so much more from seeing the behavior of the vortex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Sounds like Feb 2015. Harbor froze over then too? How often does it happen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Sounds like Feb 2015. Harbor was totally frozen out to the islands east of Hull and Winthrop that winter. Almost all of Cape Cod Bay was frozen too and it was frozen out to MVY. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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