Baroclinic Zone Posted February 2, 2023 Author Share Posted February 2, 2023 20 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Pic of you in your jorts outside tomorrow at 8pm Ok, maybe a little later but I will send Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 8 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Seems the models are hinting are more of a general period that may last 4 days ... couple of events nested inside, spread out over gray days in between. 18z GFS looked like cold solutions for us, with options for mixy/ice and or snow. Previous runs were quite a bit NW ... I don't actually have a problem with the NW solution set, though. The NAO being positive favors that storm track... so, I'm not willing to trust these eye candy cycles like this one until maybe 8 days from now. haha Off hr runs always entertain, or disappoint like clockwork. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 Don't tease me, GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Locking in the GFS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 2, 2023 Author Share Posted February 2, 2023 22 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Maybe for you? Not here. It’s quick in and out, but not meh at all. Beer? Plenty of subzero readings at TAN. This is just a quick glance. Jan 2017 had consecutive below 0 days. -10F and a -4F. Feb 2016 had 3 consecutive days below 0. -1, -9, and -7. Feb 2015 was nuts. There were 11 days below 0F. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 2, 2023 Author Share Posted February 2, 2023 Like I said. One day of -5 +/- is not crazy here. Feb 2015 was nuts for cold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 8 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Like I said. One day of -5 +/- is not crazy here. Feb 2015 was nuts for cold. Bob knows his stuff , how will the W.Chills compare in this one 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 2, 2023 Author Share Posted February 2, 2023 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Bob knows his stuff I could go on and on. I'm sure some will say #fakecold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 6 hours ago, bwt3650 said: just bring the moisture, right? What was the actual number above average? The last ten days have rocked, but I'm surprised it got above average after the first 10 days of Jan. Nearly bare ground for New Years is a tough start. Snowfall wise it wasn’t as much above here as it was points south towards CVT and NH/ME I think. The mountains are hard as average isn’t really there, but BTV was spot on normal January snow. Near me the Worcester, VT COOP had 29” on a 27” average for January. Newport and Sutton looks average. Could call it average to a bit above in spots. More above south/central regions of NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 30 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Locking in the GFS. Lock this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 Just now, dryslot said: Lock this He’s married , it’s locked 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 17 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Like I said. One day of -5 +/- is not crazy here. Feb 2015 was nuts for cold. Well I did say it’s very short, but it will be intense, and not meh. Is it as long as the others you pointed out, no, not at all. But it doesn’t look to be meh…just short. But whatever. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Well I did say it’s very short, but it will be intense, and not meh. Is it as long as the others you pointed out, no, not at all. But it doesn’t look to be meh…just short. But whatever. I think the winds make it intense . To me it’s really about How cold it feels when your outside in the elements . But there seems to be some semantics over the duration of the shot compared to just the lowest temp 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I think the winds make it intense . To me it’s really about How cold it feels when your outside in the elements . Yes. For sure. And the wind with this is looking to be pretty brutal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 17 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I could go on and on. I'm sure some will say #fakecold Now post your windchills.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 TAN ASOS is a bit of a pit too compared to nearby stations…even on rad nights. Definitely a different feel compared to what we’ll have tomorrow night. Feb 16 will probably be worse than this down there though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 3, 2023 Author Share Posted February 3, 2023 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: TAN ASOS is a bit of a pit too compared to nearby stations…even on rad nights. Definitely a different feel compared to what we’ll have tomorrow night. Feb 16 will probably be worse than this down there though. 2/13 - 2/14? 2016-02-13 26 -1 12.5 -18.1 52 0 T 2016-02-14 13 -9 2.0 -28.8 63 0 0.00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 Yeah rad pits in calm wind showing -7 is a completely different sensible wx feel to -7 ripping with 25 knot winds. You can get -7 in calm winds and be 25-30F a few hours later in daylight. Tomorrow afternoon might be near 0F in spots near NH border and single digits in much of MA with wind. That’s the difference between “fake” cold and these deep layer CAA events. You typically want to combine the two if you want to go super low in the rad pits…you get the CAA and then the next night it goes calm and you put up a -22F or something. We won’t do this in that event because it’s too fast. But some of the slower ones like Jan 1994 and Jan 2004 were able to do it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: 2/13 - 2/14? 2016-02-13 26 -1 12.5 -18.1 52 0 T 2016-02-14 13 -9 2.0 -28.8 63 0 0.00 Yeah winds ripped everywhere with that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 3, 2023 Author Share Posted February 3, 2023 Thanks Brian. I'm not trying to lessen this cold shot locally, but it's length and temp mins are what makes it "meh". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScituateWX Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Locking in the GFS. It's whatever at this point in my world. If we get some snow and I can plow snow great if not the world won't end. I'm going to be a dad in June bigger things to look forward to on the horizon! Take it a few days at a time and see how it shakes out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 22 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Thanks Brian. I'm not trying to lessen this cold shot locally, but it's length and temp mins are what makes it "meh". I mean, you could take a long nap and miss 95 % of this cold shot. Blink and you’ll miss it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 Winter arrives in SNE on the 18z gfs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 35 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Winter arrives in SNE on the 18z gfs Don’t worry. The old man will see himself to the door at 0z. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 3 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Don’t worry. The old man will see himself to the door at 0z. Yup, 18z always bizarre more often than not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 11 hours ago, Great Snow 1717 said: The question is "how can there be 6 more weeks of winter when there hasn't been a single week of winter??" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 4 hours ago, dryslot said: Plenty of snow up here in Eustis and on Kennebago Mtn Heading to Caribou Sunday for the week. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I mean, you could take a long nap and miss 95 % of this cold shot. Blink and you’ll miss it. Like what DIT does during night time snowstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 1 hour ago, ScituateWX said: It's whatever at this point in my world. If we get some snow and I can plow snow great if not the world won't end. I'm going to be a dad in June bigger things to look forward to on the horizon! Take it a few days at a time and see how it shakes out. Congrats and gl. It’s an awesome experience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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