February 2023 Obs/Discussion

[tavwtby]

Just now, The 4 Seasons said:

No thundersnow with 2/1/21, at least no reports of it that i recall seeing during the event. Last time we had widespread thundersnow in CT was Feb 9th 2017 and Mar 7th 2018.

For a lot of areas west of 91 in New Haven and Fairfield ctys that was the biggest event since Feb 13.

Just got finished remaking all the events for the 20-21 season if anyone's interested @WxWatcher007 you can find them here: 

 

my bad thought it was 2001 not 2021... anyway think I'm wrong anyway, think it was the 2003 event

[ORH_wxman]

8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Yea. I expect some blocking to show up back half of Feb into March. Nothing extreme but good enough especially as wavelengths shorten. I know no one cares to discuss until they’re shoveling but this is why we are here. 

Kind of weird how consistently the OP GFS has been showing a decent pattern in clown range while ensembles are not. (Outside of that 2/10-2/12 period) 

[WinterWolf]

9 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

No thundersnow with 2/1/21, at least no reports of it that i recall seeing during the event. Last time we had widespread thundersnow in CT was Feb 9th 2017 and Mar 7th 2018.

For a lot of areas west of 91 in New Haven and Fairfield ctys that was the biggest event since Feb 13.

Just got finished remaking all the events for the 20-21 season if anyone's interested @WxWatcher007 you can find them here: 

 

Yup…did real nice in that one here. Between 16-18”.  

[WinterWolf]

7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Kind of weird how consistently the OP GFS has been showing a decent pattern in clown range while ensembles are not. (Outside of that 2/10-2/12 period) 

Well the ensembles ideas of good patterns have not delivered us anything this year…so let’s try the OP this time lol. Can’t do any worse. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Kind of weird how consistently the OP GFS has been showing a decent pattern in clown range while ensembles are not. (Outside of that 2/10-2/12 period) 

It’s been a weird season so why not continue the weird. 

[WinterWolf]

4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

It’s been a weird season so why not continue the weird. 

That was my idea in my post above too…nothing else has worked out, so let’s see how this goes. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

46 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Mine either moved on or died. Not just my hood, but all around town. I remember in the fall they were darting all over into roads , into traffic. They just disappeared. I hate the FOC’ers.. so hopefully gone for good though I’m sure when the acorn yield returns next fall after a warm dry spring.. they’ll be back 

Have you had any predator birds move into the neighborhood? Hawks, Owls? Maybe coyotes are getting them. 

[Damage In Tolland]

9 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Have you had any predator birds move into the neighborhood? Hawks, Owls? Maybe coyotes are getting them. 

Living in the woods have all of the above . Had more bears than usual well into November though 

[snowman21]

15 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Have you had any predator birds move into the neighborhood? Hawks, Owls? Maybe coyotes are getting them. 

Or foxes.

[DavisStraight]

32 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Have you had any predator birds move into the neighborhood? Hawks, Owls? Maybe coyotes are getting them. 

During a windy day last fall there was a baby owl on my wife's car, it stayed in the garage for most of the night but was gone in the morning. I wonder if the wind blew it out of its nest or blew the whole nest down.

[Baroclinic Zone]

This AMs snow is gone.

[DJln491]

42 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

This AMs snow is gone.

Better to have snowed and lost, than never to have snowed at all

[Snowcrazed71]

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Living in the woods have all of the above . Had more bears than usual well into November though 

Very normal to have bears well into November.. even early December. We have a fair amount that come through our yard as well. There was just a story recently on the news of a bear that's hibernating under someone's deck, that's just a few houses up from where we are. He was in his sleep state, so even though his eyes were open, he was still in his hibernation.

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Very normal to have bears well into November.. even early December. We have a fair amount that come through our yard as well. There was just a story recently on the news of a bear that's hibernating under someone's deck, that's just a few houses up from where we are. He was in his sleep state, so even though his eyes were open, he was still in his hibernation.

Did they poke the bear? I’d be tossing stones and poking it with a long stick lol

[Ginx snewx]

2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Mine either moved on or died. Not just my hood, but all around town. I remember in the fall they were darting all over into roads , into traffic. They just disappeared. I hate the FOC’ers.. so hopefully gone for good though I’m sure when the acorn yield returns next fall after a warm dry spring.. they’ll be back 

Probably had a Fisher cat move in

 Watch your little guy

[HIPPYVALLEY]

29 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Probably had a Fisher cat move in

 Watch your little guy

Fisher's can be nasty but usually stay away from human habitats unless you have chickens etc. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Yea. I expect some blocking to show up back half of Feb into March. Nothing extreme but good enough especially as wavelengths shorten. I know no one cares to discuss until they’re shoveling but this is why we are here. 

I agree. Would be odd to have zero blocking the rest of the season after that December giant.

[wokeupthisam]

Yup... "beware the Ides of March"  

[HIPPYVALLEY]

11 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I agree. Would be odd to have zero blocking the rest of the season after that December giant.

I like the 10 day period after the 7th or so.  I think N MA cashes in on a system going under us by mid-month.

[40/70 Benchmark]

8 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I like the 10 day period after the 7th or so.  I think N MA cashes in on a system going under us by mid-month.

Yea, I think that could be the one decent event this month, since this early arctic stretch isn't producing. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

1 hour ago, wokeupthisam said:

Yup... "beware the Ides of March"  

Beware the tulips this March might be more likely but we wait and watch 

[40/70 Benchmark]

23 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Beware the tulips this March might be more likely but we wait and watch 

The thing is even if the pattern blows, that time of year is still capable of delivering a rogue whopper. The easy thing to do is to pig pile on and carry on down the path of persistence, which also happens to be the path of least resistance.

But we have all seen the shittiest of seasons deliver a bowling ball even in the event no blocking materializes.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

The thing is even if the pattern blows, that time of year is still capable of delivering a rogue whopper. The easy thing to do is to pig pile on and carry on down the path of persistence, which also happens to be the path of least resistance.

But we have all seen the shittiest of seasons deliver a bowling ball even in the event no blocking materializes.

Minimum of two advisory and probably warning events N of Pike in the next 8 weeks.  I think the pattern flattens and we get chances, at least at our latitude.

[40/70 Benchmark]

23 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Minimum of two advisory and probably warning events N of Pike in the next 8 weeks.  I think the pattern flattens and we get chances, at least at our latitude.

Yea, I don't think I will finish with 19.5"...probably at least get into the 30's, anyway.

[40/70 Benchmark]

We don't jack alot, but its tough to totally skunk our area, too.

[The 4 Seasons]

This winter rules!

 

 

UZI   SCOTT

[The 4 Seasons]

Next ten days on the op Euro 

 

[8611Blizz]

2 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Next ten days on the op Euro 

 

Gfs looks about the same at day 15.

[moneypitmike]

Tips post about the warmth of his car are much more exciting than this winter has been.

[UnitedWx]

13 degrees. One of the colder mornings in a while.