RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah if we’re getting buried on tomorrow’s 12z and especially 00z runs tomorrow night, then it might be time to start chucking them. Yeah, and with that said, I do think the euro is a little overzealous with the offshore low going bonkers like that. But still the eps was right there with some big members so it’s not a solution without merit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yeah, and with that said, I do think the euro is a little overzealous with the offshore low going bonkers like that. But still the eps was right there with some big members so it’s not a solution without merit. Oh this one’s coming. I vividly remember 1956 and the wx a week before was quite similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 It's a pretty bizarre evolution and IMO the primary decays a bit too late for my liking. Having the -NAO and pivoting 50/50 Low certainly does raise the bar for if/where this develops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 12 minutes ago, TalcottWx said: That is a miller b as noted in kocin-uccelini books. Some of our most historic storms come from that look believe it or not. I think he’s a met under a different username. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/02/march-to-begin-like-lion.html 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Today could be the start of a magical relationship between us and frozen precipitation 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Oh this one’s coming. I vividly remember 1956 and the wx a week before was quite similar. I was all in weeks ago on a good ending lol. We’ll see how good this gets though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 3 minutes ago, TalcottWx said: Today could be the start of a magical relationship between us and frozen precipitation Shrooms… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: Any reason why the GFS solution is being discounted. Seems equally likely to verify Gfs suite is on its own Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 1 hour ago, brooklynwx99 said: not to get off topic, but I actually rank 2016 as a good to great winter. can't be a bad winter when you have a record-breaking blizzard IMO. just doesn't make sense to me but also, we don't really have snowpack or anything like that in NYC, so it's more of a bonus than anything... the lack of other snow doesn't bother me there I nailed that blizzard in the preceding fall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Here comes the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 18z GFS looks like it's redeveloping quite a bit earlier and further south compared to the 12z run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Just now, Thunderblizzard said: 18z GFS looks like it's redeveloping quite a bit earlier and further south compared to the 12z run. Looks like euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 this is a definitive shift towards the ECMWF. stronger block forcing more confluence. S/W is more amped as well. all things we want to see 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 SNE crushed on GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Woof woof We obviously want to see more continuity through tomorrow, but no question this is the best signal (cross-guidance and ensemble support + in shortest lead time) we've seen all winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 everyone is going to win here. wow wow wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 eMA crushing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Gfs is now on board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 I think a rogue weenie has hacked into the global models 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Looks like euroIt’s still not a euro type solution thiuhh, still gets the job done, but it doesn’t phase the other NS energy. Main shortwave just gets it done on its own strength. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Nice paste job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 4 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: everyone is going to win here. wow wow wow. Not that great for WCT into NYC verbatim but we’ll figure that out later. Just nice to see euro leading the way…for now. Good signal and it’s real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 All this futility talk… some of these runs give you half your annual average or more in the next 10 days in SNE lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 It’s still not a euro type solution thiuhh, still gets the job done, but it doesn’t phase the other NS energy. Main shortwave just gets it done on its own strength. .Not that anyone would really complain, it’s impressive that much snow falls without a full secondary development like Euro. Gearing up for a chase, common Boston do your magic . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 What a panel. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Not that great for WCT into NYC verbatim but we’ll figure that out later. Just nice to see euro leading the way…for now. Good signal and it’s real. one more shift like this and NYC-BOS is hammered. the block is slowing down and amplifying the flow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 4 minutes ago, powderfreak said: What a panel. we can lock like 12-18" at this point, and always go higher 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 9 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: one more shift like this and NYC-BOS is hammered. the block is slowing down and amplifying the flow That’s what we have going for it…Inside D7 trends of a blockier flow. And plus the old saying goes, you never want to be in the jack zone at D5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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