CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 I ask because the mean has some really borderline events that favor nne so that surprised me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Early next week's storm shifted further south on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Euro crushes SNE coming up Congrats to sema. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 41 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Congrats to sema. It's all of e MA..but yea, se MA jack. I would let that slide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 40 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That seems impossible. What algorithm is that? Disregard....sometimes these graphics have glitches.....it had the red as 20", instead of 12"....its corrected now. Anyway, maybe right if tonight's EURO has a clue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 3 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm at 21.5" You got 2" yesterday morning? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: You got 2" yesterday morning? Yes. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 That EURO deal isn't really clown range anymore....its starts at day 6. Looks as though the 50/50 is more pronounced. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yes. Nice surprise, in the 20s now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 That is a firehose, man....that is like a March 2013/April 1997 type animal. The way that goes nuts s of LI, someone would pull at least 3''/hr...probably several inches. Would be man paste, too....marginal surface but cold aloft with artic coming behind it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 GEM trended in like fashion...just not all of the way there. Looks like 12z Euro. Should be interesting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 30 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: You got 2" yesterday morning? nah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 3 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: nah I posted a pic on BOX's Twitter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Some are getting to caught up in the op runs showing positive results for snow. I would be skeptical at this point and watch the trends. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 47 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Some are getting to caught up in the op runs showing positive results for snow. I would be skeptical at this point and watch the trends. EPS has it too. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Yesterdays inch in Westfield brings me to an even 15" on the season. Maybe the storm currently depicted on the Euro will help cure mother natures dyslexia with my total number.. BDL 28" below normal as of today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 EURO looks like a monster storm for much of the region overnight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: EPS has it too. EPS continues to get snowier for us. Man, just have one of these threats go right. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: EPS continues to get snowier for us. Man, just have one of these threats go right. I know. I wish we had more multi model agreement like the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 6 hours ago, DavisStraight said: Usually even in terrible years we have one decent region wide snowstorm. I think we got one in 2012. Nothing yet this year. Technically that was in 2011. In October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Euro has a Miller B Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: EPS has it too. Pretty tepid support outside of the euro suite. So probably tossed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 1 hour ago, TalcottWx said: EURO looks like a monster storm for much of the region overnight. For when? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 3 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: For when? 2/28. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 I spent 10 minutes observing the looping the stereographic layout of the NH off the deterministic 00z GFS and Euro solutions, and I couldn't really make out any reason to assess either as less likely regarding that 120 - 180 period out there. Which nests the 28th system ... It's important, because they offer world's apart difference wrt to that event. The GFS is a nod to seasonal trend, but has a progressive bias ( also ) regardless of said trend. It has the same eastern limb -NAO as the Euro ( they actually agree spectacularly on that specific feature out there by D6-7-8), but the effect it has on us, here, is the GFS doesn't transmit that effect. It keeps the -NAO influence more toward the outer Maritime and Greenland areas, and allows the Pacific/-PNA to proxy our events until much later ( that fantasy crap out there at 300 hours) The Euro seems to be responding more to the -NAO over the eastern limb, by transitively causing a slowing/trapping of the circulation features across the NW Atlantic Basin. This transitive forcing ( meaning it is coming from afar) basically back-logs the escape latitudes and speeds over eastern N/A, much more an expression of a NAO exertion comparing the two models. Thus, the local scale circulation mode ..and circumstantially advantageous to winter enthusiast, the mechanics of the 28th system ends up dumping a ton of snow across New England. The -NAO has a multi faceted support for happening -but when/where? Flip a coin ... not sure I see a reason why either is more likely than the other. Either we get 0 south coast snow to 4" of tired futility in the mountains out of the GFS. Or, something like 18-24" out of a slow moving, stalled CCB hosing into ample cold thickness, with 30 hours of S/W mechanics force fed under our latitudes. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 10 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: For when? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Just now, TalcottWx said: Long duration too, holy shit that’s a burial. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Actually... closer look at the surface synopsis ... the GFS isn't a bad as that, buts it's definitely different and less favorable overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 2 minutes ago, George001 said: Long duration too, holy shit that’s a burial. It’s also the only model remotely showing that. Don’t take the cheese Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 6z GEFs was trying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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