8611Blizz Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 The pope trying to talk Ant off the triboro..wtf 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 21 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Now you’ve gone and done it. You’ve made Anthony happy. Just setting him up…and costing him another month of stormvista Stormvista developers need to eat too 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 25 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: What a dream for you. Deep pack and a +10 month. You couldn’t draw it up any better. If we can do this every January I’ll let them lock Greta up. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 1 hour ago, DJln491 said: Time to shine up the golf clubs I guess. Yet...should be able to set some personal record drive distances in -10 F lol 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 I'm not sure if I have ever had a winter with 0 temps below 0F since I've lived here. Good shot of that this season. Lowest so far was 3F. I doubt I get below that later this week for the "cold" snap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 28, 2023 Author Share Posted January 28, 2023 9 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I'm not sure if I have ever had a winter with 0 temps below 0F since I've lived here. Good shot of that this season. Lowest so far was 3F. I doubt I get below that later this week for the "cold" snap Dec 24th has been the mark of cold here this season 18/9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Neither a great nor inspiring look for 2/2, but less suppressed on the gfs this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Los gehts ICON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Los gehts ICON I’m all-in for the Ginxy 2/5-6 storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 As soon as it dries out a bit we will be golfing. Some places are open as is. If we can get a stretch of dry weather golf in the first few weeks of Feb could be excellent. Suns warm and with no wind, it’s nice to get out there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 49 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Unlikely, no cold air There is in the northern mid Atlantic. At least sufficient for snow. It’s a small window and moderate event (at best) before we go back to ++AN the week after. This is a case where the highest amounts will be right along (just north) of the R/S line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Someone find Roy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 35 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I'm not sure if I have ever had a winter with 0 temps below 0F since I've lived here. Good shot of that this season. Lowest so far was 3F. I doubt I get below that later this week for the "cold" snap If the Euro and some of these other guidance type/cycles are right about next Friday night I'd suggest you do so with ease .. Hm, it's possible that is a windier scenario holds it above the current 2-meter outlook. It doesn't stick around, either. The air mass comes in sort of Montreal Express, and then the high pressure quickly moves east and the wind just veers right back around from the SW in a lot of these depictions ... Considering the standard 10% reduction on amplitude for cold air at this range, combined with wind motion? may hold it 1F at 3 am that night in reality Right now the 2-meter is about -10F along Rt 2. we'll see 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 33 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I'm not sure if I have ever had a winter with 0 temps below 0F since I've lived here. Good shot of that this season. Lowest so far was 3F. I doubt I get below that later this week for the "cold" snap My records are scattered but I bet we have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: My records are scattered but I bet we have. The previous 2 or 3 seasons below zero has been rare, but I still achieve it at least 1 time. This year maybe not. Before this stretch is was fairly routine to hit -5 to -15F with a smattering of even colder (my lowest has been -19 since I've paid attention) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: The previous 2 or 3 seasons below zero has been rare, but I still achieve it at least 1 time. This year maybe not. Before this stretch is was fairly routine to hit -5 to -15F with a smattering of even colder (my lowest has been -19 since I've paid attention) We haven’t had a really good arctic airmass during mid-winter since Jan 2019. We had a pretty good run from 2014-2019 with arctic airmasses but it’s been nada since then. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 This deep TPV event wanes pretty fast out there between the 3rd and the 5th of February. Towards the end of that transition period, the GFS ejects at wave into the E. That is not an "as bad" look, because the elephant ass has left the trampoline arena, allowing other aspects to dent the flow ... ( heh, kind of hung up on that metaphor lately I admit LOL ) Anyway, I really feel pretty confident that this pattern change has arrived, and much to our collective chagrin? ...it is abysmal. Deal - I mean, really... .01 QPF spanning 10 days of the GGEM model ( and the Euro wasn't far behind). The rain shadow of the Andes is one of if not the most formidable dry damned places on Earth, and that region gets that much from dew/frost condensation. We're attempting to pull off, at mid latitude N/A during the stormiest climate time of the winter season mind you ..., competitive results with the Andean rain shadow. ...astoundingly bad... really - So there's some hyperbole in that above. In essence? it's certainly fair enough. I really feel we need to get through this cold plume variant pattern and the elephant before much is going to take place. This predicament synopsis is wholly prohibitive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 what a day, feels like Morch 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 1 minute ago, Torch Tiger said: what a day, feels like Morch Sun out, 45 Nashua great day to be outside 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Nice rain bomb on Feb 6 on GFS. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: We haven’t had a really good arctic airmass during mid-winter since Jan 2019. We had a pretty good run from 2014-2019 with arctic airmasses but it’s been nada since then. We had short intrusions last January, giving our frost pocket lows of -29 and -30, only the 6th morning in 25 years here to hit -30 or lower. The last extended (at least a week) cold snap came in Dec 17 into Jan 18. The week 12/27-1/2 averaged 2.4/-22.1 with a max of 7 and min of -31, running 29° BN. Extending that to 15 days, 12/25-1/8, the temps were 8.7/-14.1, only 21° BN but including a pair of storms totaling 21" and a max for the span of 22 during the 13" dump on 1/4. Fort Kent wx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Maybe 2/2 has legs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: Nice rain bomb on Feb 6 on GFS. Remarkably consistent for several runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 1 hour ago, dendrite said: You couldn’t draw it up any better. If we can do this every January I’ll let them lock Greta up. we Morch today , nice out . Zero complaints 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 8 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: This deep TPV event wanes pretty fast out there between the 3rd and the 5th of February. Towards the end of that transition period, the GFS ejects at wave into the E. That is not an "as bad" look, because the elephant ass has left the trampoline arena, allowing other aspects to dent the flow ... ( heh, kind of hung up on that metaphor lately I admit LOL ) Anyway, I really feel pretty confident that this pattern change has arrived, and much to our collective chagrin? ...it is abysmal. Deal - I mean, really... .01 QPF spanning 10 days of the GGEM model ( and the Euro wasn't far behind). The rain show of the Andes is one of if not the most formidable dry damned places on Earth, and that region gets that much from dew/frost condensation. We're attempting to pull off, at mid latitude N/A during the stormiest climate time of the winter season mind you ..., competitive results with the Andean rain shadow. ...astoundingly bad... really - So there's some hyperbole in that above. In essence? it's certainly fair enough. I really feel we need to get through this cold plume variant pattern and the elephant before much is going to take place. This predicament synopsis is wholly prohibitive. Of course, 10 days is different from 300 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 It does appear though (AT LEAST THROUGH 2/8-2/10 ANYWAY) that my warnings to the warm February boys club about going torchy in Feb in a Nina after Jan was torchy is dangerous because history has shown that usually Feb is colder or at least near normal in La Ninas where that has happened. 88-89 was a good example of it. Lets hope we don't see Norfolk do as well as they did in February 89 though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Actually going golfing today. Beautiful day out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Nice rain bomb on Feb 6 on GFS. It makes no sense really...I guess if the flow is truly THAT fast the high would bolt out that quick but chances are even without blocking that high is not gonna escape that fast so you'd probably at least see a snow to rain scenario Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 4 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: It does appear though (AT LEAST THROUGH 2/8-2/10 ANYWAY) that my warnings to the warm February boys club about going torchy in Feb in a Nina after Jan was torchy is dangerous because history has shown that usually Feb is colder or at least near normal in La Ninas where that has happened. 88-89 was a good example of it. Lets hope we don't see Norfolk do as well as they did in February 89 though Feb 1989 gave me PTSD as a young weenie. First all the cold/dry then cutter…and then the 2/24-25 monster bust. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: Yet...should be able to set some personal record drive distances in -10 F lol Likely get a good roll. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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