Typhoon Tip Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 4 minutes ago, Chris12WX said: Are we sure we want it to snow? God it’s nice out. Ha ha ... thought did cross my mind. Plan on doing 5 mi run outside for a change... But, wake up and it's cloudy tomorrow morning with some wet aggies starting to fall and I'm sure I'll swap out my mood pretty fast. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 44 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: So this is a chat GPT forecast buy a robot? “I don’t want to be the ICON, I don’t want to be the NAM. I want to be powerful. I want to be accurate. I want to be loved. I want to be the EURO” 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 29 minutes ago, George001 said: That’s why I started tracking and getting excited about rainstorms and torches as well, only tracking snowstorms was just getting me frustrated and it wasn’t fun anymore, so I made the decision to start getting excited about warmer weather and rainstorms too. That gave me a lot more enjoyment with this “winter”, despite it not really being much of a winter at all. Instead of getting upset about what we can’t control, why not make the best of the weather we get? ..that is what happens when a hobby turns into an obsession. Some people here do obsess over the weather. I think it is clear that some individuals let the weather impact their well being. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 Just now, Great Snow 1717 said: ..that is what happens when a hobby turns into an obsession. Some people here do obsess over the weather. I think it is clear that some individuals let the weather impact their well being. I don't think it's even the weather ... It's the cinema in the guidance before hand ...and the excitement impulse of that aspect, specifically... It's quite likely related to an addictive response - that's what it seems to me. But, that said ... so what? it's not up to anyone to attempt to correct that behavior. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 23 minutes ago, Chris12WX said: Are we sure we want it to snow? God it’s nice out. 61⁰ under clear skies, what a forecast bust it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 15 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: ..that is what happens when a hobby turns into an obsession. Some people here do obsess over the weather. I think it is clear that some individuals let the weather impact their well being. You tried to give a dig to a degreed Met offering long range ensemble guidance… and got pushback. Take the licks like a champ, ha. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: You tried to give a dig to a degreed Met offering long range ensemble guidance… and got pushback. Take the licks like a champ, ha. uhmmm I asked 2 questions lol...shows you how sensitive some people are lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 3 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: uhmmm I asked 2 questions lol...shows you how sensitive some people are lol hahaha...come on bro. Like it wasn't a shot toward him...my kids say that stuff "all I did was ask a question" 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 Just now, bwt3650 said: hahaha...come on bro. Like it wasn't a shot toward him...my kids say that stuff "all I did was ask a question" nope wasn't a shot...it was more about how bad the models have been this winter. ....in was my way of saying don't rely on the models in the long term. Some people are too sensitive and too defensive. I'm seen similar questions asked.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 1 hour ago, mahk_webstah said: So this is a chat GPT forecast buy a robot? Kind of. Been that way for the past 20 years. So it obviously preceeds that but I wonder if they use it now....lol. OT but we're planning a trip to Sicily in October and chat GPT has given us some itinerary ideas. Kind of scary what they know about you..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 Back to the here and now. Several shots in the next 3 weeks. Let's go. Full on winter enroute. Have to think those gummies will be melting in my mouth by March 7th. 2 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 1 hour ago, Lava Rock said: 40F. frcst temp fail lol, 50F. sun came out and poof, up she went Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 So it's sets at 61 in light wind and ample sun... It's a nape factor of 9.5 out there... 60 today, wet snow tomorrow ? Tell me it isn't spring already ... I guess when it's 23 F at 6 pm on Thursday by a raging tucker, that ought send the locals reeling 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 52 here. Nice walk with the dog in full sun. Sweating in just a light jacket -2F by Saturday morning? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 4 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: nope wasn't a shot...it was more about how bad the models have been this winter. ....in was my way of saying don't rely on the models in the long term. Some people are too sensitive and too defensive. I'm seen similar questions asked.. “Siri give me that one about that river in Egypt” 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Back to the here and now. Several shots in the next 3 weeks. Let's go. Full on winter enroute. Have to think those gummies will be melting in my mouth by March 7th. I don’t think it’s full-on winter yet on guidance…we’re still dealing with how the NAO block manifests and interacts with the pacific state. There will definitely be chances but we could easily mix in a warm storm or two. We have a much better shot at trending storms colder than previously, but that doesn’t mean they all will. Theres a lot of uncertainty there. At the very least, there’s more reason it stay up for the 00z runs these days. We’ll see if we can get this block to retrograde into a good position ala 2018. But I’m still leery of a more subdued and warmer version of the pattern. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: Kind of. Been that way for the past 20 years. So it obviously preceeds that but I wonder if they use it now....lol. OT but we're planning a trip to Sicily in October and chat GPT has given us some itinerary ideas. Kind of scary what they know about you..... I plan on going back there in the next few years, one of the best Vaca's of my life was a tour of Italy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: Kind of. Been that way for the past 20 years. So it obviously preceeds that but I wonder if they use it now....lol. OT but we're planning a trip to Sicily in October and chat GPT has given us some itinerary ideas. Kind of scary what they know about you..... They’ll never know all that we know Jerry, those of us who participate on this board for all these years. “ chat GPT write me a paper about Jerry and Leon“ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 Fwiw re the 28th- Euro is farther N before cutting over to a Miller B. The solution looks odd though. Not sure that's likely... The GEPs, wow what a correction by that ensemble system. Went from a broad ..vague cyclonic curvature with a spattering of members to variable depths, all the way down to 994 mb inside of several closed contours just E of the Cape -198 hrs. It's got several members below 970 mb around Logan... jesus. That's about as loud a signal as is physically possible from this range. The GEFs is about where it's been the last several cycles, though it's been ticking NW overall by small movements. It's more 1000 ...998-ish. Decent.. Haven't seen the 12z EPS but the 00z EPS mean argues the operational is a significant NW outlier overall. It has a classic Miller B transition to S of LI, and it too is 994-ish at D8/9 ...That's also just about as coherent as is ever going to be seen at this range. Just for shits and giggles...it's got one member that's 952 mb about 30 mi W of ACK! actually ...I miss read that. 982 ... maybe 962. anyway It'll be interesting to see what it looks like as 12z 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 59 minutes ago, Chris12WX said: Are we sure we want it to snow? God it’s nice out. Tiger lilies coming up here through the snow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 I'm starting to refresh this page quite often again. Always a good sign. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 One tiny last patch of snow hanging on in my yard. It will be gone by tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 58 , just a ho hum plus 20 high on daily...no real hype with it ..just run of the mill day in February 2023 . Even a brief mild day to caribou (43f) . Meanwhile 37 In PF land w probably snow showers en route 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 5 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: 58 , just a ho hum plus 20 high on daily...no real hype with it ..just run of the mill day in February 2023 . Even a brief mild day to caribou (43f) . Meanwhile 37 In PF land w probably snow showers en route Dippin dots (graupel) showers this afternoon. Been pouring graupel at times in short duration near 40F. Very autumn/spring vibe… dark almost convective sky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 7 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: 58 , just a ho hum plus 20 high on daily...no real hype with it ..just run of the mill day in February 2023 . Even a brief mild day to caribou (43f) . Meanwhile 37 In PF land w probably snow showers en route I’m up in Glen NH and it was 45F at the base of Wildcat this afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 55 here, driving with the windows half open Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I’m up in Glen NH and it was 45F at the base of Wildcat this afternoon. School vacation week to storyland? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 15 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: 58 , just a ho hum plus 20 high on daily...no real hype with it ..just run of the mill day in February 2023 . Even a brief mild day to caribou (43f) . Meanwhile 37 In PF land w probably snow showers en route It's on my mind.. didn't want to troll the mood - haha... But I did see a graphic a couple days ago that Boston ( assuming really Logan -) was running 3rd place in all-time warmest winters. Also the assumption, that must mean DJF averages. The 2nd place, 2015-2016 was a single decimal point warmer... may be in jeopardy of ceding the tie. I dunno - Also wondering what's the deal with the other climo sites in the region. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 35 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I don’t think it’s full-on winter yet on guidance…we’re still dealing with how the NAO block manifests and interacts with the pacific state. There will definitely be chances but we could easily mix in a warm storm or two. We have a much better shot at trending storms colder than previously, but that doesn’t mean they all will. Theres a lot of uncertainty there. At the very least, there’s more reason it stay up for the 00z runs these days. We’ll see if we can get this block to retrograde into a good position ala 2018. But I’m still leery of a more subdued and warmer version of the pattern. Just speaking of the next 5 days of snow sleet freezing rain then an Arctic front with squalls. Full winter nights with snow OTG. Let's go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 21 minutes ago, weathafella said: School vacation week to storyland? We’re actually staying right up the road from storyland but we would probably get arrested if we went inside in the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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