WxWatcher007 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Blues over the east didn't do much good either. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 7 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Dude…where have you been the last two months? Any light oranges in the east and blues out west HAVE been curtains…for basically any location east of the Rockies But there are changes and differences being shown now, that weren’t present up to this point before…sometimes the colors can be a lil deceiving if that’s all you see…that was more my point. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Blue…balled. Still can't believe we got almost completely skunked on that pattern (save for the small 12/11 event)....but it does happen (similar pattern occurred in Dec '87 where we got mostly skunked) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Still can't believe we got almost completely skunked on that pattern (save for the small 12/11 event)....but it does happen (similar pattern occurred in Dec '87 where we got mostly skunked) And that’s the perfect example of….No guarantees at all as everybody knows(or should know). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 34.5/32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 35 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Still can't believe we got almost completely skunked on that pattern (save for the small 12/11 event)....but it does happen (similar pattern occurred in Dec '87 where we got mostly skunked) I'm over it. If we rat, then just consider it more outstanding debt paid and await el nino. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 The cold in the west is just relentless, pattern has been locked in for 60 days 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Shield your eyes from the 18z gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 41 minutes ago, qg_omega said: The cold in the west is just relentless, pattern has been locked in for 60 days If you take it out another day or two would show that the cold air is pouring east. The only thing I will say about you is you tend to choose what you'd like to show. But then say that this is how it's going to be. Yes, it's been generally cold pattern out west warm pattern in the east, but this is just showing the cold air pouring into the east for next week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 6 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Shield your eyes from the 18z gfs. I'm at the point I don't want to look at any models. If by some miracle we get something worthwhile, I'll enjoy it when and while it happens. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 21 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: If you take it out another day or two would show that the cold air is pouring east. The only thing I will say about you is you tend to choose what you'd like to show. But then say that this is how it's going to be. Yes, it's been generally cold pattern out west warm pattern in the east, but this is just showing the cold air pouring into the east for next week If you take it out another week, I'm sure it shows a blizzard. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 22 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: I'm at the point I don't want to look at any models. If by some miracle we get something worthwhile, I'll enjoy it when and while it happens. I hardly ever do unless I'm either blogging about the long range, or know that there is something viable and interesting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 GEFS with a definitive north trend last several runs into northern New England for the Feb 1-2 threat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: GEFS with a definitive north trend last several runs into northern New England for the Feb 1-2 threat. What else is new. Parade of more of the same on the 18z OP 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 24 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: GEFS with a definitive north trend last several runs into northern New England for the Feb 1-2 threat. I've honestly stopped paying attention....exhausted by being dissapointed. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 29 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: If you take it out another day or two would show that the cold air is pouring east. The only thing I will say about you is you tend to choose what you'd like to show. But then say that this is how it's going to be. Yes, it's been generally cold pattern out west warm pattern in the east, but this is just showing the cold air pouring into the east for next week Let's be real here. The 18z GFS, too, shows yes, a couple of days of BN 2m temp anomalies, but then goes right back to well AN anomalies for rest of the run. Those subzero temp runs of a few days ago are but a fantasy now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 8 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Let's be real here. The 18z GFS, too, shows yes, a couple of days of BN 2m temp anomalies, but then goes right back to well AN anomalies for rest of the run. Those subzero temp runs of a few days ago are but a fantasy now. Good. No interest in subzero with no snow. I'm ready for this to be over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 4 hours ago, EastonSN+ said: Hopefully MJO 8 by end of Feb? ...or end of march. We will be running out of months soon. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Good. No interest in subzero with no snow. I'm ready for this to be over. Most people are. I think most have reached a point where they are immediately skeptical. Nobody wants to see day 15 ensemble means at this point, or day 10 snowstorms. Not a single one has produced squat this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 4 hours ago, EastonSN+ said: Hopefully MJO 8 by end of Feb? That has to be the widest plot known to man. It's been heading for phase 8 since Thanksgiving and still hasn't made it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: That has to be the widest plot known to man. It's been heading for phase 8 since Thanksgiving and still hasn't made it. Who even knows how much impact it had on the pattern this winter. Yes it was in the warm phases this January, but the strength doesn’t scream warmest “January on record” which is what lots of locations r going to end up with. Even when we do achieve the holy grail cold phases some twitter account, the begins with Dr., will state that a whale farted in the pac so we won’t get a p8 response in this background state. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 7 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Who even knows how much impact it had on the pattern this winter. Yes it was in the warm phases this January, but the strength doesn’t scream warmest “January on record” which is what lots of locations r going to end up with. Even when we do achieve the holy grail cold phases some twitter account, the begins with Dr., will state that a whale farted in the pac so we won’t get a p8 response in this background state. Either that, or it will get there in April and culminate slate overcast of a week long wave of drizzle and suicide. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 There are some years in which the months of December through March are but a chapter out of ma nature's book of 101 ways to pork a winter enthusiast.....you can contort your body in any way you want, like a giant game of atmospheric twister, but at the end of the day, your honey hole always ends up facing north, and ma nature south. Just the way it is- 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 2 hours ago, qg_omega said: The cold in the west is just relentless, pattern has been locked in for 60 days People have been pressing for a good pattern. It’s looked very good for cutters for a long time . We got some decent breaks in the last couple storms (before this piece of trash ) and I’ve been thankful for that . Just incredibly active and Mild with some N SNE folks being able to cash a little during peak climo . More cutters seem likely to me for SNE but I’m hoping it’s not back to rains to Maine and 850 lows thru Montreal after this garbage system 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 1 hour ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: GEFS with a definitive north trend last several runs into northern New England for the Feb 1-2 threat. the more things change.... just one of those winters, maybe we get lucky and pull out a HECS to just satisfy all, iirc, 92-93 wasn't a great winter but then we got March storm of the century, I could be wrong (Will what's your memory serve here), but then again I believe we did have cold around that season...at this point I'd be happy with just a monster, and it can stay normal or AN temps before and after, helps with the every increasing heating bills. Best shot looks early Feb then back to what we've been seeing this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 44 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Either that, or it will get there in April and culminate slate overcast of a week long wave of drizzle and suicide. We joke but we’ve seen that script before. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 Dumping now.... 32.7 1/2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 16 minutes ago, tavwtby said: the more things change.... just one of those winters, maybe we get lucky and pull out a HECS to just satisfy all, iirc, 92-93 wasn't a great winter but then we got March storm of the century, I could be wrong (Will what's your memory serve here), but then again I believe we did have cold around that season...at this point I'd be happy with just a monster, and it can stay normal or AN temps before and after, helps with the every increasing heating bills. Best shot looks early Feb then back to what we've been seeing this winter 92-93 was awesome here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 Right this moment a line of enhanced T-cells are about to traverse the neighborhood. That is the extent of Winter in Florida. High Temp was 84F. It all boils down to perception and expectations. The 1-3, 5-8" SWFE once seemed realistic, now an HECS, BECS might be the only Saviour for the Coastal plain. There's always next year... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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