CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I just mean they went as expected. I figured we would have scored some snowfall in December, but the pattern showed up. Close to all time warmth and lack of snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 Just now, snowman19 said: Cold bias as in the GFS is too far south. It will end up correcting north just like it did for the middle of this upcoming week. It had snow in DC and Baltimore in earlier runs. It has done this I don’t know how many times already this winter For how far out? I don’t really be care what op runs do beyond a week out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: Close to all time warmth and lack of snow. Well, I had near normal snow, but near the pike and points southward, yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well, I had near normal snow, but near the pike and points southward, yes. I mean so far. South of CON has been abysmal. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: I mean so far. South of CON has been abysmal. Overall, yea...I am still hanging near futility threshold if no more falls. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 I guess we’ll see about next week. Still think it’s little in the way of snow in SNE but could be icy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 I think we’d all take ice storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 Scooter hungover and yelling at his kids this morning after viewing the LR eps with one eye open, grunting his way to the bathroom to start posting in frustration. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Scooter hungover and yelling at his kids this morning after viewing the LR eps with one eye open, grunting his way to the bathroom to start posting in frustration. It’s expected. Just looking forward to summer at this point. Due for a real stinker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I mean so far. South of CON has been abysmal. Somehow I'm at around 70% of normal for the date. Sure doesn't seem it with bare ground and mud. 2 decent events in Jan 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I guess we’ll see about next week. Still think it’s little in the way of snow in SNE but could be icy. Euro OP on Pivotal sends some a few inches north of the Pike, but I think that shifts north of the NH border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 Just getting up…5 below and a gorgeous sunny morning here after a fresh foot plus yesterday. Buried here. Be up there week after next for the weekSent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s expected. Just looking forward to summer at this point. Due for a real stinker. You just did in the bathroom 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s expected. Just looking forward to summer at this point. Due for a real stinker. I’ll take spring first. Summeh can wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I’ll take spring first. Summeh can wait. Most of spring blows 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: That -PNA won’t be denied. Sensible weather looks similar to what we’ve seen all winter. I’d feel pretty good in NNE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Most of spring blows as does summer...nothing like drought talk while in a stretch of 95/70 days 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 Just now, Great Snow 1717 said: as does summer...nothing like drought talk while in a stretch of 95/70 days Just dew it up baby! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 18, 2023 Author Share Posted February 18, 2023 48 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: What has been off? When you’re two weeks out, things can change a lot. I don’t recall much changing inside a week. I feel Nina's also play a role in the models "struggling". Fast flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You just did in the bathroom Truth. Looked at the EPS and had a house shaker. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 18 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Euro OP on Pivotal sends some a few inches north of the Pike, but I think that shifts north of the NH border I could see that. Few inches north of the pike. Just worried it ticks north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 39 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: There is a shot some areas may go on a bit of a run during the next 2-3 weeks. As usual, latitude will matter. Maybe you just need to change your attitude about latitude. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Truth. Looked at the EPS and had a house shaker. We tried to tell ‘em Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: We tried to tell ‘em It’s just a run. But yeah, I have my concerns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 11 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Most of spring blows It can be nice here but the more we delay summeh humidity, the better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 Seems there's a chance we get back to the meh results of the last four seasons, which would be fine as we're about 25% of normal. Always just south and east of the gradient this winter. I think my prediction of 50" is probably not going to play out. I do like later next week for winter to show itself again even if not snowing all the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think la nina shifting more west may have played a role..it was east based all fall, then there was an abrupt shift in December...may have helped set up the January blood bath. I didn't expect that. Yeah It’s a straight up modoki Nina now, not what we want to see. What would be really nice is if we went into a multi year nino cycle, with 2-3 consecutive ninos of weak to moderate strength (maybe a moderate one next year and then 2 weak ones after). If that pans out it could lead to a good stretch of winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 Where the hell is winter wolf, Siberia? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 The winter as a whole is likely beyond saving in SNE at this point but that doesn’t mean we can’t get a big storm in March. Hell, wasn’t 1996-1997 a ratter outside that big April blizzard? Even bad winters often have at least one big (12+) storm. Regardless, have to give credit where it’s due. Boston is at 8 inches of snow for the entire season and it’s mid Feb, and the seasonal average is in the mid 40s. The Pope was dead on with his winter forecast. I will certainly be keeping an eye on the geese next fall to clue me in on what to expect next winter. My winter forecast was a huge bust (again), but we live and learn. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 1 hour ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: SE ridge hooking up with NAO on all ensembles after day 12. In the end, the RNA was/is too strong and pumps the ridge too far north. What could have been if the RNA was weaker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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