greenmtnwx Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 500 mb change on an op run. What did you warn us about there coffee guy. The seasonal bias needs way more weight than most seasons. If you see snow down into NYC then this forum night have a chance. Otherwise it’s far NNE, S CA, N ME stripe. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 still nice to see the -NAO signal strengthen and promote a trough in the 50/50 region. would help lead to overrunning, and hopefully we can see it trend stronger as we move up in time... that's what seems to be happening, anyway 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 28 minutes ago, FXWX said: Yes indeed... although that may be one of the shortest record setting time periods of a high temp I've seen with a 13 degree crash shortly thereafter. Yep, temp has been all over the place depending on the wind direction. Looks like they briefly hit 72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 500 mb change on an op run. What did you warn us about there coffee guy. Next week ain't happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 We probably have to deal with another W-E running needle thread episode 4 days later, too. Tough shit. It either sets up axis favorably, or not - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Next week ain't happening. Not expecting it. Have to shake it out then we see what happens after the 23rd. Front ender for some on that cutter. Have to watch still being 6 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 9 minutes ago, greenmtnwx said: The seasonal bias needs way more weight than most seasons. If you see snow down into NYC then this forum night have a chance. Otherwise it’s far NNE, S CA, N ME stripe. What was the warning you gave? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 16, 2023 Author Share Posted February 16, 2023 68.5F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greenmtnwx Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: What was the warning you gave? See yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 19 minutes ago, FXWX said: I'll let him chat about his March thoughts. Not sure there is much confidence overall other than it's unlikely to take a deep prolonged dive below normal. Probably some modest cold intrusions but don't see a reason at this time to call for long running cold regime. The crappy cold season waits until April and we early May, as is normal these days; lol I‘m just hoping it’s more like Morch 2012. That was so awesome. Even if we can have like a mini version of it. With the continued deep troughing digging into Mexico next month and no blocking .. it’s not that far fetched . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I‘m just hoping it’s more like Morch 2012. That was so awesome. Even if we can have like a mini version of it. With the continued deep troughing digging into Mexico next month and no blocking .. it’s not that far fetched . 2012 happened partly because there was no snowpack anywhere in the US and srn Canada. Morch 2012 ain't happening. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: 2012 happened partly because there was no snowpack anywhere in the US and srn Canada. Morch 2012 ain't happening. Doesn’t mean we can’t get warmth and deep Sonoran releases next month. Look at this month and last with snowpack everywhere except the NE. Smashing records like your Fanny on prom night. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 1 hour ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: 48° and overcast in Greenfield. Started the sameway this morning, definitely didn't end up the sameway though...If it weren't for clouds most of the day, we would have soared into the 70s, currently 68.5 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Doesn’t mean we can’t get warmth and deep Sonoran releases next month. Look at this month and last with snowpack everywhere except the NE. Smashing records like your Fanny on prom night. We didn't smash record highs last month. Morch 2012 was on another level. Not a good analog. But yeah, probably AN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I‘m just hoping it’s more like Morch 2012. That was so awesome. Even if we can have like a mini version of it. With the continued deep troughing digging into Mexico next month and no blocking .. it’s not that far fetched . Unless we are looking at a pattern favorable for a true Match monster, I'll take a mini 2012 anytime. I'd be happy with a crippling March blizzard followed by a snow vaporizer pattern 2 days later; and then onward to summer... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 That's like saying a cutoff south of SNE is December '92. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Clown range op euro is interesting for 2/26. A week from Sunday. What could go wrong… 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: That's like saying a cutoff south of SNE is December '92. Every year is March 12 like Feb 2015 a once in a life timer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Clown range op euro is interesting for 2/26. A week from Sunday. What could go wrong… Once we get by the 23rd we should have at least more significant chances at snowstorms. Just want 1 then we can get Kevs annual March 12 lite but we know the game cloudy and 40s. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Bodies surfacing in droves now. It’s over 1 5 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 2k in SVT lol. Too many hrs alone Mitchell 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 canceling winter on Feb 16th in southern VT is grounds for a therapy session 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 9 minutes ago, weathafella said: Clown range op euro is interesting for 2/26. A week from Sunday. What could go wrong… We are going to have to “deal” with several model chances on this pattern over the next 10-15 days imho. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 12 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Started the sameway this morning, definitely didn't end up the sameway though...If it weren't for clouds most of the day, we would have soared into the 70s, currently 68.5 here It’s gotten a little bit brighter in the past hour and we are up to 55° now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 3 hours ago, dryslot said: Couple of buddies of mine have them with the Denali pkg and love them. Nice trucks, but should have gone with RAM like the Rev and I. GM's lost a touch. Everybody making the switch like the commercial says. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 43 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: We are going to have to “deal” with several model chances on this pattern over the next 10-15 days imho. Yup Im impressed by general thermal gradient between S Canada and TV in the means. Man that’s gonna bottle rocket systems thru. It is also unfortunately true that the ridge could continue to correct and push the jet N. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 11 minutes ago, Whineminster said: Nice trucks, but should have gone with RAM like the Rev and I. GM's lost a touch. Everybody making the switch like the commercial says. GM still sells the most trucks with its line . Ford 150s number 1 the Silverado 2nd then Rams. They are all basically the same now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Was 64 in Brewster/Dennis a couple hours ago! Never hit 60 here, 59.4 so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 We burn 2 brush fires in Modfans hometown. 5 acres and 2 acres in Killingly Brooklyn area. I work across the street from the Danielson FD. They have been going all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 EPS looks solid 23rd on. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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