SJonesWX Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Couple of buddies of mine have them with the Denali pkg and love them. yeah, the Denali's are sweet, but at ~$15k above what I paid, ain't happenin' for me. 1 hour ago, wkd said: What is it you ragging on people not in your region posting in the NE subforum? Maybe we lurk and post because it is probably the best one to get weather knowledge. Just accept it as a compliment to you guys. 1. many of their posts relate to their area specifically, yet they try to shoehorn it in. 2. they come in here and argue with each other and/or troll each other. This does not apply to ALL out of area posters, just the few who fuck it up. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Cloudy now, but made mid 60s. I hope we don’t see a flake the rest of the way. Give me this. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 66F now at my home in Simsbury. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 60.1f. Nice frcst when they were calling for 50Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 16, 2023 Author Share Posted February 16, 2023 2 minutes ago, SJonesWX said: yeah, the Denali's are sweet, but at ~$15k above what I paid, ain't happenin' for me. 1. many of their posts relate to their area specifically, yet they try to shoehorn it in. 2. they come in here and argue with each other and/or troll each other. This does not apply to ALL out of area posters, just the few who fuck it up. Many live closer to those in NYC/NNJ those in NNE, so I'm not sure why some care that people technically outside our forum post in here. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 On 2/9/2023 at 11:02 AM, WinterWolf said: I’ll believe it when I see it. And it’s a week out. Lots can change by then. I’ll be headed to northern Maine next Friday anyway, so it won’t matter Friday for me. On 2/9/2023 at 10:04 AM, Allsnow said: 64 60 at bdl next week, enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 If the arctic doesn't deliver for whatever reason, then winter is over. Plain and simple....barring a bowling ball miracle. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Many live closer to those in NYC/NNJ those in NNE, so I'm not sure why some care that people technically outside our forum post in here. not going to beat a dead horse, and I agree with you. but see my point #2 above. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I was....but if you head rea-rea-rea-read my post, you would have seen how tenuous I felt late Feb was. I implied most of the snow would be in NNE until the arctic changes in March. Wasn’t you . Someone was literally posting it and singing it.. now who was it? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 48° and overcast in Greenfield. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 5 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, CC def plays a role in that. Agreed. Yeah...but how much or how little. Right, 64 million dollar question. Whomever answers that with resounding truism ... actually, probably winds up with Hoffa by big oil's tentacles of subsidiary interest groups... heh. Anyway, Scott's right - ...these patterns, 2 or whatever hundred years ago would torch too - but to me, that's not the issue. What is, is the frequency and return rate. We keep getting hung up in the scalar gaped-jaw factor, and trying to offset the specter of the thing by way of this mantra, 'this has happened before' That is not considering the most important aspect: it should not be happening so frequently. Nor should the record blasting recurring heat in NW-N Euro... Australia... the lower Urals...and Siberia, causing methane hydrate blow outs in the land scape due to lost capping permafrost... blah blah blah... [enter never-before-ism happening again and again here] Forget how warm it gets and trying to say it's been this warm before, and how it doesn't mean CC is doing this... Those arguments are logically flawed when you add return rates at global wholesale scales, and time dimensional considerations... Also, CC has the word "change" IN IT. Saying CC doesn't drive the weather does not drop any mic like those that use it seem to think. The weather is changing; that why the change in CC is there... For and directed at the world of awareness and exposing idiots and liars, that abbreviation needs to become "WC" heh...being a little facetious, perhaps. There are a couple of fascinating article contributed to the IPCC reports that discuss the occurrence of what is called "synergistic heat" ... There is no combination of synoptics as provided by modeling that would support 108 F at London ( say ...), yet enough sites verify that number to substantiate its validity. Heat is an aspect that surges to values greater than the sum of the contributing aspects... I suspect that phenomenon is extendable to the less than historic heat, as well... I believe that we are ( as I have been calling it lately...) experiencing "warm burst" scenarios with increasing frequency because it's tied into the same mechanism...where it goes over and beyond. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: If the arctic doesn't deliver for whatever reason, then winter is over. Plain and simple....barring a bowling ball miracle. Yep, we will need the Atlantic side and AO region to be at least somewhat favorable. Otherwise, it goes torch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Yep, we will need the Atlantic side and AO region to be at least somewhat favorable. Otherwise, it goes torch. Do you think that would include CNE /NNE without Atlantic help 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 So here's my biggest complaint if you'd like to call it that. There's a few METs I will always respect ( and trust ). What I don't understand is how wrong they have been with using the global models when predicting what's going to take place within a week's time. Again, it's not them per say, it's just that they use these global models which give us a prediction of a change and as we get closer, it goes back to what it had been, is warm ( this has happened a lot this year ) then colder and snow are your solutions. Just wipe themselves clean as we get closer. All I'm saying is the global models that they use to help predict the weather have just been so off that it takes their credibility somewhat away from forecasting. I just don't remember seeing this in years past being this bad ( for almost the entire season ). Crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 You’re looking at 300+ hours on models now for a snow threat. Got the snooze button and hood something comes out of nowhere in early March. otherwise, fire up the mowers and get those mulch orders in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Do you think that would include CNE /NNE without Atlantic help Sure it would....but their climo is snowier so "Winter over" up there could mean maybe they get 9" of snow in march instead of 25" and down here we get 4" or something instead of 15"...but there's different shades to this. Maybe the arctic doesn't quite get good enough for SNE, but it's good enough for NNE. It could also not be good enough for any of us and it's congrats Quebec again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 30 minutes ago, wkd said: I absolutely love cold and snowy winters. That being said, I am a homeowner and heat with oil. Sometimes I wonder how many of the people here need to pay utility bills. I can afford the higher prices for oil but I am sure it puts a strain on the budgets of many in the northeast area. I'm just trying to put another perspective on this dismal winter. Lack of cold/winter this year doesn't have the sting it usually would for me exactly because of what you mentioned. The bills are already nearly twice as much as our highest in the last 5 years. We're also still struggling to get caught back up after covid and something that happened 6 months before the shutdown... every little bit helps this year! It's amazing how hard it is to get caught back up once you're behind... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 17 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I’m not ragging if they come and contribute, or lurk and learn. that’s great. No problem at all. I have a problem when they come in here and jump on the BS bandwagon, and back the trolls. And speak of/lump in New England as if it’s south Jersey. If you’re gonna do that, stay in your own forum! You should have quit with your first sentence. I'm not quite sure what you are talking about as far as southern NJ goes.. Of course they have a climate more similar to those in the mid Atlantic. You act as though you should be included in those living in Vt, NH, ans Me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 22 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: That was for next weekend and beyond…that still seems to be in track. But it’s a shit winter, so anything is possible. Long range though...I've seen this movie before.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 16, 2023 Author Share Posted February 16, 2023 67F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Yep warm winter saving on heat bills for sure...Oil/Gas/electric the rates are very high right now. Snowblower shovels sleds etc have yet to move from my shed to garage and probably wont. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 20 minutes ago, TalcottWx said: 66F now at my home in Simsbury. Only 61 at my shop 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 16, 2023 Author Share Posted February 16, 2023 Neighbor out again doing yard cleanup and burning brush 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Neighbor out again doing yard cleanup and burning brush I'm waiting for someone to start spreading mulch lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 1 minute ago, Brian5671 said: Yep warm winter saving on heat bills for sure...Oil/Gas/electric the rates are very high right now. Snowblower shovels sleds etc have yet to move from my shed to garage and probably wont. I never moved mine out of the shed. My wife kept asking me when I was going to do it, and I told her that not until a large event (at least warning snows) is inside of 6 days. We haven't had one get inside that timeframe yet. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Uncle is oh so close 2/23. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 43 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Look how deep and far down that s/w is into MX. That is just taking the Mexican heat and bringing it north. That would be shorts as Pilgrims fixed their thatched roofs too. Map courtesy of Vincent van Gogh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: I never moved mine out of the shed. My wife kept asking me when I was going to do it, and I told her that not until a large event (at least warning snows) is inside of 6 days. We haven't had one get inside that timeframe yet. That's usually what I do but we've yet to get to that point.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Uncle is oh so close 2/23. I'm out on 2/23 until/unless we see this giving decent snows into at least southern part of SNE....but preferably trying to give snows into NYC too, because these tend to bump back north inside of 3-4 days. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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