snowman19 Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 I agree. However, and this is a question, wouldn't the shorter wavelengths lessen the impact of the RNA as we head to late February and March?They don’t start to shorten in a big way until mid-March on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 16, 2023 Author Share Posted February 16, 2023 60F already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 The gradient between PWM and LWM tomorrow morning is something else. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The gradient between PWM and LWM tomorrow morning is something else. Wait until circa April 3rd, BOS to ALB ... 38/84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 1 hour ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: EPS day 10-15 is pretty nice. Might have to punt next week down south for us but post next week is looking nicer. As always. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 even though it hasn't been snowy there's plenty of interesting wx to talk about. like how boston hit -10 a few weeks ago yet there's been enough warmth to push the monthly departure to +3.7 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Just laughably too low this year; NAM just doesn't see the warmth even as it is happening. I mean, it gets worse - as of 9 a.m., eyeballing it, just about all locations in New England are at or above the 12z NAM's highs for the day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 9 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Just laughably too low this year; NAM just doesn't see the warmth even as it is happening. I mean, it gets worse - as of 9 a.m., eyeballing it, just about all locations in New England are at or above the 12z NAM's highs for the day. This shallow inversion is fraudulent with sun and mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 13 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Just laughably too low this year; NAM just doesn't see the warmth even as it is happening. I mean, it gets worse - as of 9 a.m., eyeballing it, just about all locations in New England are at or above the 12z NAM's highs for the day. Mid 60s in southern Fairfield County already. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 58 here now. I am going on a walk and lunch with my friend and I have to reconsider my standard t shirt and sweater and just go with the t. February 16th. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 5 minutes ago, dendrite said: This shallow inversion is fraudulent with sun and mixing. Yeah we may not totally mix that out, but a good deal of sun this morning is really helping out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Torch! …and we’re loving it. Get some yardwork done after school kids. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 55F here right now....hopefully we get some snow out of this upcoming pattern because going back to 30s/40s and shit rain after today would suck. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 55F. 60 should be easySent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 59 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 ISP JFK and BDR all broke their record highs by 9:30am lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 14 minutes ago, wx2fish said: Yeah we may not totally mix that out, but a good deal of sun this morning is really helping out MAV/MET even had 51/49 respectively at LCI today. Currently 52. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Gorgeous early May Like Day outside . Get outside 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Friday certainly ended up trending colder and more winter like for NNE seems like CNE /NNE has some wintery more seasonable weather in store after today for a while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 55/ clouds winning here, few breaks though, light wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Yup high clouds are streaming in. Maybe we settle back...especially up here with pack and wet ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 55F in Simsbury. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 63 at BDR breaks the old record by 6 degrees at 10am 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 13 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Gorgeous early May Like Day outside . Get outside Agree, it’s so warm I don’t even need a jacket. Its 10am and we already broke 60 where I live, we might even have an outside shot at breaking 70 if the sun comes out later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 I know it's been drilled into our heads that the UL's dictate the surface, but I think this weight shifts significantly at certain times of the year, one of which is now. Soil temps in New England bottom right about now (on average), and trend higher from here as ISR absorption > loss of heat due to land/air exchanges. But with the consistent lack of snow cover, and +AN temps areas in SNE have likely bottomed 4 weeks ago (are 4 weeks ahead of climo). Conversely areas with snow cover are likely still tracking seasonal norms; and are therefore 4 weeks behind. It at least partly explains why areas in NNE under largely the same airmass often can't break the smallest inversions, while areas less than 50 miles away without a pack, do it daily. This in turn creates a positive feedback in the pack-less areas and widens the regional climate disparity, as ISR increases the 4 weeks ahead, turns to 5, and so on... Eventually what happens though is those areas to the north with sustained pack, become areas of locally grown cold. Meso Surface HP's become a regularity, seemingly emerging without any UL support. Due to increasing ISR, and increasing albedo, the surface HP's become stronger--so much so that it begins to modify the UPPER LEVELS, especially as we move into March and early April. Strong surface divergence produces strong UL convergence which gives us those hellish -NAO's in March and much of early spring. Just a theory to partly explain what I believe has happened the past several years and this year is tracking similarly... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 PVD 64 and BOS 60 record highs already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 16, 2023 Author Share Posted February 16, 2023 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: PVD 62 and BOS 60 record highs already 62F here now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: PVD 62 and BOS 60 record highs already Still have at least another couple hours of filtered sun....not sure if we crack 70F somewhere, but it should get close...esp down in interior SE CT where the sun looks the best right now. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 44 minutes ago, dendrite said: This shallow inversion is fraudulent with sun and mixing. Speaking of shallow inversions… last night was wild around here with huge swings. From 32F to 53F in one hour at MVL. Fell back into the 30s later too. Nothing like a puff of wind and 21 degree rise in temps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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