ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: I’d argue it’s more important to cash in next week. As anything after March 1 is a bonus being that it’s 16 days away. 13 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 70 tomorrow! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 1 hour ago, weathafella said: Hold onto futility as long as you can-changes coming real soon it will snow again..thank you JCM A little ditty about Ray and Kevin? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 70 tomorrow! Gonna be a beauty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 13 Ya duh it’s February. 13 days. Anyways let’s cash in next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 5 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: I’d argue it’s more important to cash in next week. As anything after March 1 is a bonus being that it’s 16 days away. true. March can be prolific, though. way more of a winter month than December, as much as many would hate to admit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said: true. March can be prolific, though. way more of a winter month than December, as much as many would hate to admit No doubt, but we have some players on deck next week that we may not get in March, we may get a better look who knows. We would hate to see next week turn to crap. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 68! Down here. Just beautiful 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 I remember when day 10 threats never even got a mention. Not even discussed at all. Now we look further and further out. Bond to have things change out in La la Land. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 2 minutes ago, Hazey said: I remember when day 10 threats never even got a mention. Not even discussed at all. Now we look further and further out. Bond to have things change out in La la Land. Function of both the winter (lack of snow events) and the current pattern (nothing imminent inside of 7 days). Also a function of more model data and more model runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 13 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Gonna be a beauty It already is. Get outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 19 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Gonna be a beauty Short sleeves, windows open, I even had the window open today, 59 here, car gets hot with this sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 14 minutes ago, Allsnow said: 68! Down here. Just beautiful Disgusting 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 Meanwhile Euro op has a weak pike south system on Tuesday night next week and then a SWFE for near the MA/VT/NH border north a few days later. Much weaker than 00z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Meanwhile Euro op has a weak pike south system on Tuesday night next week and then a SWFE for near the MA/VT/NH border north a few days later. Much weaker than 00z. That shortwave that ejected from the southwest (the one in TX at 168 and off Carolians coast at 192) whiffs us....prob why we got a bunch of weak unorganized crap this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 Very Breezy in ASH, jumped to 60 (Home davis) piles in shade hanging on but I'm sure gone tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 60F and breezy here in Brooklyn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: That shortwave that ejected from the southwest (the one in TX at 168 and off Carolians coast at 192) whiffs us....prob why we got a bunch of weak unorganized crap this run. EPS is sort of strung out and you can tell the members must be all over the place in that Tues night through Thursday timeframe. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 1 hour ago, weathafella said: The feet of snow is evaporating before it forms. This winter being this winter. We tried to tell 'em. This winter should have taught us that day 8-9 snow threats most likely are not going to pan out. As I've said, when the threat gets to within day 5 some of us will be more interested. What's surprising this winter is that there haven't been more jumpers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: EPS is sort of strung out and you can tell the members must be all over the place in that Tues night through Thursday timeframe. I didn't like the trend of weakening that 2/20-21 deal in flatter flow....it doesn't drive the boundary down as far south behind it....you can see it on the EPS too with the heights in SE Canada not as low after that system as the 00z run. We want the flow a bit more amped for that one like GGEM/Ukie. But that's what the 2/22-23 system depends on. Doesn't really affect the systems that potentially may come after that (like 2/25-2/28 timeframe) But if we're gonna try and steal that 2/22-23 deal next week, then we need that front runner wave to be pretty amped. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 No doubt, but we have some players on deck next week that we may not get in March, we may get a better look who knows. We would hate to see next week turn to crap. I never understood why some folks expect November to deliver the good with winter weather. Even though it gets difficult to get snows and arctic cold in March the deeper into the month you go depending on latitude, it’s much easier than in November. Just looking at climo alone, November is a torch compared to March. Also, SSTs along the coast are at their coolest in March making boundary layer wind fetch/direction off the ocean less detrimental to coastal areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: I didn't like the trend of weakening that 2/20-21 deal in flatter flow....it doesn't drive the boundary down as far south behind it....you can see it on the EPS too with the heights in SE Canada not as low after that system as the 00z run. We want the flow a bit more amped for that one like GGEM/Ukie. But that's what the 2/22-23 system depends on. Doesn't really affect the systems that potentially may come after that (like 2/25-2/28 timeframe) But if we're gonna try and steal that 2/22-23 deal next week, then we need that front runner wave to be pretty amped. Troughing also dug more SW off the PAC NW. We've seen that before too lol. But yeah that system you mentioned is key. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 24 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Disgusting Agree...it is suppose to feel like winter instead it feels like a day the north rays lose a game in May to fall into last place.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 2 minutes ago, snowman19 said: I never understood why some folks expect November to deliver the good with winter weather. Even though it gets difficult to get snows and arctic cold in March the deeper into the month you go depending on latitude, it’s much easier than in November. Just looking at climo alone, November is a torch compared to March. Also, SSTs along the coast are at their coolest in March making boundary layer wind fetch/direction off the ocean less detrimental to coastal areas ...keep in mind that someone has declared November to be a winter month.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Troughing also dug more SW off the PAC NW. We've seen that before too lol. But yeah that system you mentioned is key. Isn’t this a feature we’ve seen all winter basically? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Troughing also dug more SW off the PAC NW. We've seen that before too lol. But yeah that system you mentioned is key. I fully expect the Pacific to be crap during this entire period...and probably trend worse with time as we get closer....which is why all the other variables are important. We want that wave break to be as sharp as possible from the 2/20 system 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 8 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: We tried to tell 'em. This winter should have taught us that day 8-9 snow threats most likely are not going to pan out. As I've said, when the threat gets to within day 5 some of us will be more interested. What's surprising this winter is that there haven't been more jumpers. Agree! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 42 minutes ago, Hazey said: I remember when day 10 threats never even got a mention. Not even discussed at all. Now we look further and further out. Bond to have things change out in La la Land. are you still way BN for snowfall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 2 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: are you still way BN for snowfall? nah lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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