WinterWolf Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Wet , mild n wild rest of month . More good news . When will Kev flip the switch from Persistence, to All aboard the winter storm threat….I say by Friday. 4,3,2,1…. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 20 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: The persistence crew is trying so hard. I just don’t get it? Nothing says/or nobody is saying any of this is a guarantee. But when folks can’t discuss the positives of multiple pieces of guidance, across multiple suites over days now, that’s when the agenda driven BS becomes crystal clear. qg_Smegma saying nothing is different, when it clearly is. I get the Snakebitten feeling(I’m at 4.3”) so I understand the skepticism, but when you can’t admit this looks different than what we’ve been dealing with, that’s just not true. I get it, but realize anyone doing it is mostly just joking around. At least I hope. Kev don't want no wet and mild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 Need to keep expectations in check, too. lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 everything's extremes though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 4 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: Need to keep expectations in check, too. lol Oh I think everyone has any expectations in check. Nobody should be expecting anything except some chances/some potential. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 8 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: When will Kev flip the switch from Persistence, to All aboard the winter storm threat….I say by Friday. 4,3,2,1…. When he has 6 inches of persistence on his driveway or a half of persistence breaking tree limbs into his property... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 11 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: In the near term … that 18z NAM would tickle 70 on Thursday over downtown crossings and parking lots over eastern mass well west of marine kisses Sell those visions of springtime... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 24 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: When will Kev flip the switch from Persistence, to All aboard the winter storm threat….I say by Friday. 4,3,2,1…. It’s only the Gfs right now. If the EPS and Euro start looking like a big snowstorm and it’s Tuesday of next week.. another 7 days .. I will be looking forward to snow. Right now.. I think this is more of the same as we’ve seen all winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 Epicosity left the building at 18z. Oh how we hardly knew thee, 3 good runs in a row up to that point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s only the Gfs right now. If the EPS and Euro start looking like a big snowstorm and it’s Tuesday of next week.. another 7 days .. I will be looking forward to snow. Right now.. I think this is more of the same as we’ve seen all winter. Not exactly 100% accurate…multiple guidance showing potential for next week. But you will be in before next Tuesday if the look continues. I’m sticking to Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Epicosity left the building at 18z. Oh how we hardly knew thee, 3 good runs in a row up to that point. 18z gonna 18z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s only the Gfs right now. If the EPS and Euro start looking like a big snowstorm and it’s Tuesday of next week.. another 7 days .. I will be looking forward to snow. Right now.. I think this is more of the same as we’ve seen all winter. I'm not even talking about next week... I'm just busting about the constant persistence talk in the face of an obviously different look to the pattern evolution. Hey, it may lead to nothing at all, but it won't be for the same reasons. Actually late next week is actually the first tease as I see it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 3 minutes ago, FXWX said: I'm not even talking about next week... I'm just busting about the constant persistence talk in the face of an obviously different look to the pattern evolution. Hey, it may lead to nothing at all, but it won't be for the same reasons. Actually late next week is actually the first tease as I see it. This. Agree 100 %. Well said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: 18z gonna 18z. Yeah, maybe, but if it showed a blizzard everyone would be foaming at the mouth. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 4 minutes ago, FXWX said: I'm not even talking about next week... I'm just busting about the constant persistence talk in the face of an obviously different look to the pattern evolution. Hey, it may lead to nothing at all, but it won't be for the same reasons. Actually late next week is actually the first tease as I see it. I hope you guys are correct with the snowy ideas. I’d love a 3-5 week period of deep Morch snows. For now though.. I am going to stay with the thought process that a rat finds ways to rat . And if the rat dies .. I’ll be pleased as pie. I have to follow that mindset for mental health 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: 18z gonna 18z. You mean like this run at 18z yesterday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yeah, maybe, but if it showed a blizzard everyone would be foaming at the mouth. Nope! Nobody would that knows 18z is always a friek. I and Ray said that yesterday. And have been saying it all winter. 18z is pretty much always a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 3 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: You mean like this run at 18z yesterday? Yes, exactly. It’s always on the extremes. One way or another. Said it yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Yes, exactly. It’s always on the extremes. One way or another. Said it yesterday. So how is tonight's 18z "extreme"? It looked pretty pedestrian to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s only the Gfs right now. If the EPS and Euro start looking like a big snowstorm and it’s Tuesday of next week.. another 7 days .. I will be looking forward to snow. Right now.. I think this is more of the same as we’ve seen all winter. Is the casino still taking bets for BDL/ORH futility? Bc i would like in, Asking for a friend 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I hope you guys are correct with the snowy ideas. I’d love a 3-5 week period of deep Morch snows. For now though.. I am going to stay with the thought process that a rat finds ways to rat . And if the rat dies .. I’ll be pleased as pie. I have to follow that mindset for mental health Julius still your preference? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 Gfs looks fine to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Wet , mild n wild rest of month . More good news . 40-50% chance of above normal....oh nooooo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 20 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yeah, maybe, but if it showed a blizzard everyone would be foaming at the mouth. It showed a huge snow event yesterday at 18z, and I pointed out how it was par for the 18z course. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Gfs looks fine to me. Yeah I didn’t see much change. I guess the qpf queens can quibble but it was a nice look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: It showed a huge snow event yesterday at 18z, and I pointed out how it was par for the 18z coarse. Yup, I explained that to him in a post above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Gfs looks fine to me. Just now, weathafella said: Yeah I didn’t see much change. I guess the qpf queens can quibble but it was a nice look. TBlizz whining again….so consider the source. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Gfs looks fine to me. I haven’t seen 18z EPS/ Euro.. snowy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: I haven’t seen 18z EPS/ Euro.. snowy? 18z EPS only goes out to 144. The front running wave is pretty amped though which is good for sending the boundary well south behind it. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 Still seems a bit aggressive to go above normal for that period even if its only 33-60% for the northeast. Looking at the ensembles from the GEFS/GEPS/EPS would all indicate at least a neutral chance of temps in that range if not a slight tick blo normal. I see that was issued yesterday. Here is the latest product issued from the CPC which is more inline with what im seeing, also shaves off one warm day on the 21st and adds the 28th. What a difference new data and a day makes.... 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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