TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 I mean, it’s 9 days away lol. Wake me up in a week 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 There's a dichotomy here. Ch ch ch ch changes 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 Still looking like clouds and PM rain will limit Thursday warmth potential especially in CT. Still think 58-65 likely but not the 70 potential we had. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 8 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Still looking like clouds and PM rain will limit Thursday warmth potential especially in CT. Still think 58-65 likely but not the 70 potential we had. Congrats to SNE on continued winter futility. I may take a drive over to New Bedford so that I can bask in 61F. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 Just now, Cold Miser said: Congrats to SNE on continued winter futility. I may take a drive over to New Bedford so that I can bask in 61F. Mean keeps going up daily temps keep going down. It's happening James. Good for you to remain skeptical but hard to ignore 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Mean keeps going up daily temps keep going down. It's happening James. Good for you to remain skeptical but hard to ignore This has been the scenario developing for quite a while, but some just say No Change. We say No. Change. 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 12 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Down there in NYC ok.. not interior SNE how about interior CNE? i average like 2" in Novie. most (~90%) are 0-2", and of course there are a couple outliers with a bigger storm, but those are few and far between. Novie is NOT a winter month. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 16 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Still looking like clouds and PM rain will limit Thursday warmth potential especially in CT. Still think 58-65 likely but not the 70 potential we had. I agree. I was wrong on that. Destructive interference FTL. It’s not all bad for the warm weenies though. Seems to me the trade-off has been less intense warmth for longer duration. This looks like 3 days of 55+ at PSM. The Wednesday wave warms us up but flattens out the subsequent wave and in turn, its warm sector is impinged. Still think 65 is a doable for a chunk of SNE including PSM, but the 70 number is off the table. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 4 minutes ago, jbenedet said: I agree. I was wrong on that. Destructive interference FTL. It’s not all bad for the warm weenies though. Seems to me the trade-off has been less intense warmth for longer duration. This looks like 3 days of 55+ at PSM. The Wednesday wave warms us up but flattens out the subsequent wave and in turn, its warm sector is impinged. Still think 65 is a doable for a chunk of SNE including PSM, but the 70 number is off the table. Ya looks like tomorrow is a real gem 55-60+ mostly sunny. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Ya looks like tomorrow is a real gem 55-60+ mostly sunny. Yesterday was beautiful, 56⁰, mostly sunny, light winds. Couldn't ask for anything more for February 13th, besides snow of course.... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 Looks like a beautiful couple days coming up. Hope it stays. Rather warmth than chasing faux day 9 snow threats 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Ya looks like tomorrow is a real gem 55-60+ mostly sunny. Yea it’s been unusual in that we have been lowering Friday temps, holding Thurs. but significantly raising Wednesday, as we move in. Wednesday nicer day than Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 25 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Mean keeps going up daily temps keep going down. It's happening James. Good for you to remain skeptical but hard to ignore Looking great on ensembles check out the indies on the charts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 I like that the front-running wave around d6-7 is trending stronger. That is going to help push the boundary further south behind it. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I like that the front-running wave around d6-7 is trending stronger. That is going to help push the boundary further south behind it. Nice normal 930 50/50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I like that the 1956 analog is trending stronger. That is going to help push the boundary further south behind it. One would think- 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 1956 ain’t coming, but maybe we can get some action later next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 Still gonna need a ton of work /help in SNE later next week and beyond. I’m very wary of that SE ridge flex as we move closer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 56 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Still looking like clouds and PM rain will limit Thursday warmth potential especially in CT. Still think 58-65 likely but not the 70 potential we had. Yes... I was honestly a little worried about this correcting faster. The window for open skies was narrow and precariously timed to begin with, and the local hemisphere's a bit faster at the baseline. Probably need to start thinking about leaning on the front side of spacial-temporal placement where even dependable event tacking in the D5-7 ( assuming we get that far before the white-board effect ... ) tend to end up earlier.... In the meantime, warmth is in general the most fragile of all aspects and seldom does a narrow window for it, survive the larger numbers of model runs - and now we have a 12 hour wind from 6 days out in a faster atmosphere? -right We'll see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 1956 ain’t coming, but maybe we can get some action later next week. I had a mix in the forecast for Day 9 and Day 10 in the 10-day forecast. It was crazy how long it had been since I've even had something like that pop up on the graphics. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Still gonna need a ton of work /help in SNE later next week and beyond. I’m very wary of that SE ridge flex as we move closer Well that looks makes sense with the overrunning signatures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: I had a mix in the forecast for Day 9 and Day 10 in the 10-day forecast. It was crazy how long it had been since I've even had something like that pop up on the graphics. Yeah for once we have some consistency. Not that it means much this far out, but it’s something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah for once we have some consistency. Not that it means much this far out, but it’s something. I thought about not including it because of the way this winter has been but it looked decent for a D9 event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 Just now, CT Rain said: I thought about not including it because of the way this winter has been but it looked decent for a D9 event. No KFS incorporated? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: No KFS incorporated? When will KFS flip from warm to cold again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: When will KFS flip from warm to cold again? There is something refreshing about not exaggerating totals, no “in the hills, river east” etc. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Mean keeps going up daily temps keep going down. It's happening James. Good for you to remain skeptical but hard to ignore Been doing that all winter LR; based on models I’d be basking in Epicosty but we are not and I am fine with that. Would be nice to see a good storm or two before the seasons out but won’t be surprised if it doesn’t materialize. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: There is something refreshing about not exaggerating totals, no “in the hills, river east” etc. The KFS was so traumatized by the halftime performance it's been shut down for a bit. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 It's nice to see the increasing heights continue to push into Greenland from the north and east in the 12-16 day time frame in the EPS/GEFS and sort of GEPS. Definitely squashes the SER a bit more at least. Still haven't broken the 4 inch mark yet, something needs to happen soon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 3 minutes ago, CT Rain said: The KFS was so traumatized by the halftime performance it's been shut down for a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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