ORH_wxman Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Wolfie that’s exactly what he said. Colder week 3. I would say it was a little confusing in that it implied the rest of February would be warm which it might not be. Specifically, the weeklies kind of cut it off around 2/23ish…a bit of semantics but the last few days of the month could be more wintry than one might glean from that tweet. But he might have not had the daily breakdown available…week 2 as a whole is going to be warm but it is front-loaded warmth…that 2/24-2/27 period might be cold. I agree it was a pretty accurate description of weeks 3/4. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Wolfie that’s exactly what he said. Colder week 3. But we already knew that, and he wasn’t seeing the new weeklies is what I’m saying. And we already knew if any change, it’s not til end of month and into March..so he wasn’t telling us anything we didn’t already know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: I would say it was a little confusing in that it implied the rest of February would be warm which it might not be. Specifically, the weeklies kind of cut it off around 2/23ish…a bit of semantics but the last few days of the month could be more wintry than one might glean from that tweet. But he might have not had the daily breakdown available…week 2 as a whole is going to be warm but it is front-loaded warmth…that 2/24-2/27 period might be cold. I agree it was a pretty accurate description of weeks 3/4. Yes, this is what I was meaning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 If the GFS is correct it looks like the coast is going to have quick rain to snow next week. Hopefully this is actual snow on the pavement. I'm done with white rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 1 minute ago, 8611Blizz said: If the GFS is correct it looks like the coast is going to have quick rain to snow next week. Hopefully this is actual snow on the pavement. I'm done with white rain. You talking about the system at day 9-10? That’s a full blown snowstorm on the GFS….even a Scooter-approved arctic high building in. But let’s get it inside of 5 days. A lot of the models have that system. But some (like GGEM) are pretty warm with it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 1 minute ago, 8611Blizz said: If the GFS is correct it looks like the coast is going to have quick rain to snow next week. Hopefully this is actual snow on the pavement. I'm done with white rain. While that sounds nice…I wouldn’t take any 18z run seriously at this stage. 18z always shows something exotic, or horrid depending on the ones point of view. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 28 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Don’t make it extra dramatic by including November, it’s completely normal for it not to snow in November. Down there in NYC ok.. not interior SNE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: You talking about the system at day 9-10? That’s a full blown snowstorm on the GFS….even a Scooter-approved arctic high building in. But let’s get it inside of 5 days. A lot of the models have that system. But some (like GGEM) are pretty warm with it. Is this verbatim for Thursday the 23rd? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 24 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: But we already knew that, and he wasn’t seeing the new weeklies is what I’m saying. And we already knew if any change, it’s not til end of month and into March..so he wasn’t telling us anything we didn’t already know. He wasn’t giving us fake news either. Anyways who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 Gfs would be nice. Both suites of guidance showing something. Tough to buy and easily could trend warmer. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: He wasn’t giving us fake news either. Anyways who knows. And he wasn’t looking at todays version of the weeklies either…cuz they weren’t out at that point. And what he was saying we already knew from Thursday, and he was making it sound like it was the latest version. So as Will stated, that was my point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Gfs would be nice. Both suites of guidance showing something. Tough to buy and easily could trend warmer. Ya still to far out to take seriously..but it would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: And he wasn’t looking at todays version of the weeklies either…cuz they weren’t out at that point. And what he was saying we already knew from Thursday, and he was making it sound like it was the latest version. So as Will stated, that was my point. Well both weeks are probably well AN so no argument from me with his take. Maybe a few days to cool off. The new weeklies confirm the old ones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: Gfs would be nice. Both suites of guidance showing something. Tough to buy and easily could trend warmer. Ever think of making a man Made snow Gun so you can send the kids outside And not depend on old man climo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: Gfs would be nice. Both suites of guidance showing something. Tough to buy and easily could trend warmer. At least this one has creeped inside of 10 days. I honestly can only count a handful of larger threats that got inside 10 days (the Dec 16th and Dec 23rd storms, maybe Jan 23rd?) before evaporating or trending worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 13, 2023 Author Share Posted February 13, 2023 We tan thru the end months end. Neggy departures from 1st week this month evaporated just like all winter threats. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 Just now, ORH_wxman said: At least this one has creeped inside of 10 days. I honestly can only count a handful of larger threats that got inside 10 days (the Dec 16th and Dec 23rd storms, maybe Jan 23rd?) before evaporating or trending worse. Yeah we’ll see. Fully prepared for a Canadian outcome though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 14, 2023 Author Share Posted February 14, 2023 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Ever think of making a man Made snow Gun so you can send the kids outside And not depend on old man climo Tough to make snow when lows are above freezing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 The amount of temps 45-55 since the New Year is amazing. It’s been like RDU. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 Safe to say this entire month is a skunk in SNE. Not one snow event wire to wire. The Ides of Feb 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Gfs would be nice. Both suites of guidance showing something. Tough to buy and easily could trend warmer. Evergreen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 31 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: You talking about the system at day 9-10? That’s a full blown snowstorm on the GFS….even a Scooter-approved arctic high building in. But let’s get it inside of 5 days. A lot of the models have that system. But some (like GGEM) are pretty warm with it. Well some of the panels I looked at had Boston starting as rain and then the snow working west to east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: The amount of temps 45-55 since the New Year is amazing. It’s been like RDU. Our temps this winter have basically made BOS into DCA. BOS winter is about 7F colder than DCA on average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Gfs would be nice. Both suites of guidance showing something. Tough to buy and easily could trend warmer. GFS is a nice starting point, can always raise them later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 This is now Delaware 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 2 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said: Well some of the panels I looked at had Boston starting as rain and then the snow working west to east. Yeah there’s a million different ways that system could go. It could be rain initially and then flipping or it could be a cutter or it could be all snow. The cold advects in during the storm on that run so the beginning is warmer…though it looked plenty cold enough aloft the whole time, so if it started as rain on the 18z GFS, it would prob be extremely brief and right on the water. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: This is now Delaware Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 4 minutes ago, powderfreak said: GFS is a nice starting point, can always raise them later. Yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: GFS is a nice starting point, can always raise them later. Well it(long range clowns)hasn’t showed much of anything in SNE all winter, and folks were always saying that even the long range clown snow maps shows nothing. Now it’s showing a burial..maybe some folks will be happy now? But again, it’s 18z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: This is now Delaware Delaware had 40”+ last winter. Try Charleston sc 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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