STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 16 minutes ago, qg_omega said: How’s the big southeast snowstorm? What a crap system for winter lover that were excited down there . Maybe an inch at 4500’ in NC mountain ski resort. Just a putrid airmass for anyone outside of NNE/CNE for snow . Went thru a few of southern forums (mid Atlantic ) to Tennessee valley to N Ga, Virginia and NC mountains . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: What a crap system for winter lover that were excited down there . Maybe an inch at 4500’ in NC mountain ski resort Bears , Brokebacks, Dilfs at Bearswallow MTN? 4 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 May be a prelude to the seasonal NAO balloon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 Records gonna get slayed Thursday. What a furnace incoming. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 7 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Records gonna get slayed Thursday. What a furnace incoming. I see a lot of 70-74’s 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 Gfs trying for rain to snow Friday 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 Some weak records BOS-north for Thursday, but BDL has a tough one…72° in 1954. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Some weak records BOS-north for Thursday, but BDL has a tough one…72° in 1954. That’s pretty easy . Thurs is a sunny furnace until mid afternoon clouds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Getting pushed south toward us a bit from that UK/Iceland ridging trying to form…that’s what the weeklies went wild with another week later by retrograding that ridge into greenland. I’m skeptical, but if we’re looking for a fun ending, that’s what we’d be watching. Some arctic blocking would really pin this sucker down. Pacific ain't changing but it doesn't have to in this setup. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 19 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That’s pretty easy . Thurs is a sunny furnace until mid afternoon clouds 1 1 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 We are burning . Warmth, dry ground, low dews, record heat coming Thursday 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 We'll have to keep an eye on that day 10 range just in case :/ There may be a sub- index scale event in there...it's low prob but higher than the baseline 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 Speaking of the mild weather and cutters, hopefully we can get dews up into the 50's and even 60's mid-atlantic a few times before months end. Get 'em sweating early 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: We are burning . Warmth, dry ground, low dews, record heat coming Thursday That's prior to being extinguished? Looks like someone did their best to start one and all they got were some smoldering leaves. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 2 hours ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: We’ll have to watch this aspect, but modeling of clouds 96 hrs out is like clown maps at 240. General guidance doesn’t have a socked in look at all. I don’t buy it. The cloud output looks like a wave that runs over PSM. Run of the mill, a lot of what we have seen recently. Completely different than a warm sector that lifts into Canada, which is being advertised at h5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 1 minute ago, dendrite said: That's prior to being extinguished? Looks like someone did their best to start one and all they got were some smoldering leaves. It doesn't look like they can even do fires well in Tolland... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 3 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: May be a prelude to the seasonal NAO balloon Shoot it down with a sidewinder. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 24 minutes ago, jbenedet said: We’ll have to watch this aspect, but modeling of clouds 96 hrs out is like clown maps at 240. General guidance doesn’t have a socked in look at all. I don’t buy it. The cloud output looks like a wave that runs over PSM. Run of the mill, a lot of what we have seen recently. Completely different than a warm sector that lifts into Canada, which is being advertised at h5. H5-H85 is pretty dry. It's mostly just high cloud potential...like a BKN250 where you barely know there's clouds until you see the halo around the sun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 34 minutes ago, jbenedet said: We’ll have to watch this aspect, but modeling of clouds 96 hrs out is like clown maps at 240. General guidance doesn’t have a socked in look at all. I don’t buy it. The cloud output looks like a wave that runs over PSM. Run of the mill, a lot of what we have seen recently. Completely different than a warm sector that lifts into Canada, which is being advertised at h5. Timing clouds which will bring rain 96 hours away isn’t that hard of a forecast. If the modeled rain moves in from west to east after just midday that will limit the ceiling of the warmth out west, still may be able to torch out east though. GFS brings in rain about 3 hours earlier as well. Something to watch in terms of ceiling of warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 21 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Timing clouds which will bring rain 96 hours away isn’t that hard of a forecast. If the modeled rain moves in from west to east after just midday that will limit the ceiling of the warmth out west, still may be able to torch out east though. GFS brings in rain about 3 hours earlier as well. Something to watch in terms of ceiling of warmth. That’s not your CF and well defined warm sector with 100% clouds in 1/3 of the CONUS. That’s all I’m saying. Doesn’t fit the bill; not at all. The rain on Thursday is a facade. That’s mesolow climo flexin’. Illusory. The real rain is on Friday. This is wonky. Sell the modeled qpf in New England on Thurs. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 4 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: May be a prelude to the seasonal NAO balloon Don't worry, it will get shot down 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 Lake Champlain ice fishing tournament canceled after 3 fishermen die due to thin lake ice“-CNN 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Lake Champlain ice fishing tournament canceled after 3 fishermen die due to thin lake ice“-CNN My God how awful. Why wasn't there safety checks before allowing the tournament to take place I wonder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 We enjoy these backyard dog walks as it warms up. It has been an obscenely warm winter. The snowpack here in the valley/river bottom will go quick unless we can wedge in. Photo this evening to show the diminished pack. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 9 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Lake Champlain ice fishing tournament canceled after 3 fishermen die due to thin lake ice“-CNN Wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 18 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Lake Champlain ice fishing tournament canceled after 3 fishermen die due to thin lake ice“-CNN 2 on February 11th and 1 on February 9th. Very high frozen-lake traffic despite the record warm months. The arctic shot created a false sense of security. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 Great call to blow a fair game 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowemgee Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 Great call to blow a fair game Felt that way too, but earlier catch/fumble ruled not a catch has to be factored in. We need some controversy...since we definitely don't have snow to debate over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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