jbenedet Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 25 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Other then that cold snap, birds have been here for a month +. Some knew. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 Make the best of your weather it’s the only weather you got. I’m looking for another 50+ day. Let’s see if we can hold off the clouds; whoever does will score a great day. Otherwise mild but meh. Over/under line looks like PSM latitude. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 Should manage 40s here despite the pack. Hopefully we can melt the remaining 3” of snow off the roof today. Starting the day with a low of 22°, but Gene and DIT are 30° and 32° already so there’s some adiabatic potential to go along with the diurnal heating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I don’t know about that, but at this point why not lol. Pretty cold at the very end of that EPS run in lalaland, but we’re doing a great job of bridging the gap to getting out of the climo deep winter period. It’d be pretty amazing if I only had 1 cold shot get me below +9° all winter and it just so happened to be record breaking. We’re gaining a lot of light now too. I was laying in bed at 6am and thought we had some western moonlight shining in, but the twilight was already creeping in. It goes quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 Just now, dendrite said: Pretty cold at the very end of that EPS run in lalaland, but we’re doing a great job of bridging the gap to getting out of the climo deep winter period. It’d be pretty amazing if I only had 1 cold shot get me below +9° all winter and it just so happened to be record breaking. We’re gaining a lot of light now too. I was laying in bed at 6am and thought we had some western moonlight shining in, but the twilight was already creeping in. It goes quickly. The mean already has a cutterish look with the MSLP and high to the southeast at that time. The extra daylight is great. Nice to have that after 6a as you said. I’m so over this winter. Looking forward to more prolonged warmth soon. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: Pretty cold at the very end of that EPS run in lalaland, but we’re doing a great job of bridging the gap to getting out of the climo deep winter period. It’d be pretty amazing if I only had 1 cold shot get me below +9° all winter and it just so happened to be record breaking. We’re gaining a lot of light now too. I was laying in bed at 6am and thought we had some western moonlight shining in, but the twilight was already creeping in. It goes quickly. Light til 5:15 p.m. The warmth isn’t all bad at this point. You can get shit done before or after a normal work day now, so long as you have the temperature on your side. And the kids can get outside after school. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 Just picture Ray and Will riding down the street , driving 15 in a 35 zone , arms on window sills, warm and sunny day , birds flying in and out of the windows heads shaking left to right , too and fro singing to this in Morch. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 5 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Light til 5:15 p.m. The warmth isn’t all bad at this point. You can get shit done before or after a normal work day now, so long as you have the temperature on your side. And the kids can get outside after school. Warm weather is nice for a few days in the winter but not for weeks at a time With the coming warmth this week we're going to be seeing leafouts a month ahead of schedule. Allergy season will be heightened and the bugs will be worse than ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just picture Ray and Will riding down the street , driving 15 in a 35 zone , arms on window sills, warm and sunny day , birds flying in and out of the windows heads shaking left to right , too and fro singing to this in Morch. I always pictured Ray in this video. Riding on a Vespa down Hampton Beach and just replace Yankees with RedSox hat. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 I know the ACATT people have disappeared, but honestly there isn’t anything to talk about and this isn’t hyperbole. It’s just warm. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 This warmth sucks I rather have it cold and snowy or cold and rainy so everyone stays in. 3 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: I know the ACATT people have disappeared, but honestly there isn’t anything to talk about and this isn’t hyperbole. It’s just warm. its just sucks.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 Once the snow around here melts and it dries out I can enjoy it somewhat. In the meantime, it is one long messy period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I know the ACATT people have disappeared, but honestly there isn’t anything to talk about and this isn’t hyperbole. It’s just warm. Up there? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 5 minutes ago, 512high said: its just sucks.... Now that we’ve dried out, I’ve definitely made the best of it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 6 minutes ago, MJO812 said: This warmth sucks I rather have it cold and snowy or cold and rainy so everyone stays in. What are you a shut in? 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: What are you a shut in? Locked in a cruiser trying to cancel his model subscription. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Locked in a cruiser trying to cancel his model subscription. Dude hasn’t left inside of his cruiser since Xmas Day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 18 minutes ago, MJO812 said: This warmth sucks I rather have it cold and snowy or cold and rainy so everyone stays in. months and months of outdoorsy project block parties Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 14F this morning, now up to 19F. Some potential for upper 30s later though. Should feel nice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 18 minutes ago, dendrite said: Deadhead sticker on a Cadillac? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 30 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I know the ACATT people have disappeared, but honestly there isn’t anything to talk about and this isn’t hyperbole. It’s just warm. The post-24th period doesn’t look any different to me. If anything it’s gotten colder on ensemble guidance. I’m not believing it yet but some of the discourse in here sounds like we’re ready to go into March with 2010 or 2012 on our minds. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 3 hours ago, dendrite said: Euro op is 60-65 again d9 and 10 after a brief 1 day cool down on Saturday. It's also greater SD in the 850 mb level, too ( for those days...) than previous runs. One aspect of Wed/Thur this week re the Euro ( talking to the general audience), it's improved its 2-meter temperature outlook ~ 2 F per cycle going back two days. Perhaps not linear increase, but on average... Synoptically, Wednesday enters contention for 'nape appeal' at this rate, too. It's got a deep layer WSW flow already established, with 850s to +5 by 21z the afternoon. There's likely to be gunk skies around because there's a dying Lakes cutter that's "denting" the field with modest cyclonic curvature ... as it coughs by NW. But if the clouds end up lower in coverage and the winds are light, both possibilities ..., we'll be near 60 despite the 54 MOS/machine and or 2-meter coverage. Thursday depends on sun again... But, the RH at standard metric sigmas are all < 55% ( 700, 500, 300 mbs), so that's an indication there's plenty of that mid day. This is true on the GFS, too. The Euro has also been elevating the 850s on that day, now nicking +10 C by 21 z. Again with deep layer WSW ...by then, very well mixed and likely a taller BL. That's a high temperature of 72 ... I don't believe the 2-meters are representative of a well mixed ( or enough) in any model on Wed or Thu afternoons. And the MEX is definitely too cool at this time of year and range. Given the very warm looking telecon spread as having not really yet fully realized in the deterministic solution sets as of late, ...the subtext to all this is that the correction vector is warmer actually. I'm a just tedious enough about this weather fascination to test these early warm up days, so tfwiw - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The post-24th period doesn’t look any different to me. If anything it’s gotten colder on ensemble guidance. I’m not believing it yet but some of the discourse in here sounds like we’re ready to go into March with 2010 or 2012 on our minds. GEFS definitely colder earlier. 500 mean on both in weenie range. Last day temp mean on eps vs 5 day temp mean on GEFS . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 The worst winter of our lives rolls on. Now I have to watch the Eagles win another Super Bowl. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 All that shows is a brief cool down behind that cutter. You can see the trough dipping back out west there at the end .. especially on EPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 Can we point to one or more large scale features for why winter never showed up this year? We had good patterns that ended up 40F and sun and then rained. We’ve had bad luck. We’ve had extreme cold, followed by rain. This is basically a Virginia winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 2 minutes ago, TalcottWx said: The worst winter of our lives SO FAR rolls on. Now I have to watch the Eagles win another Super Bowl. FYP 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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