dryslot Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 50 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Man, GGEM is really close....gets really heavy banding into Cape and far S shore. It's cold enough at 925 and 850 for snow, so if that backed in a little further, then we'd be talking a legit event. I still think the odds are pretty low though. Seems like that kicker shortwave coming through the lakes will inhibit this from coming much further north. That kicker is really whats messing with this on all modeling basically, Some of these runs have it further east booting it offshore, But the system around the 23rd looks to be the one to watch though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 1 minute ago, dryslot said: That kicker is really whats messing with this on all modeling basically, Some of these runs have it further east booting it offshore, But the system around the 23rd looks to be the one to watch though. The 23rd is two weeks from today. I can’t tell if you’re being sarcastic lol, or serious? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 Just now, WinterWolf said: The 23rd is two weeks from today. I can’t tell if you’re being sarcastic lol, or serious? Sadly , he is being serious . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 What a shit day here…39 and gray damp crap. Horrid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Sadly he is being serious I was thinking he was making a funny/dig. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: The 23rd is two weeks from today. I can’t tell if you’re being sarcastic lol, or serious? Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Sadly he is being serious There is cold air in place after the cutter on the 17th so that would be when the next shot for wintry weather for SNE would be. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: I was thinking he was making a funny/dig. We already have plenty that like to troll that crap, There's a signal in that time frame if its going to happen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 On a good note in all this, The sap is running........... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 If you thought January was bad , Feb is just a more boring version Of AN temps and a sprinkle of stein 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: We already have plenty that like to troll that crap, There's a signal in that time frame if its going to happen. Gotcha brotha. Was just wondering that’s all. I know you’re no troll. It’s all good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 1 hour ago, tamarack said: Great recollections. I'd add 2 storms within your NJ set: 3/20-21/1958: A two-day two-foot paste bomb, with some family drama included (but that's a long story). Our 700' elevation helped with the accumulation. 1/19-20/1961: The JFK inaugural event. We had 20", including the only accumulating snow at <10° I saw in NNJ. This storm began the record 17-day stretch of <30° in NYC and started the pack that 2/3-4/61 brought to record depths of up to 52" in NNJ, probably 45" at our place. I was at Johns Hopkins during the 1/29-30/1966 storm, a full blizzard in Baltimore with only 3-4 streets passable in the city at storm's height and many side streets not yet plowed a week later. Since my NNJ days, the clear #1 is the April blizzard of 1982, also a well-discussed storm on the forum. However, the 1998 ice storm had by far the greatest impact on life in general. I deliberately left out the JFK inaugural storm because it was the 2nd big event that winter and it kind of got overshadowed by 2/3-4 but it was fun for sure and of course we got a snow day out of it. The 12/11-12/60 storm gave is 2 snow days and the February 61 storm happened on a Friday/Friday night so school as normal Monday. The March 58 was a legendary event but my recollection is the temperature was marginal and the plow easily managed it. Also, I think mby got closer to a foot vs your 2 feet. It was a paste bomb indeed! It seemed during those years we got solid snow near the equinox annually. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 1 hour ago, tamarack said: However, the 1998 ice storm had by far the greatest impact on life in general. I grew up near Lake Winnipesaukee. I was a college student home on break. It was surreal. Like the apocalypse had just happened. The impact it had on the woods/forests for years to come was amazing. Can probably still see some effects. Massive trees completely bent over with their tips touching the ground, many of which never recovered. We headed a little south and everything was fine. shacked up in hotel rooms with my parents and a couple of their friends. My dad grumbling that he had to pay for a hotel room so close to his house. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 Sleet rain mix right now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 Now a snow sleet rain mix weird. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 GFS trying to ensure nobody sets a futility record. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 37 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: GFS trying to ensure nobody sets a futility record. That panel literally ensures futility for my area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 4 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: That panel literally ensures futility for my area. Next panel was better for you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 An indication of this winter’s misery is the deep diving into the d13-14 op gfs. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 56 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: GFS trying to ensure nobody sets a futility record. That’s a WOR crusher right there. Something’s gotta give…maybe that’s the one? Dryslot mentioned it/that timeframe. Beautiful High position there too…and strong. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 Pelting sleet down in Northampton right now. 35°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 12 minutes ago, weathafella said: An indication of this winter’s misery is the deep diving into the d13-14 op gfs. Welcome to futility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 Just now, jbenedet said: Welcome to futility. Even that will get ruined by some renegade 2-4 incher before mid April…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 13 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: That’s a WOR crusher right there. Something’s gotta give…maybe that’s the one? Dryslot mentioned it/that timeframe. Beautiful High position there too…and strong. did you look at the ens? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 At least the clown range shows something. Been awhile for even that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 Exciting stuff. Light snow started 38.6/26 How low do we go before the warm air comes in above? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 10 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said: At least the clown range shows something. Been awhile for even that. How long til it pulls the rug out? I say couple days and then GFS will show nothing for that timeframe and models will then lock in and not budge. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 Atlanta GA will have more snow than NYC and how many other locations in SNE, by this weekend??? Looks like an epic paste bomb around there (by southeast climo standards). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 Sleet and rain 38f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 3 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said: SPV from 10-50mb gets torn to shreds. would not surprise me at all if we got blocky in March Guidance is slow to reflect that at H5...not surprising. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 23 minutes ago, weathafella said: Even that will get ruined by some renegade 2-4 incher before mid April…. Yeah the only place I feel like has a decent shot at futility is BDR....anyone else really just needs an advisory event (or less in the case of BOS) to ruin any futility chances. Given that there's some evidence we go into a bit more of normal look for late Feb and perhaps favorable look beyond that, I don't have a reason to buy the futility futures right now. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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