RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 7 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: yeah... let's get greedy ... hahahaha j/k If we’re gonna usher in a change, might as well go all out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 I think its going to snow up here this week. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 11 minutes ago, dryslot said: I think its going to snow up here this week. Running out of time to get out of this. Quite the bummer, but it’s Feb so we roll with the punches. 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 16 minutes ago, dendrite said: Running out of time to get out of this. Quite the bummer, but it’s Feb so we roll with the punches. Its close to a lock, You should survive though, Congrats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 2 hours ago, powderfreak said: That’s a nice Euro run this week. Best GFS run in a while too for the whole run. 2 hours ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Might be a warm front in there. 50 degree spread across 150 miles. Naked twister. Love that look. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 1 hour ago, brooklynwx99 said: i agree with you. was just being sarcastic good to see that typical response to blocking here and not that SE ridge crap That is an absolutely orgasmic look if it works out like that....overunnig conveyor belt as is, and if you bear that ae ridge down just a whisker, it becomes a Miller B factory. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 1 hour ago, BombsAway1288 said: Looks good for now. Omega and tblizz gone for now, will return if 00z takes a step back. You know those guys are lurking, as well as TT. Looking for their opening like a eagle in the sky. Lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: I'd be careful with that interpretation if I were you... I wrote about this in an earlier post, warning of that allusion to finally having the S-SE warm wall in abeyance but it would not in fact - or might not I should say... - actually be that way. It's just compressed to where it looks like the right configuration. But the large number of isohypsotic gradient and the associated base-line wind is a trade off between the ridge structure, replaced by velocity. The ridge is conserved that way ... It's insidiously hidden. But it is an interference pattern. I remember a -NAO like that in 2007 late Feb or early Mar.. ex Heh, near the end of Eastern's reign ... There was all this excitement and optimism for the NAO arrival and it showed up ... all we got was 4 days of gusty gelid knuckle achin' cold winds 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That is an absolutely orgasmic look if it works out like that....overunnig conveyor belt as is, and if you bear that ae ridge down just a whisker, it becomes a Miller B factory. Agree, John...that is my interpretation. That is why I qualified my Miller B implication with the need to shave the ridge a bit. Conveyor of attenuating waves as is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 4 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: You know those guys are lurking, as well as TT. Looking for their opening like a eagle in the sky. Lol As Don Henley once put it, You can check out any time you like but you can never leave. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 There’s def been a subtle trend colder in the lower levels for 2/23. Midlevels have been sort of static. Maybe a slight tick cooler as we’ve seen a little more snow/sleet solutions to start down here. Probably in terms of “high impact” threats, this one will have to be watched really closely for cold tuck in eastern zones. They don’t pan out all the time, but we’ve seen a couple or three in the last 5 or 6 years where it goes flash freeze…and there’s a risk in this one too. A place like BOS could get a couple inches of snow/sleet on the front end before 36F rain but then crash to 27F in a span of 1-2 hours…with precip not totally shut off yet. That’s dangerous…so even a 1 in 4 chance of that happening is worth watching. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 I have always felt that that block from December would repeat and when it does, its exceedingly unlikely to result in as little snowfall for this region as it did then. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 I anticipate there should be some fun/ nail biting model watching next few days plus 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: There’s def been a subtle trend colder in the lower levels for 2/23. Midlevels have been sort of static. Maybe a slight tick cooler as we’ve seen a little more snow/sleet solutions to start down here. Probably in terms of “high impact” threats, this one will have to be watched really closely for cold tuck in eastern zones. They don’t pan out all the time, but we’ve seen a couple or three in the last 5 or 6 years where it goes flash freeze…and there’s a risk in this one too. A place like BOS could get a couple inches of snow/sleet on the front end before 36F rain but then crash to 27F in a span of 1-2 hours…with precip not totally shut off yet. That’s dangerous…so even a 1 in 4 chance of that happening is worth watching. That's actually a great point, people will be caught off guard, what a nightmare if that were to happen, stay off the roads. If this trends that way, DOT/Public works etc should be ready, not a lagged response. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 25 minutes ago, dryslot said: Its close to a lock, You should survive though, Congrats. We should enjoy. Might be a 7 to 10 day run, but I suppose it could be 3 to 4 weeks. I’d prefer the former and then spring but I don’t really have a say. The over under is the 25 inches in six days that we got in January. I think we do at least 30 in the stretch of 3 to 4 weeks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 Big dog potential on the back end of that blocky look. Think everyone (save for a few aforementioned posters) would sign for that then call it quits. Step 1 is to get that look to verify to begin with. Looooong ways to go 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 7 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: We should enjoy. Might be a 7 to 10 day run, but I suppose it could be 3 to 4 weeks. I’d prefer the former and then spring but I don’t really have a say. The over under is the 25 inches in six days that we got in January. I think we do at least 30 in the stretch of 3 to 4 weeks. That's quite possible 30" in 4 weeks, I don't think we will match that last streak in Jan though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 1 minute ago, dryslot said: That's quite possible 30" in 4 weeks, I don't think we will match that last streak in Jan though. What streak, 6” of rain lol?! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 1 minute ago, Modfan2 said: What streak, 6” of rain lol?! NNE had a nice series of storms during that stretch. Northern part of SNE cashed in a bit too. Down in the pike region we only got the 1/23 happy ending for anything shovelable (had 5.3” here)…but once you got into CT/RI there wasn’t much. Maybe a couple inches for some areas in that one and not much else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 Don't mind some freezing rain but if the temps drop quickly it's going to be a shit show pretty much everywhere. Salt in rain is pretty pointless but noway to salt everywhere at once. Rather something crawl up the coast for 24 hours than a fast change over. Kitchen sink storms are a ball breakers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 6 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: What streak, 6” of rain lol?! No, The 30.2" snow in 11 days one......... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: NNE had a nice series of storms during that stretch. Northern part of SNE cashed in a bit too. Down in the pike region we only got the 1/23 happy ending for anything shovelable (had 5.3” here)…but once you got into CT/RI there wasn’t much. Maybe a couple inches for some areas in that one and not much else. Yeah, only kidding and complaining about the rain we got. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 18z GFS is ticking a bit colder again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 Pretty long duration snow event up here late week too on the 18z GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Pretty long duration late week too on the 18z GFS. Some of us saw this coming days ago. We’ll see but it’s a feeling in my bones. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Some of us saw this coming days ago. We’ll see but it’s a feeling in my bones. Been pretty busy swinging a few deals the last 10 days or so, Really had not looked at much over that period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 I’d like to see the ticks south continue for a few cycles knowing it will tick back for some wiggle room. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: Some of us saw this coming days ago. We’ll see but it’s a feeling in my bones. Roy taking a nap for a bit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 10 minutes ago, dryslot said: Pretty long duration snow event up here late week too on the 18z GFS. wouldn't it be fun if it ended up down here and y'allz tokin' on cirrus bongs ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 10 minutes ago, weathafella said: Some of us saw this coming days ago. We’ll see but it’s a feeling in my bones. Not for us. Icestorm sure 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: wouldn't it be fun if it ended up down here and y'allz tokin' on cirrus bongs ? I don't think that would even affect me riding next weekend in western maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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