WinterWolf Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 On 2/15/2023 at 8:14 PM, ORH_wxman said: Deep thoughts from QG "add 30 degrees to the cold shot" Omega. Expand Ya…qg_smegma is at it again. The -nao and southeast ridge are hooking up again…lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 15, 2023 Author Share Posted February 15, 2023 58.4F torch! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 And tomorrow is the "warm" day 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 Meanwhile NAM is gonna ruin some Friday forecasts I think, Same with HRRR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 On 2/15/2023 at 8:21 PM, CoastalWx said: Meanwhile NAM is gonna ruin some Friday forecasts I think, Same with HRRR. Expand Nasty cold tuck on the NAM for NE MA and SE NH. Congrats to dendrite on ZR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 On 2/15/2023 at 8:11 PM, qg_omega said: lol no, you are really awful at this Expand you are a miserable human being 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 God, he sure is. At least he’s 5 posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 I totally buy that what is likely ENSO related background forcing leading this pattern of persistence both with respect to sensible weather results, and model error, however, at some point that standing wave will in fact decay. La nina is eroding both from a SST standpoint and MEI (ocean-atmosphere coupling) and I think it was Scott already posted evidence that the cool ENSO standing wave had relented. Persist at your own peril. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 On 2/15/2023 at 8:17 PM, qg_omega said: I can see the hights move west in the Greenland region but it really doesn’t matter Expand that would literally change the entire complexion of the pattern, you dolt 2 2 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 On 2/15/2023 at 7:32 PM, weathafella said: Wolfie, the ensembles took a step back also. At some point one has to acknowledge that seasons do have “personalities”. Expand I highly doubt that they step back in terms of March...the latter February period is transitional and lower prob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 On 2/15/2023 at 8:24 PM, brooklynwx99 said: that would literally change the entire complexion of the pattern, you dolt Expand Lol…And to think some think he knows his stuff. Comical. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 Very predictable posts all the way around The graphic Scott posted i think was key to watch Via CPC The more latitude you have the better shot for cooler than ave temps toward end of month 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 Max 51° Already back to 43° with the sun behind the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 On 2/15/2023 at 7:59 PM, WinterWolf said: Not according to Will they didn’t. And I don’t know why you’re telling me this Jerr…I know better than you and anybody what this winters personality is..I have 4.3” on the season. What pisses me off Jerry, are the folks that never can talk about what is at hand objectively, and just say more of the same when it clearly isn’t. Nobody ever said feet of snow, we were discussing potential and a pattern that comes up next week. That was all. But somehow people changed it into the sane old whining BS. Will explained it perfectly…we’re here to discuss potential, and what modeling was showing. Just like the cold shot that was historic…but some folks Poo poo’d it anyway as it approached. I’m sick of it. Expand I call them as I see them. Somehow this one needs more clarity and that’s still really hard at this lead. Maybe we’ll have a more consistent direction by the weekend. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 On 2/15/2023 at 8:24 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I totally buy the what is likely ENSO related background forcing leading this pattern of persistence both with respect to sensible weather results, and model error, however, at some point that standing wave will in fact decay. La nina is eroding both from a SST standpoint and MEI (ocean-atmosphere coupling) and I think it was Scott already posted evidence that the cool ENSO standing wave had relented. Persist at your own peril. Expand Furthermore, I don't think it even really matters as it relates to any SSW impact...I don't even expect the Pacific to change much. Its the arctic where things shake up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 On 2/15/2023 at 8:29 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Very predictable posts all the way around The graphic Scott posted i think was key to watch Via CPC The more latitude you have the better shot for cooler than ave temps toward end of month Expand Agree. Latter February is gradient/latitude driven and it's very possible said gradient remains where it has all season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 On 2/15/2023 at 8:34 PM, weathafella said: I call them as I see them. Somehow this one needs more clarity and that’s still really hard at this lead. Maybe we’ll have a more consistent direction by the weekend. Expand I’m cool with that. And I’m all for that, and no argument it’s sucked to date for sure. I was talking/meaning later next week and beyond..that’s all. I’m not expecting some big turn around…just would like to see a bonafide snow storm before we close the door on this rat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 15, 2023 Author Share Posted February 15, 2023 On 2/15/2023 at 8:34 PM, weathafella said: I call them as I see them. Somehow this one needs more clarity and that’s still really hard at this lead. Maybe we’ll have a more consistent direction by the weekend. Expand Yup. Wake me up in 6 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 On 2/15/2023 at 8:21 PM, CoastalWx said: Meanwhile NAM is gonna ruin some Friday forecasts I think, Same with HRRR. Expand Wave is really flattening out due to today's wave, which will be SE Canada tomorrow. Destructive interference as Tip puts it. Deamplifying that wave is a catch-22 from the warm side of things. It's through faster and the surface CAD behind it is trending weaker. It's a cold front that takes us back to AN from ++AN. Friday's loss is Saturday's gain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 On 2/15/2023 at 8:47 PM, jbenedet said: Wave is really flattening out due to today's wave, which will be SE Canada tomorrow. Destructive interference as Tip puts it. Deamplifying that wave is a catch-22 from the warm side of things. It's through faster and the surface CAD behind it is trending weaker. Friday's loss is Saturday's gain. Expand A few degrees Saturday vs a 20 degree difference Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 e1 was run on Scooter's computer..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 I assume that's through hr 360? I can't really complain about that graphic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 On 2/15/2023 at 9:09 PM, CoastalWx said: I assume that's through hr 360? I can't really complain about that graphic. Expand Wait til T-Blizz comes along .. he'll complain 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 On 2/15/2023 at 3:42 PM, CoastalWx said: Pope to Wolfie....you're a choir boy compared to me! Expand 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 On 2/15/2023 at 3:56 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Beer Expand No, f u!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 On 2/15/2023 at 5:32 PM, WinterWolf said: Thank you. God I hope it shoves it right up their cans….just to shut them the f*ck up. Maybe a crippling ice event to shut em all down. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 On 2/15/2023 at 7:35 PM, Hazey said: Clawed and limped our way to 70cms season to date. Normal is 225 so 70% below normal. Expand Is that 225 (88-89") season to date or total? If std, your average is a lot higher than I would've guessed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 On 2/15/2023 at 8:11 PM, qg_omega said: lol no, you are really awful at this Expand Why do you act like such an asshole? I mean you have a right to, but why choose that way of interacting with people? 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 There must be lights burning brighter somewhere Got to be birds flying higher in a sky more blue If I can dream of a better land Where all my brothers walk hand in hand… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 On 2/15/2023 at 9:31 PM, TalcottWx said: There must be lights burning brighter somewhere Got to be birds flying higher in a sky more blue If I can dream of a better land Where all my brothers walk hand in hand… Expand How many did you pop today? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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