dendrite Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: @wx2fishpointed this out, but epic warm fail possible near MA/NH border Friday. Yup...we look doomed here. CAA overnight tonight too behind that s/w passing just to our north may keep us sub 50F here tomorrow. Then a bit of a wedge Friday before the cold fropa. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 19 minutes ago, BrianW said: This thread... WTF is a "Men's Conference"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 1st bad run in a while for next week on the gfs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: 1st bad run in a while for next week on the gfs. Way too much energy digging out west. End up with the same results. Tuesday into Wednesday might have a better shot will transient 50/50 and muted se ridge. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 GEM is fairly cold and suppressed. Op runs gonna op run. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: Way too much energy digging out west. End up with the same results. Tuesday into Wednesday might have a better shot will transient 50/50 and muted se ridge. Incredibly persistent pattern. No wonder the west has been so cold & snowy A blessing for those facing drought out there Things won't change here until the seasons change. Not expecting any hope til March 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: GEM is fairly cold and suppressed. Op runs gonna op run. The same system on the GFS that cuts actually whiffs us south on GGEM. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: The same system on the GFS that cuts actually whiffs us south on GGEM. LOL, I know. Also beware pretty colors at 500mb. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 I wouldn't sleep on that D6 shortwave, looks pretty potent. At least something to monitor, if it trends south a bit. It depends on the model, but some have it around day 5.5, and some don't have jack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 3 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: I wouldn't sleep on that D6 shortwave, looks pretty potent. At least something to monitor, if it trends south a bit. It depends on the model, but some have it around day 5.5, and some don't have jack. Yeah there is a little front-runner wave there...GFS on a few runs had advisory type snows with it...Euro last night actually had like 1-3" south of the pike. But some models don't produce much of anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 Starting a new gig with a different state agency Monday the 28th, so if there is going to be snow, it’ll be that day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 15, 2023 Author Share Posted February 15, 2023 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Starting a new gig with a different state agency Monday the 28th, so if there is going to be snow, it’ll be that day Best of luck. I start my new job on Monday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 39 minutes ago, dendrite said: Yup...we look doomed here. CAA overnight tonight too behind that s/w passing just to our north may keep us sub 50F here tomorrow. Then a bit of a wedge Friday before the cold fropa. I’m in Tilton. Nice to see snow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 11 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Starting a new gig with a different state agency Monday the 28th, so if there is going to be snow, it’ll be that day Nice. What will you be doing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 24 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: GEM is fairly cold and suppressed. Op runs gonna op run. FWIW, there's a difference between OP GFS and both Ukie/GGEM in handling the TPV extension over Hudson Bay. Ukie/GGEM are similar whiel GFS was quite a bit weaker this run with the TPV extension pressing down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: FWIW, there's a difference between OP GFS and both Ukie/GGEM in handling the TPV extension over Hudson Bay. Ukie/GGEM are similar whiel GFS was quite a bit weaker this run with the TPV extension pressing down. Wow. Huge difference lol. I just checked the Ukie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 1 hour ago, BrianW said: This thread... Nah it is more like this: 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Wow. Huge difference lol. I just checked the Ukie. I know it’s an OP run a week out, but which seems more logical? Or are we still too far out to even know this? My gut tells me we’re still to far out to know…but Ive been told I’m not a MET, so I realize I have no skill on forecasting and things of the like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Wow. Huge difference lol. I just checked the Ukie. Fwiw, GEFS much more Ukie/GGEM-esque in the handling...though not quite as steroidal as those two...they were pretty suppressed looking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I know it’s an OP run a week out, but which seems more logical? Or are we still too far out to even know this? My gut tells me we’re still to far out to know…but Ive been told I’m not a MET, so I realize I have no skill on forecasting and things of the like. Given the PNA, I'm not buying the suppressed look. I'd side towards the GFS...but based on the ensembles...not quite as cutter-ish maybe? I could see a messy event though. Would sort of fit the look. Edit: Will said something similar too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 The feet of snow is evaporating before it forms. This winter being this winter. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: @wx2fishpointed this out, but epic warm fail possible near MA/NH border Friday. good, keep that warm shit where it belongs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 Just now, weathafella said: The feet of snow is evaporating before it forms. This winter being this winter. Pretty much. Some knew. 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Given the PNA, I'm not buying the suppressed look. I'd side towards the GFS...but based on the ensembles...not quite as cutter-ish maybe? I could see a messy event though. Would sort of fit the look. Edit: Will said something similar too. For us coastal folk I would bet on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 That 12z gfs run is essentially a carbon copy of what we’ve seen literally all winter. I totally buy that as a plausible outcome. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: That 12z gfs run is essentially a carbon copy of what we’ve seen literally all winter. I totally buy that as a plausible outcome. why deviate from the status quo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 1 minute ago, 8611Blizz said: For us coastal folk I would bet on it. Messy as in mud Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 Who said feet of snow? I only saw most logical folks say there is some potential mid/late next week. That’s all I saw. Some confused folks. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 persistence is always genius until it's completely wrong when you need it to be right the most 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: That 12z gfs run is essentially a carbon copy of what we’ve seen literally all winter. I totally buy that as a plausible outcome. Could be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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