Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,608
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Vesuvius
    Newest Member
    Vesuvius
    Joined

February 2023 Obs/Discussion


Baroclinic Zone
 Share

Recommended Posts

11 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

18z Shenanigans as usual? Or legit trend?  

12z trended better now 18z as well if 00z continues then I’d call it legit. Going to need all models to come to some sort of slight consensus the next 24-48 hours before any of us really bite. In the mean time there is literally nothing else for us to look at weather wise so we track. 

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

12z trended better now 18z as well if 00z continues then I’d call it legit. Going to need all models to come to some sort of slight consensus the next 24-48 hours before any of us really bite. In the mean time there is literally nothing else for us to look at weather wise so we track. 

Oh I agree…and that’s what we do here. But I’d have to agree that if 0z continues then it’s definitely a trend.  
 

As TBlizz said above, you’d think we’d have to run into something at some point? I mean to run the whole winter and dodge every single snow chance is almost impossible for SNE…even in a ratter. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

When we salivate over >1” probability maps….

Yours truly,

winter of 22/23

Tales from "you know winter is bad when..." the saga continues

Something to keep an eye on obviously but chances are very low imo consider the airmass, ensemble support etc but atleast its trending the right direction. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

May come stormin' back N whence the relay gets underway this evening and overnight. 

Not a forecast - but there is a non-zero probability that this thing's missing something due to assimilation over the E Pac. 

Some of this system's getting lost to us in recent runs is also related to the handling of the western ridge and the N/stream sliding over top of it.  We had some implications for phasing up through a couple day's ago, but now the ridge is positively tilting and the N/stream is displacing E of the southern aspect ...thus missing phasing.  Not sure if that part can correct and probably won't, but in the off chance the southern aspect relays in stronger it could adjust that along the EC.

Bump for relevancy … we’ll have see if the N reposition by GFS was just a coincidence 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Poor BOX. My Lord have they gone downhill . Sleet and zr to the south coast  . How about stop making love to their pike north love affair and looking at actual surface obs and wet bulbs . Embarrassing 

The CT river valley
and locations south of the MA/CT border should remain warm enough to
support mostly rain.

R2rclPd.png

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Poor BOX. My Lord have they gone downhill . Sleet and zr to the south coast  . How about stop making love to their pike north love affair and looking at actual surface obs and wet bulbs . Embarrassing 

The CT river valley
and locations south of the MA/CT border should remain warm enough to
support mostly rain.

R2rclPd.png

Didn’t the WWA go right to the MA/CT border? 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...