RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 13 minutes ago, forkyfork said: summers are getting hotter and winters are losing their bite. sorry bros Unfortunately, yea. We’ll need a super volcano eruption in the not to distant future. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: How much is 2 four packs from there anyways? Generally any middle to high end brewery you’re paying $20-$23 per 4 pack . If they’re pale ale IPA’s closer to $15.. if double IPA over $20 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: They only need 3.8” to beat it (and 1.8 inches if we use Kevin’s criteria of excluding snowfall past 3/31). One run-of-the-mill forgettable front ender would do it. We used to always sled down the street when I was younger. Plows would get it down to packed snow but they didn’t use as much salt back then so you would have this 1-2” layer of hard packed snow to sled on in the middle of the street (our neighborhood was a giant hill with 2 or 3 streets running down it). We used to hate it when the sanders came through because it would temporarily screw up the sledding but after a little more snow, the sand disappeared. It didn’t melt the snow like salt does. They were obsessed with using sand back then for traction. Yep exactly my memories. School St hill in Westerly is almost a mile long. Helluva walk back up. The town actually shut it down for us for a day one year might have been Feb 69 if my memoryis right, older kids and parents were shuttling kids using the next street over. Good times 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Generally any middle to high end brewery you’re paying $20-$23 per 4 pack . If they’re pale ale IPA’s closer to $15.. if double IPA over $20 So you need what 3 beers for a buzz. So 3 buzzes for 40 bucks. You can buy me 40 5 mg gummies for 40 bucks and I can get 20 buzzes. Lol 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: They only need 3.8” to beat it (and 1.8 inches if we use Kevin’s criteria of excluding snowfall past 3/31). One run-of-the-mill forgettable front ender would do it. What would you make odds for ORH going 3.7" or less? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 7 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: What would you make odds for ORH going 3.7" or less? They’ve never done it in the record so I’d prob put the odds under 1% without looking at anything. If we assume they don’t see anything in the next 7 days which seems reasonable, then maybe the odds rise to a little better than 100 to 1. I’d have to run the numbers from like 2/10-onward to see if they have ever done less than 4” from there. 1995 may have done it…we had hardly anything after the 2/4 storm. We did get a couple inches on the front end of the 2/27-28 ice storm but very little outside of that…there was one other event of less than an inch before the ice storm…and I know we got skunked in March ‘95. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 Ya, Kevin gonna lose that bet with Ginx. Way to much time left in this winter season to think BDL or Worcester can’t get 3-4” the rest of the winter season on Feb 1st. It has been abysmal for sure, but to think everybody is done on Feb 1st, is folly. If it was a month from now, you’d still be gambling, but on Feb 1st, to say/bet that 3-4” can’t fall the rest of the winter, that’s unrealistic. It can happen, but incredibly low odds. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 much worse than I thought, ~1%. Kev should get 400 beers? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 6 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: much worse than I thought, ~1%. Kev should get 400 beers? Lol Kev made the post no odds attached. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 12 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: much worse than I thought, ~1%. Kev should get 400 beers? I don’t think this pattern holds much chance of a 4” snowfall or combined. There’s nothing thru week 3 so the window is really late month into early Morch . That Feb 11 threat looks just like all the other fails this winter. Little to no cold and thread a needle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 10 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: much worse than I thought, ~1%. Kev should get 400 beers? If we start with a date of 2/10, then the odds increase a little bit....I was correct about 1995....also 1954 and 1901 failed to reach 4" after 2/10 but both were close (over 3 inches). So we're up to 3 out of 130 years versus 0 out of 130. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Take everything down Pants and undies? Obviously I would not wish for anyone’s homes or vehicles being totaled but I wonder what your response would really be if a big oak was in your living room while your truck was pancaked on your driveway. I can’t imagine you’d pound another IPA in excitement while the wife and kids cry out the shock…but I could be wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: I don’t think this pattern holds much chsnce of a 4” snowfall or combined. There’s nothing thru week 3 so the wind is really is late month into early Morch . That Feb 11 threat looks just like all the other fails this winter. Little to no cold and thread a needle. ORH just had 12.2" in a month that was literally +10 on temps. They only need one third of that total for you to lose your bet. You need to understand climo a little better I think before wagering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJOatleast7 Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 So we're all agreed on this, right? Lock it up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: ORH just had 12.2" in a month that was literally +10 on temps. They only need one third of that total for you to lose your bet. You need to understand climo a little better I think before wagering. I understand Climo perfectly fine . Both sites have to get 4” to lose the bet. Climo doesn’t give a FOC this winter about snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I understand Climo perfectly fine . Both sites have to get 4” to lose the bet. Climo doesn’t give a FOC this winter about snowfall Then why wouldn't you get odds on your bet? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Then why wouldn't you get odds on your bet? Feel good enough to go straight up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 We hard not soft 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 15 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Pants and undies? Obviously I would not wish for anyone’s homes or vehicles being totaled but I wonder what your response would really be if a big oak was in your living room while your truck was pancaked on your driveway. I can’t imagine you’d pound another IPA in excitement while the wife and kids cry out the shock…but I could be wrong. As long as nobody were hurt, he’d have excitement, even if he couldn’t say it out loud. Excitement is the operative word. If a 2” hail storm wiped out my car, I’d hate it, but without question would be in awe of the event as it happened and the damage afterward. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 2 years ago today. We need another one of these 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: As long as nobody were hurt, he’d have excitement, even if he couldn’t say it out loud. Excitement is the operative word. If a 2” hail storm wiped out my car, I’d hate it, but without question would be in awe of the event as it happened and the damage afterward. My truck meh my house oh hell no 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 Just now, Ginx snewx said: 2 years ago today. We need another one of these That was a good season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 2 years ago today. We need another one of these No 1 1 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: No Lol oopsy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 2 years ago today. We need another one of these had maybe 4" of slop in somerville while ~5 mi away in Arlington had closer to 18" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 2 years ago today. We need another one of these If a winter nut I'd be raging S shore MA/ Cape. Quit the hobby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 2 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: If a winter nut I'd be raging S shore MA/ Cape. Quit the hobby Made up a year later. We good. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 I got 0.0” in Rockport with that one. No thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Made up a year later. We good. I’d take your blizzard over that event. Not even close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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