Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,610
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Vesuvius
    Newest Member
    Vesuvius
    Joined

February 2023 Obs/Discussion


Baroclinic Zone
 Share

Recommended Posts

1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

Modeling is all over the place…don’t trust anything as others have said. And 18z runs always something crazy….it’s a joke with those.  Lol where’s the huge cold shot it had at 12z?  Off hr runs are horrible. 

The problem is looking beyond 7-10 days. Obviously small initial variations will lead to large model differences at that range.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

28 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

What was the pattern flip that made Feb ‘21 so great ? I had 39” that month. Also had 25” Jan ‘22. So those big months helped otherwise bad seasons. 

Nice west based-NAO block….really worked it’s magic. Deep -PNA but all that did was keep it active. The trough wasn’t digging into Baja California either. 

 

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Feb 2021 was the last great pack. It doesn’t happen often but there is always hope for one. The hope for one is gone by 2/15. 

Yea after the multi day cutoff in early Feb, that was a nice pack month. That’s pretty much our max though barring anything truly historic. I never focus or worry about a pack winter here though. If it happens, cool. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

46 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Feb 2021 was the last great pack. It doesn’t happen often but there is always hope for one. The hope for one is gone by 2/15. 

Don’t tell eastern CT and SE mass that there’s no hope for a pack after 2/15…cuz March of ‘18 laughs at that statement….even after 82 degrees in mid February that year. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The thing is, of all the winters that finished strongly, show me a total ratter throughout all of January.  2018 had a torchy latter part of February but deep cold and some good snow in December and early January.   I can’t bring up any outside of 2006-07 which was a nino.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...