Typhoon Tip Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 On 1/26/2023 at 7:04 PM, CoastalWx said: Just 10 more days. Expand yeah ...it's discouraging ... If the antecedent relentless failures this winter were not the case, it'd be less offensive knowing that has to all be the end of these model runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 On 1/26/2023 at 7:08 PM, Typhoon Tip said: yeah ...it's discouraging ... If the antecedent relentless failures this winter were not the case, it'd be less offensive knowing that's all at the end of these model runs. Expand Because we are all insane we do the same things over and over expecting a different outcome. We all know this will be west of us by go time but we are after all insane in the membrane. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 On 1/26/2023 at 6:59 PM, Typhoon Tip said: huh, ...that's the same 4/5th wave the GGEM lifted up, too. Two models latching onto a signal in the D8+ range in 2023 ? that's like a dimmest kid in class winning the chess tournament Expand while playing the Sicilian Najdorf Poison Pawn Variation totally by mistake.. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 Thanks for the model porn Euro....at day 9-10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 Not enough weenies have patience. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 Euro showing signs of a little pokey poke with a scandi block at the end of the run too. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 EPS still has the 2/1 signal. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 On 1/26/2023 at 7:27 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Not enough weenies have patience. Expand Well when you hear just wait ten more days since late November, by the time you get to early February with no snow or cold it kinda rings hollow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 On 1/26/2023 at 7:31 PM, CoastalWx said: EPS still has the 2/1 signal. Expand 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 On 1/26/2023 at 7:31 PM, CoastalWx said: EPS still has the 2/1 signal. Expand Seems stronger than the 2/4-5 signal TBH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 On 1/26/2023 at 7:37 PM, WxWatcher007 said: Well when you hear just wait ten more days since late November, by the time you get to early February with no snow or cold it kinda rings hollow lol Expand Hang in there bud. It’s gonna be alright. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 On 1/26/2023 at 7:49 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Hang in there bud. It’s gonna be alright. Expand Preach it Nostr-edible-damus. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 On 1/26/2023 at 7:31 PM, CoastalWx said: EPS still has the 2/1 signal. Expand Yeah I don't hate that signal....it's precarious (what isn't this year).....but it could produce a nice little event if we track it right. EPS cluster looks half-decent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 On 1/26/2023 at 7:49 PM, weathafella said: Seems stronger than the 2/4-5 signal TBH. Expand EPS seems like 2/6 better than 2/4-5.....2/6 would have been from that shortwave that Tip was discussing that was on the heals of the 2/4 event on the OP run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 On 1/26/2023 at 7:49 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Hang in there bud. It’s gonna be alright. Expand 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 On 1/26/2023 at 8:04 PM, ORH_wxman said: EPS seems like 2/6 better than 2/4-5.....2/6 would have been from that shortwave that Tip was discussing that was on the heals of the 2/4 event on the OP run. Expand Even that is more muted vs 2/1 although that may be a function of it being in deeper clown range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 On 1/26/2023 at 7:30 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Euro showing signs of a little pokey poke with a scandi block at the end of the run too. Expand Poke me daddy 1 5 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 On 1/26/2023 at 7:27 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Not enough weenies have patience. Expand This year weenies need to be Tibetan monks 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 On 1/26/2023 at 8:18 PM, mreaves said: Expand Get every weenie in a comfy gathering and in a higher state of consciousness…and I’ll be their shaman. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 I was a little patient and I got 25” in 6 days. So there. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 On 1/26/2023 at 7:10 PM, Ginx snewx said: Because we are all insane we do the same things over and over expecting a different outcome. We all know this will be west of us by go time but we are after all insane in the membrane. Expand 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 On 1/26/2023 at 8:44 PM, mahk_webstah said: I was a little patient and I got 25” in 6 days. So there. Expand No changes for you. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 We’re all patient but we should rightfully be skeptical after waiting 2 months through some nice patterns. Mark, don’t equate your climate to sne. Most ninas treat your area well. Many rat sne but we have good ones too. If I had to guess no one Pike south is getting 25 inches in 6 days this season 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 On 1/26/2023 at 9:02 PM, weathafella said: We’re all patient but we should rightfully be skeptical after waiting 2 months through some nice patterns. Mark, don’t equate your climate to sne. Most ninas treat your area well. Many rat sne but we have good ones too. If I had to guess no one Pike south is getting 25 inches in 6 days this season Expand LFG 2/1 2/6 2/10 20 to 25 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 Eff patience. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 On 1/26/2023 at 9:07 PM, CoastalWx said: Eff patience. Expand Eff off 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 On 1/26/2023 at 9:07 PM, CoastalWx said: Eff patience. Expand 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 On 1/26/2023 at 9:05 PM, Ginx snewx said: LFG 2/1 2/6 2/10 20 to 25 Expand Hopefully you’re right but the tenor of this season says you’re not. 2/10 bday event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 On 1/26/2023 at 7:04 PM, CoastalWx said: Just 10 more days. Expand We don’t know what’s going to happen in 5 days, you can try to predict what will happen 10 days out but really none of us have any idea whatsoever. MJO drives the models? Well, how do we know those MJO plots are right? They are always changing as well. I’ve come to the conclusion that forecasting beyond as far as you can realistically extrapolate real time obs is almost completely random. I’m at the point where if a model shows a blizzard 10 days out, I don’t even care because it’s just going to disappear the next run. If it’s on the models 3 days out, now that’s a different story. I’m hearing a lot of talk about the “mid Feb warmup” and then “blocking returning in March” like they are givens. I don’t get it, how can we know either of those things will happen? For all we know, Feb could be a cold snowy -nao month and then we get an early spring with no snow at all in March. Maybe we get nothing either months, and maybe both months are cold and snowy, who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 On 1/26/2023 at 8:28 PM, mahk_webstah said: Poke me daddy Expand Talk dirty to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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