Hoosier Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Mini weenie-band around Kankakee for Chicagowx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 On 1/26/2023 at 4:12 PM, A-L-E-K said: Going 6 imby with the near miss north Looking $$$ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 5 hours ago, Hoosier said: Mini weenie-band around Kankakee for Chicagowx. Ride it. Canadians like that mini band too. Not happening, but would be quite the gift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 radar giving us any clue yet on jackpot zones? screwed zones? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Will go 3" here. Lake Geneva sweet spot with 6.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 5” storm total seems doable here with the fronto band lifting into WI this afternoon before things fill back in into the evening. Bring it. Best potential looks to be along the lake between here and Port Washington. Racine or MKE could hit double digits. Good luck all. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 I'm bullish on this one.. banking on front band to be a bit further south and things to fill back in for southern sections after initial band moves north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 25 minutes ago, Baum said: radar giving us any clue yet on jackpot zones? screwed zones? Well it is well south of where the northern camp had it yesterday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 2 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Well it is well south of where the northern camp had it yesterday. Yeah that north of hwy 20 business that the NAM was pushing for days was way off base. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 1 minute ago, tuanis said: Yeah that north of hwy 20 business that the NAM was pushing for days was way off base. It's funny how a given model can be perfect on one storm and terrible on the next I guess that's why we have mets to interpret the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 13 minutes ago, ChiTownSnow said: It's funny how a given model can be perfect on one storm and terrible on the next The heaviest accumulations WILL ride along hwy 20 and north in Iowa, but it’s like the NAM didn’t see this WAA wing cruising through the rest of Iowa and into the Quad Cities area/Peoria/Bloomington. Although it is lifting north pretty darn quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Seen the morning discussion with DTX kinda funny how they are calling for rain along and south of I94 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 I think the models also were too slow to saturate with southward extent. The fact that the lead band already is 25-30+ dBZ down in ILX CWA could very well be a sign of things setting up a bit south later on. But even if the band is progressive, should be a nice burst of snow moving through later this morning into early to mid afternoon. Definitely liking this evening too if the main band sets up northern tier and north during the afternoon. And finally, the NAM indeed was out to lunch haha. I'd still hedge a bit south of where the HRRR is putting the zone of freezing rain this evening. Expecting the advisory to be expanded south with the mid-late morning update and also the day shift will assess whether any part of northern Illinois in the WWA needs to be upgraded to a WSW. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Just now, RCNYILWX said: I think the models also were too slow to saturate with southward extent. The fact that the lead band already is 25-30+ dBZ down in ILX CWA could very well be a sign of things setting up a bit south later on. But even if the band is progressive, should be a nice burst of snow moving through later this morning into early to mid afternoon. Definitely liking this evening too if the main band sets up northern tier and north during the afternoon. And finally, the NAM indeed was out to lunch haha. I'd still hedge a bit south of where the HRRR is putting the zone of freezing rain this evening. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk NAM has been playing catch-up and moving south every run since its Green Bay special yesterday. Excited for the potential, and we are basically getting to nowcast time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 2 hours ago, Chicago WX said: Ride it. Canadians like that mini band too. Not happening, but would be quite the gift. Special weather statement suggest we may see a quick hitting inch+ over the course of 90 minutes. Better than nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Light snow just began here. The last few Euro runs have Geos in the jackpot zone with 6"+. Will see snow intensity ebb and flow here along the southern side of things, but should make a run at 3" I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 5 minutes ago, King James said: Special weather statement suggest we may see a quick hitting inch+ over the course of 90 minutes. Better than nothing We need that puppy to slow/stall overhead as it gets further north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Flurries starting here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 This band of snow pushing through Cedar Rapids this morning is not even moderate. The flakes are fairly small and the rate is meh. I just measured 0.8" and radar shows the back edge approaching quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 3 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: This band of snow pushing through Cedar Rapids this morning is not even moderate. The flakes are fairly small and the rate is meh. I just measured 0.8" and radar shows the back edge approaching quickly. Yeah, Iowa roads look to be moving well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 I'm liking the new development already to the southwest behind the initial band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 3 minutes ago, ChiTownSnow said: I'm liking the new development already to the southwest behind the initial band HRRR trends over the last few runs are solid for N IL as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Would it be more prudent to look at 10:1 maps or Kuchera maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Ripping nicely under this enhanced band. Flake size is pretty nice as well. Gonna get pseudo dry slotted here in a bit, but like others have mentioned models redevelop snows all day over this general area. Gonna be in and out of it through the event but should gradually build up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 5 minutes ago, Sciascia said: Would it be more prudent to look at 10:1 maps or Kuchera maps? I usually just try to guess the ratio and calculate it on my own. I'm banking on 13:1 ratios, or perhaps better which should fluff our 0.2-0.25 of precip into the 2.5-3" range for snow. I'm guessing ratios in the main swath further north near the IL/WI border may be 15:1 or better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 RGEM still well south of the NAMs. Banking on my weenie band tomorrow morning of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Waiting for the banding to start to come into focus is like “old school” trying to predict the pivot point. You know, back when we had storms that did that kind of shit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Flurries underway - currently in western McHenry County.Looking for that upgrade. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 ^ has to be a tough call.. but I don't think they can go wrong with current messaging and bump up as/when needed. Even as it happens. The impact from 3-4 to 4-6 isn't much more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 4 minutes ago, ChiTownSnow said: ^ has to be a tough call.. but I don't think they can go wrong with current messaging and bump up as/when needed. Even as it happens. The impact from 3-4 to 4-6 isn't much more Just waiting for my 10+” that Izzi mentioned in the AFD. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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