Baum Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 thinking LOT goes with a Coin Flip Watch for this scenario? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 21 minutes ago, sbnwx85 said: I'm on the edge of either adding an inch or two of snow or losing an inch or two of snow before the arctic air moves in next week. Pretty neat. Models stayed steady and the forecast was dead on for January 25th snowstorm, and i said afterward this was well forecast and played out as expected. So I'm sure we will be back to our regularly scheduled model mayhem for the next event. And we are. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CANNOTDIVIDEBY0 Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 I have to travel to Davenport Saturday evening, so for once I am rooting for a miss north . Looks like i-80 should be pretty drivable at the very least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 Well the 18z NAM has all of cooking county in the rain at 33hrs, remains the north outlier. Edit: Long range HRRR throwing blindfolded darts well into WI. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 4 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Well the 18z NAM has all of cooking county in the rain at 33hrs, remains the north outlier. Edit: Long range HRRR throwing blindfolded darts well into WI. They're both trending south though right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 2 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: They're both trending south though right? Its been coming south, barely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 2 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Its been coming south, barely. I'll take barely as long as the south camp doesn't cave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 I can buy a miss north in this set up, but I don’t buy strengthening SLP leading to rain along I80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 7 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: I'll take barely as long as the south camp doesn't cave. we got this friend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 5 minutes ago, mimillman said: I can buy a miss north in this set up, but I don’t buy strengthening SLP leading to rain along I80 Yeah, everything showing this thing shearing out and the NAM wanting to pump it up. I think RC mentioned the same thing earlier as well. Looks like a blanket WWA for 3-6 across N IL and S WI 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 LOT Goes WWA for 3-6 I-88 and north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 I call a thin layer of angel dandruff on my work truck when I get up in the AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 56 minutes ago, Baum said: LOT Goes WWA for 3-6 I-88 and north All things considered, it seems reasonable enough. Tricky call for them, but at some point you have to make one. Can't punt forever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 34 minutes ago, Hoosier said: All things considered, it seems reasonable enough. Tricky call for them, but at some point you have to make one. Can't punt forever. unfortunately, i have seen how these bands play out historically here. But obv rooting for the southern outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 Its a bummer detroits gonna miss out, would've been cool to see a snowstorm on top of decent snowcover. It's always a tough thing to pull off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 QPF comes down on GFS and RGEM, latitude stays the same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 19 minutes ago, mimillman said: QPF comes down on GFS and RGEM, latitude stays the same Would anticipate somebody overperforming in the band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 Compromise solution on models would put the freezing rain band right through here. Ice amounts should be fairly light wherever it ends up, but modest precip rates and a warm layer aloft that isn't super warm likely means rather efficient accretion of whatever does fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 This looks to be last event for foreseeable future Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 18z Euro bumped south a decent amount. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 12 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: 18z Euro bumped south a decent amount. it's taken 3 years but the 18Z Euro bumping south is suddenly a win. Where's Chicago Storm when you need him? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 That is a very large bump south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 28, 2023 Author Share Posted January 28, 2023 it's taken 3 years but the 18Z Euro bumping south is suddenly a win. Where's Chicago Storm when you need him?i’m waiting in the shadows.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 3 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: i’m waiting in the shadows. . Your call is due by 9 pm tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 I literally have no clue what we'll get here. If I was putting out a forecast I'd prob just go 1-3", but wouldn't be surprised to be under or over that range lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 14 minutes ago, mimillman said: That is a very large bump south After the euro was consistent for several days right around/north of the border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 1 minute ago, SchaumburgStormer said: After the euro was consistent for several days right around/north of the border Subtle trend south with each run today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Other notable trends across most models (exception RGEM) is lower amounts but tend to agree whoever is in the sweet spot will push 6”. In these setups i do favor the IL/WI border for that, particularly closer to the lake, but 50 miles north and south of that spot should do fine too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Reel this one in a tad closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 0Z HRRR is just coming out but looks like it will be wagons south from 18Z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now