Radtechwxman Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Well this definitely should make the Chicago peeps happy after a lackluster winter. But not going to lie, very jealous. Love these kind of events. Snowfall rates can be crazy and they usually overperform. Maybe even some thundersnow with a strong baroclinic zone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 The Iowa NWS offices are saying there should be a favorably-deep DGZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Just a 50 mile shift south would be great on the GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 38 minutes ago, sbnwx85 said: Just a 50 mile shift south would be great on the GFS. If I was betting on a shift, South wouldn’t be my bet. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Riding the southern side of it here. Not the place to be with any bumps north. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 3 hours ago, SchaumburgStormer said: If I was betting on a shift, South wouldn’t be my bet. NAM says...you're right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 these never pan out for chicago. Milwaukee or bust. not hard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 7 minutes ago, Baum said: these never pan out for chicago. Milwaukee or bust. not hard. But when they do pan out, they are great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 I think I'd want to be in the northern burbs. Of Chicago, that is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 24 minutes ago, Baum said: these never pan out for chicago. Milwaukee or bust. not hard. That’s wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 26, 2023 Author Share Posted January 26, 2023 34 minutes ago, Baum said: these never pan out for chicago. Milwaukee or bust. not hard. 9 minutes ago, mimillman said: That’s wrong Yea, the northern LOT CWA/Chicago suburbs say hi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 February 8-9, 2018 begs to differ on them never panning out for Chicago. Also December 31-January 1, 2014. And December 10-11, 2016. It's the nature of fairly narrow snow bands to miss sometimes. I don't think from experience here that we do worse than elsewhere with these fgen banding events. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 26 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: February 8-9, 2018 begs to differ on them never panning out for Chicago. Also December 31-January 1, 2014. And December 10-11, 2016. It's the nature of fairly narrow snow bands to miss sometimes. I don't think from experience here that we do worse than elsewhere with these fgen banding events. Of course that’s not to say that this WILL pan out for Chicagoland, it’s just wrong to say they never do. Still a toss up in my mind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 Looks like a route 20 in Iowa special, IL/WI border east of the Mississippi. Looks like a duster to perhaps an inch or two here if we can manage to hang onto the southern edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 I'm riding the GEFS to victory screw CAMs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 6 hours ago, mimillman said: That’s wrong give an example in recent memeory...say the past 10 years. I can recall many, including a Christmas eve event slated with a WSW for 8-10". The fronto band parked over the metro for an hour or so put down an inch or two than shifted north over extreme N.IL/ S. Wisconsin. I've seen this happen repeatedly. If your in the band, no question, it's pound town, but have rarely seen these park over the heart of the chicago metro. On the positive side, perhaps, this is how Cary and Mchenry county put to rest the futility streak. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 5 hours ago, cyclone77 said: Looks like a route 20 in Iowa special, IL/WI border east of the Mississippi. Looks like a duster to perhaps an inch or two here if we can manage to hang onto the southern edge. there it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 6 hours ago, RCNYILWX said: February 8-9, 2018 begs to differ on them never panning out for Chicago. Also December 31-January 1, 2014. And December 10-11, 2016. It's the nature of fairly narrow snow bands to miss sometimes. I don't think from experience here that we do worse than elsewhere with these fgen banding events. i don't recall the 2018 and 2016 events to well. My recollection, on the New Years eve event is memorable but feel that was aided by a good influx of lake moisture. Still, feel the frontogenic events love to settle just north of us. And agreed, it's more a case of remembering,"what could have been, and how close it was." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 Next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 That band is narrow and my grass tips are exceptionally high this year 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said: Next Hoosier's go-to model (6z run) is a slight tick away from congrats MSP and GRB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said: Next Lol there is no next 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 06z GFs is a bit south, snow I-80 to WI Border 12z Nam North and a bit more widespread, I-88 well into WI 06z Euro is North and narrow, snow from I-88 to Janesville, WI Other foreign is I-80ish well into WI Going to be a real shit show forecast for LOT with these tiny wobbles in track making significant sensible impacts throughout the metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 northern tier, woodstock event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michaelmantis Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 14 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: 06z GFs is a bit south, snow I-80 to WI Border 12z Nam North and a bit more widespread, I-88 well into WI 06z Euro is North and narrow, snow from I-88 to Janesville, WI Other foreign is I-80ish well into WI Going to be a real shit show forecast for LOT with these tiny wobbles in track making significant sensible impacts throughout the metro. Thanks for the summary. I was wondering where all the model reviews I've come to love to read were at with this system. Still liking my spot in the first two tiers of counties in N IL. I just have to chuckle that there was over a week pregame to the Christmas non-event with hundreds of posts and now just two pages of posts thus far on this event that looks to hit in 48 hours. Everyone jaded/burned waiting for summer? ;-) @A-L-E-Ktossing up the Wammy gives me hope this may be a real one for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 yeah, barely have the heart to toss out a final call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michaelmantis Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 24 minutes ago, michaelmantis said: Some solid messaging given the potential and uncertainty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 We'll be coming into the outer periods for the hi-res models today. From a pure mby perspective, would be nice to see some support for a farther south solution even though reliability is questionable at this distance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 This kind of system can be our bread & butter up here. Hope it delivers. The fronto band can really dump, but often seems to drift further north than anticipated instead of sitting overhead. Fingers crossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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