ChiTownSnow Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 I'll take 1 CMC 12z please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 I'm with you. Not pining.. More tongue in cheek.That said, MKX taking lead and coordinating could make it a bit easier.Vis down to about a mile now in central Boone County. Roads dusted. Small flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 [Bob marley voice] we dustin' 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Dtw looks to miss out on the first bands, but could be in for a surprise for the second batch. Looks like after this, gonna be in a cold suppression pattern, the worst. While dec/jan sucked, atleast it was warmer. Cold n dry is the worst. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 10 minutes ago, Stevo6899 said: Dtw looks to miss out on the first bands, but could be in for a surprise for the second batch. Looks like after this, gonna be in a cold suppression pattern, the worst. While dec/jan sucked, atleast it was warmer. Cold n dry is the worst. That’s currently how I’m feeling. It’s why I laughed when I seen DTX mention rain along and south of 94. I’d be more then happy with 2-4 additional on top of current snow pack. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 I-290/Loop special right now with this band its rockin here in W. Loop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Chicago NWS upped amounts for the northern tier but still under WWA URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Chicago IL 1049 AM CST Sat Jan 28 2023 ILZ003>006-290100- /O.CON.KLOT.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-230129T0900Z/ Winnebago-Boone-McHenry-Lake IL- Including the cities of Rockford, Belvidere, Crystal Lake, Algonquin, McHenry, Woodstock, Waukegan, Buffalo Grove, Mundelein, and Gurnee 1049 AM CST Sat Jan 28 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Accumulating snow, heavy at times, and hazardous travel expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 7 inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 That band having a hard time setting up overhead here imby ..it's close. Just not producing yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Steady snow here with dendrites growing larger since 10 minutes ago. Coated sidewalks instantly. Looks like this first band will continue drifting North so hoping the radar fills in more southwest of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Snowing nicely here and side roads are covered. Would like to see south of us fill in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 GRR went into a lot of technical detail last discussion... I feel like I'm probably the only one who appreciates this stuff though. Quote HRRR profiles across the forecast area show transient conditional instability for elevated parcels this evening/tonight. Even in the absence of conditional instability, guidance shows small positive values of geostrophic EPV at saturation (EPVg*), indicating weak moist symmetric stability. These environmental considerations suggest that mesoscale ascent arising from frontogenesis may be occasionally robust, and that brief, locally enhanced precip/snowfall rates may occur. Additionally, HRRR profiles at several locations (e.g., MKG, GRR, LAN, RQB, and MOP) show a period of deep, saturated, and approximately isothermal profiles at temps warmer than -10C. This favors ice-crystal growth via aggregation (yielding fluffy clumps of flakes) and supports higher SLRs (15-18:1). However, if strong ascent beneath the DGZ occurs within any convective elements, appreciable riming/accretion may result (yielding snow pellets/graupel), with reduced SLRs during those periods. I think this is the kind of setting where you can get rapid changes between small grainy flakes and freezing drizzle and huge wet flakes depending on how strong the upward motion is locally. Forecasting accumulations can be hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Large flakes and nice snow globe action here lately with these enhanced bands redeveloping nearly overhead. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Been a pretty steady snow here since about 10am. The only negative about this happening today is we have to travel a little bit for a surprise birthday dinner. But otherwise, let it snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 7 minutes ago, mimillman said: Snowing nicely here and side roads are covered. Would like to see south of us fill in Yeah running out of time there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 3 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Large flakes and nice snow globe action here lately with these enhanced bands redeveloping nearly overhead. As they develop over you, they head for me. So keep doing your cloud seeding! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 1 minute ago, SchaumburgStormer said: As they develop over you, they head for me. So keep doing your cloud seeding! And after they hit you they head for me. So keep the train going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Watching the virga circle slowly shrink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 I feel like whoever sits under the 2nd band developing to the south of the first will be the big winner. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Got flakeage. Gonna be very transient here though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Cary#s jackpot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Already approaching .5” here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 2 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Already approaching .5” here Unfortunately, I think that end is in sight based on radar. For now anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 4 minutes ago, ChiTownSnow said: Unfortunately, I think that end is in sight based on radar. For now anyway Nah. Short to mid term trends looking solid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Based on the trajectory of the south band so far, looks like "northern" cook and points west are in the jackpot zone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Band slowly starting to pivot to a more west to east look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 3 hours ago, RCNYILWX said: I think the models also were too slow to saturate with southward extent. The fact that the lead band already is 25-30+ dBZ down in ILX CWA could very well be a sign of things setting up a bit south later on. But even if the band is progressive, should be a nice burst of snow moving through later this morning into early to mid afternoon. Definitely liking this evening too if the main band sets up northern tier and north during the afternoon. And finally, the NAM indeed was out to lunch haha. I'd still hedge a bit south of where the HRRR is putting the zone of freezing rain this evening. Expecting the advisory to be expanded south with the mid-late morning update and also the day shift will assess whether any part of northern Illinois in the WWA needs to be upgraded to a WSW. HRRR has been creeping south since you posted that. I'm more interested in the ice since the snow is going to be a non-event locally. Best ice zone could end up just to my south, but it should be close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Riding a razors edge in terms of southern extent here, but these higher returns are good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 just a couple tenths so far. Heavier rates knocking at the door so we'll see if things pick up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 13 minutes ago, mimillman said: Riding a razors edge in terms of southern extent here, but these higher returns are good Going to be interesting if the cutoff is near us. Might get 6"+ while the metro gets much less. Oof more like Northern burbs into Lake county get it good while central Cook and South are unlucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Just now, madwx said: just a couple tenths so far. Heavier rates knocking at the door so we'll see if things pick up Wonder if this is going to be one of those situations where the Beltline and points south end up with substantially more snow than the official airport total. Big pileup in Rock County yesterday attributed to white-out conditions from clipper squall, although to my knowledge no SSW ever issued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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