Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: 18z 3km nam nailed the dry slot This much rain to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: I think srn RI and SE MA could get a soaking. Agree SCT as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Look at HRRR it has this temp dry slot very well modeled then things explode in response to development of SW. I can see 1.5 to 2 in spots Yeah we’ll see. I can def buy it over SE zones but not sure how far NW those amounts will get. I’m certainly skeptical of some of those 3” amounts we saw from mesos earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 44 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Our heaviest precip really shouldn't be until we're approaching midnight, so I'm not too worried about this initial band. If eastern PA isn't lighting up in 2ish hours then we can start sounding the alarms up here. This is going according to how the models had it, Looks like by 10pm this should be starting to ramp up give or take depending on which model you want to hug. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yea maybe se MA does but I’m not expecting more than about 7 or 8 tenths looking at things. Wouldn’t be shocked if it was closer to a half inch….though there will be some convective elements in there so you can still get some decent amounts. To me that would also mean less wind and less penetration inland of big warmth . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I think srn RI and SE MA could get a soaking. Tblizz sold and you bought. Someone will lose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah we’ll see. I can def buy it over SE zones but not sure how far NW those amounts will get. I’m certainly skeptical of some of those 3” amounts we saw from mesos earlier. IDk about mesos earlier as I look at those more close to 12 hrs in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Some pingers mixed in here in Newtonville.Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: This is going according to how the models had it, Looks like by 10pm this should be starting to ramp up give or take depending on which model you want to hug. Seems exactly as they had it. What am I missing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: So did HRRR. People always give up before storms develop this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: To me that would also mean less wind and less penetration inland of big warmth . Guidance has trended less CAD today so not sure it’s going to stay below 40F over interior…maybe up by rt 2 back to N Berkshires. This whole system just trended more influence from the primary….which is part of the reason the forcing in the snow portion of this sucks so bad. We wanted more fording further east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: So did HRRR. People always give up before storms develop Who are those eBay skanks selling Scanners? HRRR also dropped 1-3” of snow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Latest guidance really hitting the wind hard for south coast with some burst of heavy rain and temps 50-55. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Seems exactly as they had it. What am I missing? Nothing, But many are missing it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Had a good burst of snow but I know I'll wake up to brown, wet ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Just light snow now. 1” total between the two different rounds so far today. I guess I’m expecting sleet later then rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 shitty rimed flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Just now, dryslot said: Nothing, But many are missing it. It def looks a bit worse to me than guidance earlier today had it. Might not make a huge difference up there but the dryslot never looked this big until we were really close in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yea maybe se MA does but I’m not expecting more than about 7 or 8 tenths looking at things. Wouldn’t be shocked if it was closer to a half inch….though there will be some convective elements in there so you can still get some decent amounts. More thunder and lighting down here? At least it looked nice for 20 minutes... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Meanwhile its -SN and 22/18/°F here, Holding off even 1 hr or so either side of when the mid levels warm enough for the changeover will play a big roll on accumulations up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Nothing, But many are missing it. That's a shit ton of precip down the coast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It def looks a bit worse to me than guidance earlier today had it. Might not make a huge difference up there but the dryslot never looked this big until we were really close in. Let em go . Feet incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: That's a shit ton of precip down the coast Much of that will slide ENE . Messenger sittin n smilin 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: It def looks a bit worse to me than guidance earlier today had it. Might not make a huge difference up there but the dryslot never looked this big until we were really close in. The start up for here had been looking showery at best until late evening in that regard, It does look on schedule, But the area for here to watch was mentioned by Chris, In NJ/NE PA, And that's where the models really was hitting the ramp up in QPF, That's my focus later plus the upstream obs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: That's a shit ton of precip down the coast We will rock for a period, The question i have, That we await the answer to Is, How long the period last before we flip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 maybe a 1/2 inch here still some light snow down to 27 though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 27.9° -SN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Taking a closer look our heavy rain is forecast to be blossoming over Eastern PA as we speak.. don’t see it as advertised yet probably just delayed a bit I’ll check back around 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Taking a closer look our heavy rain is forecast to be blossoming over Eastern PA as we speak.. don’t see it as advertised yet I’ll check back around 6. Probably aimed at Srn RI and SE MA. They’ll get a soaking 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 In plymouth right now and snow came in as a wall of white. Grass already covered Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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