WxUSAF Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 2 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Haven’t seen that look coast to coast in long time. It’s annoyingly 9-10 days away again, but it seems sorta inevitable that we get a respectable arctic blast in early February during Eric Webb’s triple fire emoji Niña Feb torch. Question is whether it’s December all over where it comes in behind a rain event and is bullied out of here by some POS 1012mb low in Tennessee like @mattie g suggested. But either way, we need some cold air nearby to have a chance, so hopefully we get something to work out before Webb’s blowtorch is delayed not denied. 4 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Yeah I’ll take it- I know it’s fantasy but I like it Euro did look interesting at end of run, control is basically the euro extended lol…. So we can dream…def a little window Feb 4-10 but we’ll see. Gotta keep the faith alive! . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 19 minutes ago, CAPE said: If that is close to reality probably the only failure modes are congrats SVA/NC, or bone dry. The latter seems less likely. Particularly with how active the STJ has been lately (btw this is an actual STJ, right?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Gfs at 201, looking better, something to work with now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 3 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Gfs at 201, looking better 468 thickness in Canada…impressive 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Just now, BristowWx said: 468 thickness in Canada…impressive Best opportunity, and lines up with 1-5 feb timeframe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Here we go….225 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 3 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Gfs at 201, looking better GFS/GEFS and to some extent the CMC have looked interesting for around Feb 1-2. Might be a tad early, but I think it is probably the first/earliest trackable threat window. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Just now, CAPE said: GFS/GEFS and to some extent the CMC have looked interesting for around Feb 1-2. Might be a tad early, but I think it is probably the first/earliest trackable threat window. Looks promising Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 NICE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 If only 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Just now, Solution Man said: NICE digital blue at happy hour! sick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Happy hour at 234 on GooFuS. Boom! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Just now, Scraff said: Happy hour at 234 on GooFuS. Boom! Need to hold on to this look through Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Just now, Solution Man said: Need to hold on to this look through Saturday Be lucky to hold it for 6hrs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 15 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Particularly with how active the STJ has been lately (btw this is an actual STJ, right?) It looks pretty decent as depicted. We are still in a Nina so not expecting PD 3 lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Feb 1 to 10. There's our window folks. If we can't get something out of this then we're S.O.L. for winter. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard Hunter Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Just now, TSSN+ said: Be lucky to hold it for 6hrs Normally you would be right, but I don't think GFS is only one sniffing this out. I have more faith than usual for this timeframe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: Be lucky to hold it for 6hrs The general idea has been there on the ens mean.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 For the memes 1 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 1 minute ago, CAPE said: It looks pretty decent as depicted. We are still in a Nina so not expecting PD 3 lol. Well duh, Presidents Day is 2 weeks after this! 1 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 44 minutes ago, CAPE said: Impressively cold look on the 12z EPS into the first week of Feb. No clear signal for precip at any given point yet, but overall suggestive of multiple chances with the boundary in a favorable spot. The last 2 times a TPV displacement teased then failed us it fell apart around day 7-8. The initial TPV split happens tomorrow. That’s a lock. But what really does the trick for us is around day 7 as the tpv attempts to consolidate the wave breaking from the EPO and WAR splits it a second time! That weakens it enough to allow it to be bullied south. If that fails this all falls apart again. I’m about 24 hours from feeling confident it’s real. Guidance has been remarkably good inside 7 days with key features. If the big 3 hold through 0z Wed I think we can start worrying about specifics not whether the whole pattern fails. Then of course we worry about the details we still would need luck with. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 1 minute ago, CAPE said: The general idea has been there on the ens mean.. Ya and so has many other systems this winter till it vanishes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 1 minute ago, Paleocene said: For the memes That’s it!? Pass. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Cold dump 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 1 minute ago, Paleocene said: For the memes That’s a megalopolis KU event right there. If only this once 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Well duh, Presidents Day is 2 weeks after this! Not expecting it 2 weeks later either. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: That’s a megalopolis KU event right there. If only this once Gimme that and I’ll call it good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Just now, Solution Man said: Gimme that and I’ll call it good It would be comical if we went above climo for snow this winter. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now