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January/February Mid/Long Range Disco IV: A New Hope


stormtracker
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The -PNA developing at 12z GFS ensembles at 384hr will probably not verify. That is what is probably our cold window/time (Feb 7-21) Dec -NAO/wetter than average is heavily followed by +NAO February (stronger signal than -NAO's that I was looking for!), so we will have to contend that with that perhaps. 

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I don't want the 12z gfs ensembles look to go anywhere!

Here's the cold that you guys have been talking about:

f252.thumb.gif.19301a59a34bb5189cae97ef6ae9f679.gif

And my continuum theory that in this time the cold has to correlate with +NAO, especially to get meaningful snow. Maybe if we get a Strong El Nino next year, it would break the ~10 year trend. 

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