Cobalt Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 6:11 PM, NorthArlington101 said: EURO looks better for Wednesday - don’t know if it’s gonna be enough but it looks more like a consolidated “storm” Expand A solid increase of about 0-2 millimeters worth of precipitation for southern areas compared to the previous run 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 5:51 PM, Chris78 said: There's [mention=2304]psuhoffman[/mention] thing strip of Frozen lolI’d take this run verbatim for your area over to time any day of the week - warning level snowfall and then some ice accretion on top, but I’m honestly rooting for everybody. Our chances are sparse as is, so it’d be nice to get as many people on board as possible (ALA moving that band east over the heart of the subforum) Probably a pipe dream, but I’m trying to be optimistic. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 6:14 PM, Cobalt said: A solid increase of about 0-2 millimeters worth of precipitation for southern areas compared to the previous runtrending!!! All jokes aside - I’d kill for a half inch. I’ll track this to its bitter failed end. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 Curious to see if GFS and Euro follow the seasonal trend and move things north over the next 48 hours. Still outside of NAMs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 WB 12Z GFS Day 13. No one mentioned the GFS storm at fantasy range at the end of the upcoming window of opportunity. Chasing the half inch storm this week puts me to sleep… 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2023 Author Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 6:26 PM, Weather Will said: WB 12Z GFS Day 13. No one mentioned the GFS storm at fantasy range at the end of the upcoming window of opportunity. Chasing the half inch storm this week puts me to sleep… Expand Probably because it's at 300 hours + 8 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 6:33 PM, stormtracker said: Probably because it's at 300 hours + Expand We excel at the 300+ hr digital storms, so we know we do that right at least. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 We went most of January with little to track. We used to have luck with snowstorms on the weekends…. the next two upcoming weekends give us a better chance than the last four….although EURO is not buying the Can. east coast low scenario for next weekend yet….enjoy the football games! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 Here is my rule. When a substantial cold shot comes (like the Euro shows) is coming and settles in for 2-4 days usually we get a snow or some kind of winter event before it warms up. I think this is one of those Winter 101 rules in most if any winter season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 6:14 PM, Cobalt said: A solid increase of about 0-2 millimeters worth of precipitation for southern areas compared to the previous run Expand Big move though 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 We will still open for HH this evening 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 6:43 PM, Weather Will said: We went most of January with little to track. We used to have luck with snowstorms on the weekends…. the next two upcoming weekends give us a better chance than the last four….although EURO is not buying the Can. east coast low scenario for next weekend yet….enjoy the football games! Expand the euro did look interesting at 240 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 One year ago today 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 12z combined bwi ens snow probability through 0z 2/6 1”: 33% 3”: 6% 6”: 3% 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 7:48 PM, psuhoffman said: 12z combined bwi ens snow probability through 0z 2/6 1”: 33% 3”: 6% 6”: 3%Going wrong way bro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 6:33 PM, stormtracker said: Probably because it's at 300 hours +It’s not like anything’s fallen apart that looked good from 10+ days out this season….Oh wait . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 7:25 PM, J.Mike said: One year ago today Expand Quite a contrast. That storm put me over 19" here. A tenth from a flizzard so far this winter lol. 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 8:01 PM, CAPE said: Quite a contrast. That storm put me over 19" here. A tenth from a flizzard so far this winter lol. Feels like that house belongs in Garrett county 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 7:48 PM, psuhoffman said: 12z combined bwi ens snow probability through 0z 2/6 1”: 33% 3”: 6% 6”: 3%From your experience, do ensembles or OPs tend to have a better handle on things in the D1-D5 range? I only ask because I wonder how using operating models in the very short term would impact those probabilities, if at all. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 8:02 PM, Ji said: On 1/29/2023 at 8:01 PM, CAPE said: Quite a contrast. That storm put me over 19" here. A tenth from a flizzard so far this winter lol. Expand Feels like that house belongs in Garrett county Expand lol I would love to move it. I look, but just cant find anything close. I built this exactly the way I wanted it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 8:01 PM, CAPE said: Quite a contrast. That storm put me over 19" here. A tenth from a flizzard so far this winter lol. Expand Gorgeous house. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 8:04 PM, CAPE said: lol I would love to move it. I look, but just cant find anything close. I built this exactly the way I wanted it.Beautiful home! . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 8:05 PM, jayyy said: Beautiful home! . Expand Thanks. Makes it hard to leave though. Might have to get another place out in the western highlands. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 #itshappening 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 8:08 PM, NorthArlington101 said: #itshappening Expand Speaking of Ian, where the f he been? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 We can only go up from here on the WB 12Z EPS… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 6:13 PM, NorthArlington101 said: Yeah it’s definitely not enough but it throws a T-.5” in parts of Central VA. Better than the nothing from last run. Expand We don’t want it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 8:08 PM, NorthArlington101 said: #itshappening Expand I’d take a car topper…starving man doesn’t turn down head cheese sandwich Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 8:01 PM, CAPE said: Quite a contrast. That storm put me over 19" here. A tenth from a flizzard so far this winter lol. Expand One of my favorite pictures on here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 12k NAM is the closest to being on board for Wednesday that it’s been, FWIW. Probably not worth much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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