yoda Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 Its close... but its a i81 snowstorm... GFS claims snow as its best guess precip type on its soundings at DCA at 201 but its def not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 WB 0Z GFS NEXT Mib. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 4:27 AM, yoda said: Its close... but its a i81 snowstorm... GFS claims snow on its soundings at DCA at 204 Expand Yep….something to watch….good runs tonight 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 What's odd to me is that looks suspiciously like a Miller A type storm on the 00z GFS for day 8 into day 9... ETA -- 00z CMC has the same idea.. but its too warm for everyone and track is along the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 4:31 AM, yoda said: What's odd to me is that looks suspiciously like a Miller A type storm on the 00z GFS for day 8 into day 9... Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 WB OZ GFS NEXT Monday. OZ GEFS has only one member with this setup… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 4:33 AM, Weather Will said: Expand Something brewing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 4:36 AM, Solution Man said: Something brewing Expand One run….let’s see if it is there by am…and I will wait for GEFS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 WB 0Z Can has it too but rain storm for NEXT Mon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 12:17 AM, Ralph Wiggum said: CFS says we rock in March with a gradient pattern but we've seen this song and dance before. But the SSWE, the solar flares, and the WDI gotta mean something. Expand We need another Volcanic eruption 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 Our winter ... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 FWIW, 00z EURO wanted no part of anything tonight Only interesting thing on this run: 1.) Early Friday morning high as temps drop throughout the day into the 20s 2.) Temps Friday night into Saturday morning are single digits for all (W MD and usual colder locations go below zero). Wind Chill Advisories will be needed -- -5 to -15 across the region with -25 in the colder locations 3.) Saturday we sit in the "freezer" as highs do not go above 20 at DCA... N MD stays in the mid teens for highs. Wind chills in the -5 to 10 degree range all day across the region 4.) Sunday morning lows are in the teens for all Also, never seen DPs in the -20s before that the 00z EURO depicts for Saturday 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 its sad we keep grabbing onto the next storm the next storm will have enough cold will be in the right spot. then a few days it changes trends worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 7:37 AM, Ruin said: its sad we keep grabbing onto the next storm the next storm will have enough cold will be in the right spot. then a few days it changes trends worse. Expand I know we’ve had some bad winters but always managed to sneak in something. Let’s hope this winter is the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 06z RGEM a lil stronger with the snow totals for early Wed morning... more 2" totals showing up with some 3" as well N MD also does better this run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 9:49 AM, yoda said: 06z RGEM a lil stronger with the snow totals for early Wed morning... more 2" totals showing up with some 3" as well Expand WB 6Z RGEM 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 06z GFS continues its CHO eastward to EZF and into S MD... 1-3 with local 4" totals 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 WB 6Z GFS…. Where will the pencil thin band of 1-3 inches land??? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 GFS early next Monday storm was a one run phenom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 9:55 AM, yoda said: 06z GFS continues its CHO eastward to EZF and into S MD... 1-3 with local 4" totals Expand It it looks like it shifted every so slightly north from 0z..we don’t need much to see something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 If nothing else it looks like a shot of Arctic air with wind-chills by Saturday. Check out the ocean effect snow on the Euro lol. Who has a boat? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 Several GEFS members suggest a more significant wave Friday into Saturday. With the depicted tightening thermal gradient it makes some sense. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 11:19 AM, CAPE said: Several GEFS members suggest a more significant wave Friday into Saturday. With the depicted tightening thermal gradient it makes some sense.0c down at the VA / NC border too. Plenty of cold air to work with with a 1037 high there. Come on baby, let’s reel one of these suckers in. Was hoping to cash in in some capacity on a couple of these waves, but it may be the final wave leading into a pattern shift which could produce our first legit areawide snowfall. Those are often the bigger waves too and we certainly aren’t foreign to pattern shift storms in these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 9:57 AM, Weather Will said: WB 6Z GFS…. Where will the pencil thin band of 1-3 inches land??? Expand Does the 6z euro like this? 0z did not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 06z GFS tries to being the 2/5 wave up the coast, but it skirts offshore too far south. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 10:23 AM, Weather Will said: GFS early next Monday storm was a one run phenom. Expand It will come back. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 4:36 AM, Solution Man said: Something brewing Expand It's called rain 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 9:53 AM, yoda said: 06z RGEM a lil stronger with the snow totals for early Wed morning... more 2" totals showing up with some 3" as well N MD also does better this run Expand I'm pulling for you guys....for anyone along i95 DC - NYC for that matter. Let someone hit something this winter ffs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 9:54 AM, Weather Will said: WB 6Z RGEM Expand On 1/29/2023 at 11:59 AM, jayyy said: 06z GFS tries to being the 2/5 wave up the coast, but it skirts offshore too far south. . Expand You don't want that coming North or your BL thermals are shot. Weak and progressive is really the only way in this pattern. Take the 4km wide swath of frozen and savor the fuck out of it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/29/2023 at 11:54 AM, BristowWx said: Does the 6z euro like this? 0z did not Expand No…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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