January 23rd Storm Threat: keeping positive vibes, ending chances of futility

[ORH_wxman]

4 minutes ago, wkd said:

People should post 'positive snow depth change' maps instead of total snowfall.

Those can be way too low though at times if the snow is coming down at anything heavier than light snow...usually it ends up in the middle somewhere. If it stays mostly light snow, then the depth maps are prob pretty decent in a marginal airmass.

[jbenedet]

13 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I think folks are gonna want elevations in SNE today to accumulate more than 1-2” , unless eastern areas can wait till after 3pm and still see .3 +qpf

Yea timing was poor in both directions. Precip moved in after sunset last night but 850-925 was the main problem. Now 850-925 cool enough for snow, but best snows move in with crap airmass in early afternoon. A lot of 32.5 - 34.0 snow to fall which doesn't stack well without rates; and a 990 mb low doesn't get me excited about the rate potential. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

Electricity and cell signal would be nice right now

[powderfreak]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Those can be way too low though at times if the snow is coming down at anything heavier than light snow...usually it ends up in the middle somewhere. If it stays mostly light snow, then the depth maps are prob pretty decent in a marginal airmass.

The best way is to just know and understand the snow maps aren't to be taken literally, but to show the area where the model thinks that amount of water might fall as snow.  Use your own ratios to figure out up or down from there.

The other way would be to just use the p-type accumulation maps... ie model thinks 0.50-0.75" will be snow.  

[Professional Lurker]

Just got done shoveling. I have several huge white pines across the street. A huge limb from way up came crashing down, missed the power lines by about 3 feet. Time to shower, crank the heat, and fill water containers...

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[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

Electricity and cell signal would be nice right now

Days and days 

[wx2fish]

Flipped to mostly-sn for the moment. Still more snow left on the trees than I expected given a half inch of rain. 

[DavisStraight]

My sister lost power this morning in York quite a few places lost power.

[DJln491]

I'll be happy if I see a few flakes fly in a couple hours.  Not expecting anything more.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Electricity and cell signal would be nice right now

I was wondering where you were

[Cold Miser]

1 minute ago, DJln491 said:

I'll be happy if I see a few flakes fly in a couple hours.  Not expecting anything more.

You can always go into the Mid Atlantic forum to see snow pics as well from this morning.  There is plenty of snow all around us, and definitely not including us.

[powderfreak]

Can see the swath on CoCoRAHS of snowfall ending at 7am.

Probably moving a bit south of there today?  But that's generally the modeled axis in this storm.

[J Paul Gordon]

Hoping for another 2-4 here later, but no complaints. The temperature has been hanging at 32 for about 15 hours. Light accretion of ice on trees but with the heavy sow on them from Friday, we've had a few branches down, mostly on pine trees. Still looks like a winter wonderland out there. Considering what we've had for a "winter", I'm not complaining.

[wx2fish]

20 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

They are out to lunch sometimes 

Nashua May have been rough . I saw they were frozen thru 4am

There was probably 1.5" or so there. There wasn't much melting. I still had to clean the driveway this am. 

[tavwtby]

picked up a little more than .5" last night before it flipped, now it seems I'm right on the edge of the goods as they pivot SE, hoping to grab at least a couple inches as this wraps up, need to really rip tho, as it appears the column is at 33...

[mahk_webstah]

27 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Pounding easily 3”hour.  1” from 8:35-9:30 for a total of 7 but dramatic increase in rates last few minutes and radar looks even better.

Yup.  1.5” in 30 minutes confirmed, but has slowed a bit so was probably 4”/hour for maybe 15 minutes 

[HoarfrostHubb]

Flipped to snow here after a bunch of cold rain

[CoastalWx]

I had 9"/hr for 30 seconds once. 

[alex]

6 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Can see the swath on CoCoRAHS of snowfall ending at 7am.

Probably moving a bit south of there today?  But that's generally the modeled axis in this storm.

What are the colors? Wondering what that red dot next to me is

[snowgeek]

About 6” here with steady moderate. Branches hanging low.


.

[mahk_webstah]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

I had 9"/hr for 30 seconds once. 

Don’t be jelly honey

[powderfreak]

Just now, alex said:

What are the colors? Wondering what that red dot next to me is

NH-CS-19: Carroll 4.6 NE

  Obs DateJan 23, 2023

 Obs Time07:00 AM

  Gauge Catch0.59 in

  Snowfall

  Depth 8.0 in

  SWE 0.60 in

  Snowpack

  Depth 16.0 in

  SWE NA

Notes

Snow started 7pm, 0700 OBS:moderate snow,temp 24.1

[40/70 Benchmark]

10 minutes ago, wx2fish said:

Flipped to mostly-sn for the moment. Still more snow left on the trees than I expected given a half inch of rain. 

Yea, once get inside of 495, it vaporizes within a few miles.

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I had 9"/hr for 30 seconds once. 

jspin had 15”/hr with just 1 flake

[Modfan2]

Steady as she goes here in Central E CT, 35F with a light N wind

[40/70 Benchmark]

14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Those can be way too low though at times if the snow is coming down at anything heavier than light snow...usually it ends up in the middle somewhere. If it stays mostly light snow, then the depth maps are prob pretty decent in a marginal airmass.

I think those are better in marginal setups....like the NARCAN maps.

[dendrite]

2.7” new in 3hrs. Up to 7.8” 

[ineedsnow]

3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Flipped to snow here after a bunch of cold rain

No zr? Had some here brushed off my car came back out and it was incased in ice

[Kitz Craver]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I had 9"/hr for 30 seconds once. 

Kinky

[powderfreak]

5 minutes ago, alex said:

What are the colors? Wondering what that red dot next to me is

Last evening there was a meso-band on radar arcing right through C.VT... Killington area and just north of there.  Heading up towards your area.

Can see it on the reports pretty well with 8-12" overnight in that zone.