January 23rd Storm Threat: keeping positive vibes, ending chances of futility

[tunafish]

Even with 10 hours of IP/SN mix I might have a chance at double digits.  Was at 5.8" with the 1PM obs but have had steady rates and great growth since about 3PM.

[PowderBeard]

17 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

This event really seems to have the hallmarks of a lateral quasi-stationary (think parallel) band transitioning to a pivot. The orientation of that departing equatorward jet streak was definitely more SW/NE than WNW/ESE, which tends to promote that parallel band riding along storm track. That's what I think it pumping our highest totals up over a foot, pushing 18", vs a more uniform 6-10" followed by the pivot.

"The ribbon" that most hi-res models were showing?  

[lurker]

Crushed.

[mahk_webstah]

20 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

This event really seems to have the hallmarks of a lateral quasi-stationary (think parallel) band transitioning to a pivot. The orientation of that departing equatorward jet streak was definitely more SW/NE than WNW/ESE, which tends to promote that parallel band riding along storm track. That's what I think it pumping our highest totals up over a foot, pushing 18", vs a more uniform 6-10" followed by the pivot.

I watched this during the night and all day, and that is what I observed.  The WAA push was good and it was sw-ne.  then this morning it was more s-n and then later in the morning and midday there was a bit of push back to the nw, and the band has rotted and reformed for a few hours.  I don't ever recall being in the pivot but I was today 

[ORH_wxman]

Snow growth isn't pristine like it was in that first monster band, but vis is down again and it "Feels" like a snowstorm in this stuff.

 

 

[dendrite]

Still steadily accumulating. Keep it coming.

[OceanStWx]

Just now, PowderBeard said:

"The ribbon" that most hi-res models were showing?  

They obviously correctly picked up on the right forcing mechanism. I kind of shook off the HRRR forecasts over double digits for me, but it kept nagging me how consistent the mesos were.

[mahk_webstah]

27 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Hasn't let up but i see the backedge approaching.

Hopefully you redevelp and rot like back here.  We are still going decently and I thought it would be doen a while ago.

[mahk_webstah]

23 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

What the hell is this white stuff?

That's so awesome!  The dog in my pics was a 4 month old when we had our 28" Dec 2020 storm.  She went crazy.

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Snow growth isn't pristine like it was in that first monster band, but vis is down again and it "Feels" like a snowstorm in this stuff.

 

 

One last one blowing up as it moves this way shortly 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

9 minutes ago, Chris12WX said:

Every tree limb in the neighborhood is being structurally tested right now. Shot gun blasts left and right.

Hopefully it sounds like WWIII Wednesday nite 

[Lava Rock]

8 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

And I'm trying to tease out why we're going to miss low on the forecast, especially with totals in a relatively narrow band that are pushing some real deal snowstorm numbers. This time yesterday was just moving from a 6-8" event to 8-12" for portions of the area, and some are going to end up 15-18". 

We'll take the over achiever storms.

[mahk_webstah]

4 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Still steadily accumulating. Keep it coming.

It just keeps redeveloping.

[OceanStWx]

Just now, Lava Rock said:

We'll take the over achiever storms.

I know, but I loathe missing a category of storm. There's a big difference between 8 and 18 inches.

[wxsniss]

10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Snow growth isn't pristine like it was in that first monster band, but vis is down again and it "Feels" like a snowstorm in this stuff.

 

 

Agree

I posted about that earlier... looks like best lift is now below DGZ vs. better crosshair earlier

And correlated with KBOS ticking up to 33.8 (an effect, not a cause)... and streets clearing up quickly

 

 

[mahk_webstah]

5 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

They obviously correctly picked up on the right forcing mechanism. I kind of shook off the HRRR forecasts over double digits for me, but it kept nagging me how consistent the mesos were.

You on a shift for Wed?  I was pessimistic but it looks like its happening.  Thats a lot of snow for us in 6 days.  7 + 15 +8-12?

[wxsniss]

By far, the best report I just received related to this snowstorm: "he refuses to fall asleep for his nap, he is too excited about the snow" (referring to my 2.5-year-old son)

[ineedsnow]

I guess mount Wachusett just lost power

[OceanStWx]

4 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

You on a shift for Wed?  I was pessimistic but it looks like its happening.  Thats a lot of snow for us in 6 days.  7 + 15 +8-12?

I'm on, but swing shift, so mostly just keeping the forecast in the lane.

[weathafella]

Nice banding setting up for the finale.  Might pick up another inch.

[mahk_webstah]

2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

I'm on, but swing shift, so mostly just keeping the forecast in the lane.

Well will be interesting to see if you need to make some lane adjustments.

[ORH_wxman]

8 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

Agree

I posted about that earlier... looks like best lift is now below DGZ vs. better crosshair earlier

And correlated with KBOS ticking up to 33.8 (an effect, not a cause)... and streets clearing up quickly

 

 

Funny I posted that and literally liken5 min later we are pounding perfect dendrites again. Awesome snow growth…must be a deeper area of lift punching the DGZ in this band here. 
 

 

[dryslot]

11 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

I know, but I loathe missing a category of storm. There's a big difference between 8 and 18 inches.

Beer?

[dryslot]

6-12" on thurs is a good spot, It will come down to how quick the cold air gets scoured out in the mid levels

.

[OceanStWx]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Beer?

I mean, yes, but I was also on my couch.

[SouthCoastMA]

1/2" on the deck

[HIPPYVALLEY]

I have a newish neighbor, who is a high school science teacher, and occasionally lurks here.   He did a few core samples and said the snow was 7:1 water ratio.  
Man snow! 

[wxsniss]

5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Funny I posted that and literally liken5 min later we are pounding perfect dendrites again. Awesome snow growth…must be a deeper area of lift punching the DGZ in this band here. 
 

 

Nice! Hoping that propagates downstream, visibilities currently > 1 mile closer to Boston

The crappy BL temps are more apparent when snowgrowth and rates are poor

Metro area might pull off another 0.5-1" as this last band rotates in

 

[wxmanmitch]

10.2" storm total here on 1.21" liquid. Nice little storm. Very dense snow with a definite bluish hue. There's a slight crust about 5" down so I had a very brief flip to freezing rain/drizzle overnight.

Amazingly no power losses other than a few flickers so far although the wind has begun to ramp up so there may be some going forward. Total depth at 17". 

 

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, OceanStWx said:

I mean, yes, but I was also on my couch.

Hi res and mesos kept painting that narrow weenie stripe over the same areas and they did a good job as it came to fruition, I thought 6-10" was safe bet, I'm about ready to call in my update to the WFO for 6:00pm