January 23rd Storm Threat: keeping positive vibes, ending chances of futility

[TalcottWx]

Let's get Monday to keep coming south. Change the vibes. 

I'm determined to go 1/1 on storms to start the year.

Let's snow.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Edibles is the most likely culprit for ^this post 

up and in 

[Chris12WX]

  On 1/20/2023 at 1:11 PM, TalcottWx said:

Let's get Monday to keep coming south. Change the vibes. 

I'm determined to go 1/1 on storms to start the year.

Let's snow.

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This didn't age well. Over its last 3 runs the NAM has moved the LP center from southeast of ACK, to ACK, to Boston Harbor.

The GFS is drifting east though.

[TalcottWx]

  On 1/20/2023 at 4:34 PM, Chris12WX said:

This didn't age well. Over its last 3 runs the NAM has moved the LP center from southeast of ACK, to ACK, to Boston Harbor.

The GFS is drifting east though.

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I tried. Doug Flutie goes deep.

[mahk_webstah]

You should've done this in Gaelic.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

  On 1/20/2023 at 5:19 PM, TalcottWx said:

I tried. Doug Flutie goes deep.

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Ukie seems to be trying 

[ORH_wxman]

  On 1/20/2023 at 5:43 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Ukie seems to be trying 

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Don’t do it

[STILL N OF PIKE]

  On 1/20/2023 at 6:07 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Don’t do it

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I’m gonna be in central NH Sunday nite near Sunapee  . I’m just noting the Ukie 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Euro likes Berks to S VT to Monads and foothills of Maine 

[wx2fish]

  On 1/20/2023 at 6:13 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Euro likes Berks to S VT to Monads and foothills of Maine 

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12z run was a tick colder for those areas. Sunapee might be in a decent spot. 

[ORH_wxman]

  On 1/20/2023 at 6:09 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I’m gonna be in central NH Sunday nite near Sunapee  . I’m just noting the Ukie 

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Ok yeah...they will prob do ok....most people south of there are prob cooked.

[mahk_webstah]

Latest WPC has the low at about the canal.  Still plenty of qpf.

[40/70 Benchmark]

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/01/very-active-pattern-favors-multiple.html

[ORH_wxman]

Happy hour NAM.....

 

[wx2fish]

  On 1/20/2023 at 9:00 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Happy hour NAM.....

 

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Keep telling myself "don't do it" 

[ORH_wxman]

  On 1/20/2023 at 9:00 PM, wx2fish said:

Keep telling myself "don't do it" 

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It would be really hard to resist in your spot. I feel pretty good about punting here, but if I was up by NH border, I'd still be getting sucked in.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

  On 1/20/2023 at 9:02 PM, ORH_wxman said:

It would be really hard to resist in your spot. I feel pretty good about punting here, but if I was up by NH border, I'd still be getting sucked in.

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You told me “don’t do it “ lol but even in Nashua I’m not , if I had 500’ plus here I may 

[mahk_webstah]

  On 1/20/2023 at 9:16 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

You told me “don’t do it “ lol but even in Nashua I’m not , if I had 500’ plus here I may 

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at 625 nnw of CON I am dangerously emotionally in.

[Chris12WX]

  On 1/20/2023 at 9:16 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

You told me “don’t do it “ lol but even in Nashua I’m not , if I had 500’ plus here I may 

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Nothing to see here. Move along.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

  On 1/20/2023 at 9:20 PM, mahk_webstah said:

at 625 nnw of CON I am dangerously emotionally in.

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Hope you see a 8”er 

[mahk_webstah]

  On 1/20/2023 at 9:56 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Hope you see a 8”er 

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dilf storm?

[ORH_wxman]

  On 1/20/2023 at 9:48 PM, Chris12WX said:

Nothing to see here. Move along.

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This storm is prob just a tease from like an ASH-ORH axis....I'd want to be up in the monadnocks and up near CON and NW to be invested.

[wx2fish]

  On 1/20/2023 at 9:59 PM, ORH_wxman said:

This storm is prob just a tease from like an ASH-ORH axis....I'd want to be up in the monadnocks and up near CON and NW to be invested.

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Agree. 18z gfs ticking colder doesn't make it easier though 

[mahk_webstah]

  On 1/20/2023 at 9:59 PM, ORH_wxman said:

This storm is prob just a tease from like an ASH-ORH axis....I'd want to be up in the monadnocks and up near CON and NW to be invested.

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I've put 25K on the table but reserving 50 for Wednesday

[ineedsnow]

  On 1/20/2023 at 9:59 PM, ORH_wxman said:

This storm is prob just a tease from like an ASH-ORH axis....I'd want to be up in the monadnocks and up near CON and NW to be invested.

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Hopefully we can trend this just a bit

[ineedsnow]

Watches already out for VT

Winter Storm Watch

---

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albany NY
604 PM EST Fri Jan 20 2023

VTZ013>015-211030-
/O.CAN.KALY.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-230121T0000Z/
/O.CON.KALY.WS.A.0001.230122T2100Z-230123T1800Z/
Bennington-Western Windham-Eastern Windham-
Including the cities of Stamford, Bennington,
Woodford State Park, Pownal, Stratton, Londonderry, Brattleboro,
Guilford Center, West Brattleboro, and Bellows Falls
604 PM EST Fri Jan 20 2023

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible Sunday afternoon through Monday
  afternoon. Total snow accumulations of 7 inches or more
  possible.

* WHERE...Bennington, Western Windham and Eastern Windham
  Counties.

* WHEN...From Sunday afternoon through Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be hazardous into this evening and
  difficult later Sunday into Monday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow showers will continue this afternoon
  before gradually tapering off tonight. Greatest amounts will
  be at elevations above 1000 feet. The actual track of a winter
  storm Sunday into Monday remains uncertain and this will
  impact how much snow occurs

[HIPPYVALLEY]

  On 1/20/2023 at 11:12 PM, ineedsnow said:

Hopefully we can trend this just a bit

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BOX dialed way back from this afternoon. Calling for 1-2” for you and Dave and basically nothing for me.  I almost feel like the numbers they had up this afternoon were an error?   Had you getting 4-8”. 

[DJln491]

Pretty big shift southeast by the gfs.  Still leaves many of us in SNE without, but here’s to hoping for a late trend. 

[dryslot]

Ha just stumbled on to his thread for the 23rd, Surprised by who started it, QPF distribution is quite thin, Ribbon thin but if you end up in that sliver, Its going to rock.

[mahk_webstah]

  On 1/21/2023 at 1:20 AM, dryslot said:

Ha just stumbled on to his thread for the 23rd, Surprised by who started it, QPF distribution is quite thin, Ribbon thin but if you end up in that sliver, Its going to rock.

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we sliver.