Solution Man Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 GFS sounding is backend snows North and West of DC at 87 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Why.. why why.. is it so warm! LOL! The track is not bad, but the warmth is annoying. Maybe can tick down on the temps a bit and be happier. GFS has been terrible, so I hope it still is, but we do know, we fail easily in these parts so that door is wide open, and we are likely to walk into the failure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 GFS / NAM showing some snow for my area. Therefor I keep some hope alive I see an inch or two out of this. Any accumulating snow would be nice at this point honestly. I need some snow in my life. That 4-5” I saw up in Rochester NY held me over, but I need some hometown snow. Would I prefer an advisory to warning level snow? Of course. Will I celebrate a slushy 2” out of a low chance threat? Fucking right I will. . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DE2PA Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Continued positive tilt. At this point its the only thing to keep cheering for in that model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DE2PA Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 minute ago, jayyy said: GFS / NAM showing some snow for my area. Therefor I keep some hope alive I see an inch or two out of this. Any accumulating snow would be nice at this point honestly. I need some snow in my life. That 4-5” I saw up in Rochester NY held me over, but I need some hometown snow. Would I prefer an advisory to warning level snow? Of course. Will I celebrate a slushy 2” out of a low chance threat? Fucking right I will. . Haven’t seen a flake since my trip to WY in October. Imagine reach prim climate before thanksgiving. Anyway, I feel you on this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 The differences between some of these models 72hrs out is embarrassing. Agreed. I know it’s not a perfect science and technology is improving as we go along… but my god. 45 and rain and 33 and 2-3” of snow IMBY is a pretty big spread 3 days out. Really hope 00z tonight into 12z tomorrow brings some clarity. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 You guys can count on the NAM. It’s reliable. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DE2PA Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: You guys can count on the NAM. It’s reliable. If there was a sole model that could be counted on then this job would so easy a monkey could it. Instead, we have models that I can only imagine were created by a monkey fucking a football. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DE2PA Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Maybe thats the long game for Pro Mets… Create computer models that are so bad, that the human element of the job cannot be replaced. Will always need a warm body that can read between the lines. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 50 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Pops two lows at 72…different The euro did that at 12z also but no one noticed because it was too warm to matter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: The euro did that at 12z also but no one noticed because it was too warm to matter. Too bad, so damn warm and no cold air Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 19, 2023 Author Share Posted January 19, 2023 50 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: Why.. why why.. is it so warm! PSU will be here in 3....2....1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 You guys can count on the NAM. It’s reliable.I prefer my digital snow porn in 12 or 32k . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Cow farts 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Cow farts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 Or...southerly flow from the surface to the stratosphere may have something to do with it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 6 minutes ago, poolz1 said: Or...southerly flow from the surface to the stratosphere may have something to do with it? There is southerly flow ahead of any wave. If there was cold it wouldn’t matter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 WB 18Z EURO 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 34 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z EURO Better or worse? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Better or worse? Noise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 Just now, psuhoffman said: Noise It’s close here, so noise matters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: It’s close here, so noise matters. Ya it might matter but it’s still noise when the rain snow line moves 7 miles lol. It’s random error not necessarily a trend. It’s also hard to compare bevstaw 12z dropped like 1-2” on northern areas with that late development and 18z ends before we see that part. But comparing up until then they are close in terms of where the snow is. 18z upped totals an inch or two in some banding. I saw nothing that looked like a real significant change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 Nam doing Nam things Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: Noise Cow farts make a lot of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 7 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Nam doing Nam things I approve of the Nam doing nam things lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 20, 2023 Author Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said: It’s close here, so noise matters. Brother we are so close. Probably the worst place to be in all honesty. We will track and create threads and dream and still get crushed in the end most likely. Would be better off to the east where you know it is over. This winter sucks. And I will say it again. If we have another Nina next winter I am going to just go play golf all winter. F this shit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 Brother we are so close. Probably the worst place to be in all honesty. We will track and create threads and dream and still get crushed in the end most likely. Would be better off to the east where you know it is over. This winter sucks. And I will say it again. If we have another Nina next winter I am going to just go play golf all winter. F this shit. we’re soooo close. I’m going to be of the same mindset if our area gets near shafted the rest of the winter . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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