DE2PA Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 minute ago, Ravens94 said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 2 minutes ago, DE2PA said: Metro yes but west are way in the game still 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 3 hours ago, clskinsfan said: My first time starting a storm thread. Lets see how it goes. 12Z NAM brings snow into NW DC this run 1 hour ago, stormtracker said: Never make a thread again. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Maybe we could make a thread apologizing to the snow gods for this one … Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 hour ago, jayyy said: I think my area over to emittsburg and points WNW could catch some snow out of the Sunday - Mon event. The odds of a significant event are fading quickly, but I’m not ruling out a couple inches at this juncture. It’s too early to throw in the towel for my area. . Same for my location in western augusta county 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 19, 2023 Author Share Posted January 19, 2023 Euro bailed. We are struggling to tread water right now. Apparently I dont have the goods to make a storm thread. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 FWIW the NAM is actually going to be colder than 12z 7 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 NAM brings the snow N&W areas! Just hoping trends continue and more get some snow love on all models. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Not going to hold my breath on the NAM look here, BUT if I'm not mistaken one of @CAPE's big hits last year was a storm that looked certain to be OTS/too far north (can't remember which way the globals had it) and was first brought back to us by... the NAM 12km. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Shit, I’d take 2-3” and run with it. Especially out of the storm thats the least likely to pan out next week. Doubt the NAM scores a coup here, but it’s happened once or twice before. Likely another storm where it’s too cold / wet bias is skewing output. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 17 minutes ago, baltosquid said: Not going to hold my breath on the NAM look here, BUT if I'm not mistaken one of @CAPE's big hits last year was a storm that looked certain to be OTS/too far north (can't remember which way the globals had it) and was first brought back to us by... the NAM 12km. Ya. We will be hoping for the best here, but preparing for the worst. Pinning hopes on the NAM and a very marginal airmass. It will work out somewhere.. get a little elevation and you can start getting a bit more enthusiastic. I am not biting yet. I would think this will be less than 10:1 during the day. Snowfall accumulation should be reduced because it is the NAM, it is not 10:1, and we just are not super cold. NOW, we do have a good sun angle (had to say it!) so that at least is helpful, but falling at night would be better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Not going to hold my breath on the NAM look here, BUT if I'm not mistaken one of [mention=1005]CAPE[/mention]'s big hits last year was a storm that looked certain to be OTS/too far north (can't remember which way the globals had it) and was first brought back to us by... the NAM 12km. Really hoping to see improvements at 00z tonight as we get closer to the 72 hour window. Especially on the GFS. Models should be beginning to line up over the next day or so. Pretty decent spread remains considering it’s D3ish 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Just now, jayyy said: Really hoping to see improvements at 00z tonight as we approach the 72 hour window. Especially on the GFS. . 12z GFS was colder. PSU mentioned models are starting to meet in the middle which won't get it done. It's not hopeless yet though. This should be the type of system that if it does take a decent track any area that gets heavy precip. and has some elevation would be in the game for some snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Namd baby 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Icon is definitely different long duration and low is placed SE still warm but 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DE2PA Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 YouTube Mets are CASHING in on the hopes and dreams of a I-95 corridor snowstorm. So much bold Ariel font. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Time 3 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
windycutter Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
windycutter Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 2 minutes ago, windycutter said: A touch warm 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 4 minutes ago, windycutter said: A touch warm So close. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DE2PA Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 7 minutes ago, windycutter said: A touch warm Ready for the GFS to do full 180 now. Lock it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 GFS is about the same as 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 minute ago, DE2PA said: Ready for the GFS to do full 180 now. Lock it in. Pops two lows at 72…different 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Did I mention there is no cold air 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 The differences between some of these models 72hrs out is embarrassing. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
windycutter Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Still warm...frustrating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: The differences between some of these models 72hrs out is embarrassing. Yes it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 GFS so caved to the european in terms of track over the past few days. anyway..dosent matter...Nam is snowy and thats what i am going with 3 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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