clskinsfan Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 My first time starting a storm thread. Lets see how it goes. 12Z NAM brings snow into NW DC this run 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 19, 2023 Author Share Posted January 19, 2023 NAM sounding from NW DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 19, 2023 Author Share Posted January 19, 2023 RGEM not so good. Drives the LP over Snowshoe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 8 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: NAM sounding from NW DC. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 3 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: RGEM not so good. Drives the LP over Snowshoe. Nam and RGEM are both crappy models that I wouldn't trust even at 24 hours out lol. Id rather have them show a positive outcome but probably doesn't matter what either shows at this point lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Congrats to those who will see snow. Think of those that won’t but enjoy nonetheless 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 19, 2023 Author Share Posted January 19, 2023 Just now, Chris78 said: Nam and RGEM are both crappy models that I wouldn't trust even at 24 hours out lol. Id rather have them show a positive outcome but probably doesn't matter what either shows at this point lol. Oh I agree. I am just stating what they are showing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 minute ago, H2O said: Congrats to those who will see snow. Think of those that won’t but enjoy nonetheless You're talking to the wrong forum. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 3 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: You're talking to the wrong forum. Kill them with kindness 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 24 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: My first time starting a storm thread. Lets see how it goes. 12Z NAM brings snow into NW DC this run It’ll probably go the same way every thread does 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 18 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: RGEM not so good. Drives the LP over Snowshoe. I’ll bet $100 of all the things it might do, that’s not what it does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: It’ll probably go the same way every thread does 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 19, 2023 Author Share Posted January 19, 2023 ICON kind of similar to the RGEM. This thread didnt last long. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 20 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: ICON kind of similar to the RGEM. This thread didnt last long. Icon flipped from the coldest to the warmest solution in one run. Lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 41 minutes ago, H2O said: Congrats to those who will see snow. Think of those that won’t but enjoy nonetheless 39 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: You're talking to the wrong forum. I meant that no one in this forum will see snow. But I'm always a big advocate of killing them with kindness. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 5 minutes ago, Ravens94 said: Other than the NAM the last 24 hours the coldest guidance (euro, Icon) has trended warmer while the warmest (Gfs) trended colder. This is convergence. Problem is even the coldest solutions aren’t cold enough for most so a compromise wont be a good end result. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Other than the NAM the last 24 hours the coldest guidance (euro, Icon) has trended warmer while the warmest (Gfs) trended colder. This is convergence. Problem is even the coldest solutions aren’t cold enough for most so a compromise wont be a good end result. Agreed. I don’t think there’s enough runway left to get to a solution that gives frozen precipitation to the metro corridor. Far N/W still in the game for something. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 This was always on the early side for anything frozen for most of us. It's the storm after this that had some kind of chance. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 I think the RGEM was actually an improvement 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 41 minutes ago, osfan24 said: This was always on the early side for anything frozen for most of us. It's the storm after this that had some kind of chance. If you ascribe to that idea then I wouldn't recommend looking at the GFS or CMC, maybe its the storm after the next storm that has a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 2 hours ago, clskinsfan said: My first time starting a storm thread. Lets see how it goes. 12Z NAM brings snow into NW DC this run Never make a thread again. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 51 minutes ago, osfan24 said: This was always on the early side for anything frozen for most of us. It's the storm after this that had some kind of chance. What about that storm after that storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 7 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Never make a thread again. Nobody should. The results speak for themselves 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 I meant that no one in this forum will see snow. But I'm always a big advocate of killing them with kindness.That’s wholly incorrect. Guarantee some of us see some snow out of this. Remember where some folks live in here. Don’t be salty man come on. Let’s keep it to tracking. . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 14 minutes ago, stormtracker said: What about that storm after that storm? and the one after that one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 11 minutes ago, jayyy said: That’s wholly incorrect. Guarantee some of us see some snow out of this. Remember where some folks live in here. Don’t be salty man come on. Let’s keep it to tracking. jonjon will probably get some snow out of it, but it might be a big ask for others to get anything. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 jonjon will probably get some snow out of it, but it might be a big ask for others to get anything.I think my area over to emittsburg and points WNW could catch some snow out of the Sunday - Mon event. The odds of a significant event are fading quickly, but I’m not ruling out a couple inches at this juncture. It’s too early to throw in the towel for my area. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Track is so good just need strength and a touch more cold on the GEFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Dafuq is that? 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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