SchaumburgStormer Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 On 1/19/2023 at 5:45 PM, Chicago Storm said: The outcome of this one will be very dependent on phasing and wave interaction. . Expand I.E. - Don't hug a solution until about 3 hours out. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Current mood: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 On 1/19/2023 at 5:45 PM, Chicago Storm said: The outcome of this one will be very dependent on phasing and wave interaction. . Expand Yikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Just gotta hope it stays primary long enough before it starts to transfer to a secondary. Euro transfers earlier. That's why it's so hard to get a big dog for dtw. When lows do rarely track favorably, a coastal low steals the energy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 On 1/19/2023 at 6:18 PM, Cary67 said: Yikes Expand I'm about 1000 times more afraid of a miss south than a miss north. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Definitely. Weaker less phased outcome seems likely given our trends with slide SE. Unless it's targeting MSP this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Looks good at this lead time. But still an eternity to get there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
miamarsden8 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 So...you're saying there's a chance this thing smacks Cincy? COME ONNNN let me have one real snowstorm here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 On 1/19/2023 at 7:57 PM, michsnowfreak said: Looks good at this lead time. But still an eternity to get there. Expand I think the ensembles are SE of the OP runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 On 1/19/2023 at 6:49 PM, Hoosier said: I'm about 1000 times more afraid of a miss south than a miss north. Expand but are you though? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Probably another rainer for me. Ride the trend. Zzzzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 On 1/19/2023 at 10:05 PM, Chicago Storm said: but are you though? Expand He's lying Fer sure. Gfs says he should be scared of north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 On 1/19/2023 at 9:50 PM, Cary67 said: I think the ensembles are SE of the OP runs You would be incorrect for the EPS mean. I was actually surprised at how excited the Euro members are. A lot of spread, but less than the GEFS and GEPS. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Hmm..must have saw that wrong. Thx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 On 1/19/2023 at 10:55 PM, Cary67 said: Hmm..must have saw that wrong. Thx Expand Gfs ensembles seem SE of their op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 On 1/19/2023 at 10:21 PM, Stevo6899 said: He's lying Fer sure. Gfs says he should be scared of north. Expand It's only going so far North though. Still far out let's just keep this storm alive lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Looking at the 12z Euro gave me flashbacks of GHD3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 On 1/19/2023 at 10:05 PM, Chicago Storm said: but are you though? Expand No, more like 10 times. Overall though I think I/we sit in a decent spot at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 On 1/19/2023 at 11:39 PM, cyclone77 said: Looking at the 12z Euro gave me flashbacks of GHD3. Expand Where did that one end up? I lost track after so many GHD storms. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 On 1/20/2023 at 12:48 AM, StormChaser4Life said: Where did that one end up? I lost track after so many GHD storms. Lol Expand SE and weak. There were a couple of doomsday runs (similar to the pre Christmas storm iirc) before it quickly went back to being a decent -but not insanely historic- snowstorm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Goon Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 On 1/19/2023 at 11:33 PM, michsnowfreak said: Gfs ensembles seem SE of their op Expand They are. 12z hi res euro is pretty much in line with its ensembles. Gfs ensembles are south of its control run and the Canadian is also south of its control run. Central Indiana and Northern Indiana look good right now in this point in the game for a nice hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 On 1/19/2023 at 12:17 PM, Stevo6899 said: Like I stated in the banter thread, I'd like where I'm sitting if I was in Chicago, west Michigan. Buffer for intensification. Expand I hate where I'm sitting. In a JAN that's acting more like a NOV, fears of UHI screwing me are legit. This thing surges too strong and it's going to push a ton of warmth up with it. I can see most of my qpf wasted on liquid yet again. Talk me out it, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 Hoping that the "split the difference" GEM is smoking the good crack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 On 1/20/2023 at 1:15 AM, Malacka11 said: SE and weak. There were a couple of doomsday runs (similar to the pre Christmas storm iirc) before it quickly went back to being a decent -but not insanely historic- snowstorm. Expand Hey that’s my biggest storm in the last 10 years you are talking about! Now apologize 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 On 1/20/2023 at 12:48 AM, StormChaser4Life said: Where did that one end up? I lost track after so many GHD storms. Lol Expand Was a heartbreaker for here/QC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 On 1/20/2023 at 1:43 AM, Chambana said: Hey that’s my biggest storm in the last 10 years you are talking about! Now apologize Expand How bout you call up GHD 3 and ask it to apologize for dropping jack shit in my back yard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 On 1/20/2023 at 12:48 AM, StormChaser4Life said: Where did that one end up? I lost track after so many GHD storms. Lol Expand The guy that always complains that PIA is getting missed forgets a top 5 snowstorm in PIA over the last 10 years. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 20, 2023 Author Share Posted January 20, 2023 On 1/20/2023 at 1:49 AM, Malacka11 said: How bout you call up GHD 3 and ask it to apologize for dropping jack shit in my back yard Expand just looking those amounts it should have been called "GHD Mini Me"...if you were in the original ..you know. Even GHD ll was not close IMO as far as a snowstorm event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 On 1/20/2023 at 1:58 AM, Baum said: just looking those amounts it should have been called "GHD Mini Me"...if you were in the original ..you know. Even GHD ll was not close IMO as far as a snowstorm event. Expand Factual, I think around here GHD II came very close in terms of total snowfall but the duration was longer and the winds were much less extreme. I remember parts of GHD vividly -true core memories- like no other snowstorm despite it being the earliest big storm I can remember. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 On 1/20/2023 at 1:55 AM, Chicago Storm said: The guy that always complains that PIA is getting missed forgets a top 5 snowstorm in PIA over the last 10 years. Expand Haha. Cuz I'm more use to disappointment than snowstorms panning out. PTSD. Also there's too many damn GHD day storms to remember. Lol. As much as I want to hope it ends up as nw as gem and gfs I'm not getting my hopes up because a more se like euro also is just as plausible. All comes down to the phasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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