Powerball Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Just now, nwohweather said: Idk man, Winter Storm Warnings up for a large swath of the country and tornadoes along the Gulf I meant for this subforum. It's going to be a decent snowstorm in a lot of places, but certainly not a big dog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 12 minutes ago, Powerball said: I meant for this subforum. It's going to be a decent snowstorm in a lot of places, but certainly not a big dog. Big Dogs don't hunt here in January anymore. Feb's got the ingredients lining up tho 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 17 minutes ago, nwohweather said: Idk man, Winter Storm Warnings up for a large swath of the country and tornadoes along the Gulf Just glad to see BELOW freezing temps going into start time, especially after today's mini-torch and all the slop storms last winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 OFC. Ordered up by the secret magnet keeper himself DTX After careful deliberation, have opted to transition the Winter Storm Watch into the Winter Storm Warning for the 3 counties in far southeast Michigan. The highest accumulations seem most likely nearer the MI/IN/OH state line, but the trajectory of the system also puts downriver locations such as Wyandotte into a favorable zone for a slightly extended period of moderate to heavy snowfall. A Winter Weather Advisory will be issued on north into the I-69 corridor angling northeast into the Thumb where some lake enhancement will also come into play late in the day Wednesday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 12 minutes ago, RogueWaves said: OFC. Ordered up by the secret magnet keeper himself DTX After careful deliberation, have opted to transition the Winter Storm Watch into the Winter Storm Warning for the 3 counties in far southeast Michigan. The highest accumulations seem most likely nearer the MI/IN/OH state line, but the trajectory of the system also puts downriver locations such as Wyandotte into a favorable zone for a slightly extended period of moderate to heavy snowfall. A Winter Weather Advisory will be issued on north into the I-69 corridor angling northeast into the Thumb where some lake enhancement will also come into play late in the day Wednesday. Rap/hhr steady with bringing the high totals to atleast m59. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 The hi-res models are really barking that the deformation band that cranks from parts of central and eastern Indiana into northwest Ohio, southeast Ohio, and southern Ontario during the day Wednesday will pack 1-2" per hour rates, with forecast soundings that support heavy snow with large flakes: The hi-res model consistency (and slight ramp up this run) of the deformation band placement and potential for over 6" with it has been relatively impressive, so we'll see if they're sniffing something out. It's worth noting that the synoptics behind this are nuts: Strong divergence in the left-exit quadrant of a jet streak ahead of a sharp negatively tilted shortwave, with a zone of strong warm air advection and low to mid-level frontogenesis beneath this to help squeeze out precipitation: Temperatures will be at or perhaps slightly above freezing for most of this snow so ratios won't be great, but heavy snow rates with large flakes are likely to occur in any mesoscale banding that develops within the broader deformation zone on Wednesday. 3 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 38 minutes ago, RogueWaves said: OFC. Ordered up by the secret magnet keeper himself DTX After careful deliberation, have opted to transition the Winter Storm Watch into the Winter Storm Warning for the 3 counties in far southeast Michigan. The highest accumulations seem most likely nearer the MI/IN/OH state line, but the trajectory of the system also puts downriver locations such as Wyandotte into a favorable zone for a slightly extended period of moderate to heavy snowfall. A Winter Weather Advisory will be issued on north into the I-69 corridor angling northeast into the Thumb where some lake enhancement will also come into play late in the day Wednesday. I saw that lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 hour ago, bowtie` said: Already seeing some color on the county travel hazards map for Indiana. Allen county ( Ft. Wayne) and Hamilton county (northside of Indianapolis), are already under a travel watch. I guess some EMS managers are being proactive seeing how the snow has not even started yet. I've been out driving and walking a limping dog the last few hours (I live in the sticks) and its probably for black ice. The weekend stuff finished melting this afternoon but its been extremely damp out there all day and evening. We had maybe 2 hours of sun today, not near enough to dry secondary roads completely especially with the dews we had today. I can attest that about an hour ago there was suddenly an invisible glaze on the road as I slid right through a stop sign. About busted my ass a few times walking. Its like an eggshell thin layer and its patchy and kinda scares you to be honest lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 hour ago, OHweather said: The hi-res models are really barking that the deformation band that cranks from parts of central and eastern Indiana into northwest Ohio, southeast Ohio, and southern Ontario during the day Wednesday will pack 1-2" per hour rates, with forecast soundings that support heavy snow with large flakes: The hi-res model consistency (and slight ramp up this run) of the deformation band placement and potential for over 6" with it has been relatively impressive, so we'll see if they're sniffing something out. It's worth noting that the synoptics behind this are nuts: Strong divergence in the left-exit quadrant of a jet streak ahead of a sharp negatively tilted shortwave, with a zone of strong warm air advection and low to mid-level frontogenesis beneath this to help squeeze out precipitation: Temperatures will be at or perhaps slightly above freezing for most of this snow so ratios won't be great, but heavy snow rates with large flakes are likely to occur in any mesoscale banding that develops within the broader deformation zone on Wednesday. This is my favorite post ever. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Mesoscale Discussion 0102 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2023 Areas affected...southern portions of IL...IN...and OH Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 250544Z - 251145Z SUMMARY...Broad precipitation will continue to overspread the region from around 06-12z. Localized heavy snowfall rates greater than 1"/hr will be possible. DISCUSSION...The low-level precipitation field continues to expand in advance of a negatively tilted upper-level trough ejecting over the central CONUS. Snowfall rates of 1"/hr have been reported from eastern OK northeastward through southeastern MO, and in some areas localized snowfall rates around 2"/hr have been observed. The broad precipitation band responsible for these snowfall rates continues to translate northeastward in tandem with 700-mb frontogenesis and mesoscale isentropic ascent. These features are expected to persist for the next several hours and produce 1"/hr snowfall rates through 12z, generally advancing from west to east across the outlined area. Snowfall rates of 2"/hr or greater will be possible in localized areas where enhanced forcing overlaps non-zero potential buoyancy (10-20 J/kg MUCAPE) in the dendritic growth zone. ..Flournoy/Moore.. 01/25/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...LMK...IWX...IND...PAH... ILX...LSX... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cincy.wx Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 thought we’d have rain for quite a bit longer but areas just SW of cincy are starting to see big flakes and sleet is beginning to fall inside the 275 loop … will be interesting to watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2012 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Rain changed to heavy,wet snow here around 1 a.m. Took awhile but starting to stick on grass.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2012 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Just now, chuckster2012 said: Rain changed to heavy,wet snow here around 1 a.m. Took awhile but starting to stick on grass.. Jennings county Indiana, west of Cincy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Snow has begun to spread into the Chicago metro area.1-3” on the way area wide. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2012 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 48 minutes ago, chuckster2012 said: Jennings county Indiana, west of Cincy. Still pouring down. 2" otg already. Rain north of me in Columbus! Go figure.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Nice moderate snow here now. It actually started sticking to ground and road pretty quickly. I was kind of surprised by that given antecedent warm conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathernerd Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 West side of Indianapolis- steady rain changed over to snow 2:30am. Moderate snow for about 1/2 hour, now back to the steady rain again. Temps at 32° INBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 And so it begins, parachutes sighted. Deck covered in about 10 min. This is a bit of a rare system for us if the heavy snow rates being forecast pan out later this morning. We usually need these systems to come through at night (unless we're in early Feb arctic mode) or we lose a lot to liquid. We dont get to see sustained 1-2in/hr rates in the daytime around here very often. Looking forward to it hopefully. Good luck to all 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Mood flakes just started in Kokomo. The parked car hardly has more than dust in the crevices. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2012 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 2 hours ago, chuckster2012 said: Still pouring down. 2" otg already. Rain north of me in Columbus! Go figure.. Changed to rain. Nothingburger after all I guess... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Bands doing work. 2.0" on the dot here so far. Pleasantly surprised. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 25, 2023 Author Share Posted January 25, 2023 3 hours ago, Chicago Storm said: Snow has begun to spread into the Chicago metro area. 1-3” on the way area wide. This is bold in 2023. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 I gotta drive to Howell for my work just for them to send us all home by 9am looking forward to this one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 3 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said: I gotta drive to Howell for my work just for them to send us all home by 9am looking forward to this one! Nice banding already over the area. Dtx upgraded a few to warnings which was warranted, but still surprised and unlike them to be prepared for once. Gonna rip for 6 or so hours later. Wish I was home for it but told myself it's gotta be a foot for me to hop on a plane and leave paradise. Y'all enjoy it, might be the only decent event of the winter. Definitely the first one in years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Just now, Stevo6899 said: Nice banding already over the area. Dtx upgraded a few to warnings which was warranted, but still surprised and unlike them to be prepared for once. Gonna rip for 6 or so hours later. Wish I was home for it. Y'all enjoy it, might be the only decent event of the winter. Definitely the first one in years. Yeah I want to drive the 40 or so miles home when I’m not in the defo band. We shall see what these next couple weeks look like for DTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Overperforming so far imby, sticking to all surfaces 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 25, 2023 Author Share Posted January 25, 2023 37 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Overperforming so far imby, sticking to all surfaces LOT on it per usual: BEEN CRANKING OUT SOME PRETTY DECENT SNOWFALL STRADDLING THE I-80/88 CORRIDORS. WE'RE SITTING JUST UNDER 2 INCHES SINCE MIDNIGHT AT OUR OFFICE IN ROMEOVILLE, WITH SNOWFLAKE QUALITY IMPROVING A GOOD DEAL OVER THE LAST HOUR OR SO (THEY WERE FAIRLY TINY UP UNTIL THAT, LIKELY OWING TO PRIMARY ASCENT/GENERATION REGION ABOVE THE DGZ). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 hour ago, Chicago WX said: Bands doing work. 2.0" on the dot here so far. Pleasantly surprised. I was up at 245 with the dogs and already was coming down pretty good and the grass was covered. We did it! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 32 and mod snow in the paign, had some rain mixing in, but back to all snow under a heavier band. Should be a picturesque paste job. Here’s to seeing if we can crack 6”. Gonna be a tall task, looks like a heavy band to my west over near Decatur. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Things have cranked up a bit overnight in the sweet spot of the storm. Nice write up OHWeather! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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