Cary67 Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said: kinda want to go They just postponed it till Feb11th-12th 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 12z HRRR (48 hours) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 What a beautiful morning. The quiet before the storm I suppose 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 Hoping the track can nudge NW like ECMWF shows, and make that a trend. Just want something better than 1-2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 12 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said: What a beautiful morning. The quiet before the storm I suppose I thought the same thing driving up 23 today! Peak winter day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 Seems like it's going to be a high-end WAA for Detroit. 4-6" appears to be a good call. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 1 minute ago, nwohweather said: I thought the same thing driving up 23 today! Peak winter day I see clouds to my NW and some far off to the west tho enjoying the sun at work while I can. I’m working not far from 23 in Brighton also this view is nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 3 hours ago, Chicago WX said: Looks like the 6z Euro bumped a little north. Been watching that STL to LAF to FWA area on the models. Think that corridor may be the jack zone. I wonder what Chad is saying... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 2 hours ago, SolidIcewx said: What a beautiful morning. The quiet before the storm I suppose Pretty pic but I actually was mad to see the sun today. I don't care that it's been cloudy 95% of the time this Winter or that more snow is on the way, I just can't stand to see sun melting snow lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 Just now, michsnowfreak said: Pretty pic but I actually was mad to see the sun today. I don't care that it's been cloudy 95% of the time this Winter or that more snow is on the way, I just can't stand to see sun melting snow lol. It is sad to see as I’m sitting at lunch but at least we are all getting some Vitamin D for a change. I loved how all the trees and shrubs were covered yesterday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowtie` Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 25 minutes ago, Hoosier said: I wonder what Chad is saying... The latest accumulation map from IND and their winter storm briefing has me (Boone county) at 8' to 12" and LAF at 6" to 8". " Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 3 hours ago, KokomoWX said: 12z HRRR (48 hours) I'd go with the 10-1 pile of concrete. They're also looking better for an upper level backend kick in the pants over us where rates could keep the liquid at bay. Fingers crossed lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 14 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: Pretty pic but I actually was mad to see the sun today. I don't care that it's been cloudy 95% of the time this Winter or that more snow is on the way, I just can't stand to see sun melting snow lol. At least it's not 50F like the day b4 the storms last winter, but yeah, the one day we get a "warm sun" go figure! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iBrian Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 21 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: Pretty pic but I actually was mad to see the sun today. I don't care that it's been cloudy 95% of the time this Winter or that more snow is on the way, I just can't stand to see sun melting snow lol. "name checks out" 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 23 minutes ago, bowtie` said: The latest accumulation map from IND and their winter storm briefing has me (Boone county) at 8' to 12" and LAF at 6" to 8". " They've been advertising the highest amounts just north and west of Indy for a couple days. Think thats where they expect the least issues with liquid and if/any trowal type banding to establish. I'm 40 miles NE of you and that map has a similar cutoff 20 miles to my SE. I'd take it with a grain of rock salt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 33 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: I just can't stand to see sun melting snow lol. This. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 20 hours ago, Hoosier said: Now post the snow depth map from pivotal. A little cream in the cup of mud? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 1 hour ago, Hoosier said: I wonder what Chad is saying... Rain? But, seems LAF is right on the line or close to it, on several models for a good hit. Hope it happens. And for our other Indiana people too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 Hrrr continues to be very anemic on snow amounts up this way compared to other guidance. Curious if that's a more realistic outcome with the marginal sfc temps or if it's underestimating compared to other hi-res guidance. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 27 minutes ago, Chicago WX said: Rain? But, seems LAF is right on the line or close to it, on several models for a good hit. Hope it happens. And for our other Indiana people too. I like the 6" mark or so for LAF. Maybe a tad more. Would go with the heaviest JUST n/w of Indy, but it's very close and certainly within the realm of possibility that they end up in the heaviest band. But I think I'd rather be out toward Zionsville or Lebanon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 One way or the other I'm getting 4" of snow out of this thing. If the system underperforms, lake-effect should get me there. On a side note, it looks like the 12z Euro is delayed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zinski1990 Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 Obviously I like where I'm at just west of indy. Rare I have this feeling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 43 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: Hrrr continues to be very anemic on snow amounts up this way compared to other guidance. Curious if that's a more realistic outcome with the marginal sfc temps or if it's underestimating compared to other hi-res guidance. With how dynamic this system is and the lack of wind, I doubt we see below 10:1. If anything looking at the HRRR compared to the NAM it looks like convective robbery happening from the thunderstorms in the south. You can see how the storm sort of "dries" out substantially on the HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 there was a brisk nw breeze this morning now it’s calmed and switched to the sw as I see the fringes of the cloud deck on our storm tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 15 minutes ago, nwohweather said: With how dynamic this system is and the lack of wind, I doubt we see below 10:1. If anything looking at the HRRR compared to the NAM it looks like convective robbery happening from the thunderstorms in the south. You can see how the storm sort of "dries" out substantially on the HRRR That's always that possibility with these southern stream waves. And with no phasing happening you're really depending on all that moisture getting north into the cold sector. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 59 minutes ago, nwohweather said: I doubt we see below 10:1. Definitely not something I would say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 LOT popping the advisory for the whole area. Seems like overkill for areas north of I-80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 5 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: LOT popping the advisory for the whole area. Seems like overkill for areas north of I-80 Yea, that's a big stretch there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 IWX liking the lake impact a little more now. Calling for up to 3" on top of whatever the system leaves behind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 11 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: LOT popping the advisory for the whole area. Seems like overkill for areas north of I-80 They are hitting on Alek's secondary band idea in the afd. Definitely concerned about ending up in the minima zone here, with heavier amounts south and also somewhat heavier amounts north. Various guidance tries to smooth it over around here via lake contribution, but temps may be a bit too mild by then and result in junk snow. Guess we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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