Hoosier Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 00z GFS should at least take a little step toward the other models. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 Rgem with that dual northern max look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 00z GFS should at least take a little step toward the other models.The track of the 00z run would probably result in better snow farther north than the verbatim output. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 3 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: The track of the 00z run would probably result in better snow farther north than the verbatim output. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Do you have any opinion on my other post about the model differences (namely GFS vs everything else) in handling the stuff diving into the northern US from Canada as a possible explanation for the GFS lack of qpf farther north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 22, 2023 Author Share Posted January 22, 2023 improvement to the amateur eye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 just can’t get into this one without at least medium dog potential.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 Is this March/April? We shouldn't be fighting to keep temps below freezing so far north of the surface low in the dead of winter. I love it. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 2 hours ago, Chicago Storm said: just can’t get into this one without at least medium dog potential. . What's medium dog in your eyes... like 10-15"? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 What's medium dog in your eyes... like 10-15"?probably roughly in the 8-12” range, give or take a bit.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 I'm like obsessed with this northern stream stuff now 12z Euro vs 00z Euro (which has a farther south precip shield) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 Gfs came around 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 32 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Gfs came around 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 54 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Gfs came around 6zrgem also looks similar, strengthening as it heads NE. That's key here and the difference between an 8-12 and 3-6. If it weakens as it head NE, it'll transfer alot quicker 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 22, 2023 Author Share Posted January 22, 2023 maybe we go positive trends 2 days out vs, negative. One can hope. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 Sitting here in the bullseye of this storm 3 days out reminds of last year's GHD storm that had 15"-20" forecast only for it to turn to crap with in 12 hours. Granted this one is a bit less complicated, I'm still keeping my guard up. I will say my coffee this morning probably tastes better than those sipping in Chicago land, lol, JK. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 22, 2023 Author Share Posted January 22, 2023 1 minute ago, Frog Town said: Sitting here in the bullseye of this storm 3 days out reminds of last year's GHD storm that had 15"-20" forecast only for it to turn to crap with in 12 hours. Granted this one is a bit less complicated, I'm still keeping my guard up. you keep your guard up until it's on the ground. It's weather believe nothing until it happens. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 Anyone have 06z EURO? On tropical tidbits it looks 2mB stronger at 72 hrs and more north again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 1 minute ago, Baum said: you keep your guard up until it's on the ground. It's weather believe nothing until it happens. I can, and I will! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 4 minutes ago, Chicago916 said: Anyone have 06z EURO? On tropical tidbits it looks 2mB stronger at 72 hrs and more north again. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 11 minutes ago, Frog Town said: Sitting here in the bullseye of this storm 3 days out reminds of last year's GHD storm that had 15"-20" forecast only for it to turn to crap with in 12 hours. Granted this one is a bit less complicated, I'm still keeping my guard up. I will say my coffee this morning probably tastes better than those sipping in Chicago land, lol, JK. TOL and us down here in FWAland are rowing the same boat. Sitting under the bullseye 72 hours out, but not at all confident that it is the final solution. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 0z EPS still has some left leaners (deeper solutions) at 90 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 24 hour QPF has improved as well, versus prior runs, particularly for places in southern/central IL and the southern "half-ish" of Indiana and then into Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 3 minutes ago, Chicago WX said: 0z EPS still has some left leaners (deeper solutions) at 90 hours. Given it looks like 6z improved, and the left leaning members are deeper and likely fling more precip into the "cold" sector, I'm liking these trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 Liking my coordinates at this time. Something of a decent magnitude to finally track! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 Southside and downtown may reel something in yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 Figures, the 6z EPS losing the left leaners. No huge change overall, but maybe a slight tick to the east on the mean versus the 0z run. I guess I'm grasping at straws a bit, trying to turn what looks like a 1-3" event into 3-5" in my hood. Still, hoping we can get a good hit for the people in southern/central IL into Indiana and Ohio. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 1 hour ago, Chicago WX said: Figures, the 6z EPS losing the left leaners. No huge change overall, but maybe a slight tick to the east on the mean versus the 0z run. I guess I'm grasping at straws a bit, trying to turn what looks like a 1-3" event into 3-5" in my hood. Still, hoping we can get a good hit for the people in southern/central IL into Indiana and Ohio. Meanwhile gfs now tracks it almost over detroit. Pretty impressive system 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 Going to call a general 1-3” across LOT CWA with potentially 4” in the SE. It should rival the great Christmas blizzard of 2022 in terms of its impressive snow totals. 2” would be the first of the season Chicago, aka basically Atlanta. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 biter^ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 22, 2023 Author Share Posted January 22, 2023 1 minute ago, A-L-E-K said: biter^ he doubled his totals from yesterday. Consider him on board the hype train. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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